利用BDS检验和金融时间序列中的代理数据检测非线性动力学

Alex Gutiérrez, Alexis Rodriguez Carranza, Ana Gamarra Carrasco
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引用次数: 5

摘要

物理学家和实验者使用对一种现象的许多观察,即描述它的未知方程,来理解动力学并获得关于他们未来行为的信息。在这篇文章中,我们研究了只使用一个测量尺度来再现这种现象的动力学的可能性。提出了Whitney浸入定理的思想和Sauer对分形集的推广,以重建现象的渐近行为,并使用Brock,Dechert,Scheinkman检验(BDS)研究再现动力学中非线性动力学的证据。这些应用程序是在金融市场上进行的,而金融市场只是已知的股票价格。
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Detecting nonlinear dynamics using BDS test and surrogate data in financial time series
Physicists experimentalists use many observations of a phenomenon, which are the unknown equations that describe it, in order to understand the dynamics and obtain information on their future behavior. In this article we study the possibility of reproducing the dynamics of the phenomenon using only a measurement scale. The Whitney immersion theorem ideas are presented and generalization of Sauer for fractal sets to rebuild the asymptotic behavior of the phenomena and to investigate evidence of nonlinear dynamics in the reproduced dynamics using the Brock, Dechert, Scheinkman test (BDS). The applications are made in the financial market which are only known stock prices.
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