西非次区域的汇款、贸易平衡与经济增长

John Norense Izevbigie, N. Arodoye, B. Omo-Ikirodah
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引用次数: 1

摘要

研究了2007年至2019年期间汇款和贸易平衡对西非次区域经济增长的影响。为此,在相关理论的基础上,建立了一个模型。然而,在估计之前,对数据集的可靠性和有效性进行了检查。然后进行单位根检验,结果表明所有变量在第一次差分时均达到平稳性,协整检验表明变量之间存在长期收敛性。系统广义矩估计方法表明,汇款流入对经济增长具有显著的正向影响,而贸易平衡对经济增长具有显著的负向影响。J-Statistics的过识别限制检验表明,所采用的测量工具是有效的。除其他外,建议西非的决策者应执行政策,不断鼓励汇款流入该分区域,同时确保贸易逆差来自生产性投资。
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Remittances, Trade Balance and Economic Growth in West Africa Sub-region
The impacts remittances and trade balance has on growth in West Africa sub-region was examine for the period 2007 to 2019. To this end, based on relevant theory a model was drawn. However, prior to estimation, reliability and validity of the data set was examined. This was followed by unit root test which shows that all variables attained stationarity at their first difference while Cointegration test indicated that there exists a long-run convergence among the variables. System Generalised Method of Moment estimation revealed that remittances inflows significantly and positively impact economic growth while trade balance exerted a negative and significant impact on economic growth. The over-identifying restrictions test of J-Statistics revealed that the instrument of measurement employed was valid. It was recommended among others that policy makers in West Africa should implement policies that continually encourage remittances inflow to the sub-region while ensuring that trade deficits emanates from productive investment.
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