{"title":"加速寿命试验模型的贝叶斯因子","authors":"Neill Smit, L. Raubenheimer","doi":"10.29220/csam.2022.29.5.513","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In Bayesian accelerated life testing, the most used tool for model comparison is the deviance information criterion. An alternative and more formal approach is to use Bayes factors to compare models. However, Bayesian accelerated life testing models with more than one stressor often have mathematically intractable posterior distributions and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are employed to obtain posterior samples to base inference on. The computation of the marginal likelihood is challenging when working with such complex models. In this paper, methods for approximating the marginal likelihood and the application thereof in the accelerated life testing paradigm are explored for dual-stress models.","PeriodicalId":44931,"journal":{"name":"Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5000,"publicationDate":"2021-11-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Bayes factors for accelerated life testing models\",\"authors\":\"Neill Smit, L. Raubenheimer\",\"doi\":\"10.29220/csam.2022.29.5.513\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In Bayesian accelerated life testing, the most used tool for model comparison is the deviance information criterion. An alternative and more formal approach is to use Bayes factors to compare models. However, Bayesian accelerated life testing models with more than one stressor often have mathematically intractable posterior distributions and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are employed to obtain posterior samples to base inference on. The computation of the marginal likelihood is challenging when working with such complex models. In this paper, methods for approximating the marginal likelihood and the application thereof in the accelerated life testing paradigm are explored for dual-stress models.\",\"PeriodicalId\":44931,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-11-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.29220/csam.2022.29.5.513\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.29220/csam.2022.29.5.513","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
In Bayesian accelerated life testing, the most used tool for model comparison is the deviance information criterion. An alternative and more formal approach is to use Bayes factors to compare models. However, Bayesian accelerated life testing models with more than one stressor often have mathematically intractable posterior distributions and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are employed to obtain posterior samples to base inference on. The computation of the marginal likelihood is challenging when working with such complex models. In this paper, methods for approximating the marginal likelihood and the application thereof in the accelerated life testing paradigm are explored for dual-stress models.
期刊介绍:
Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods (Commun. Stat. Appl. Methods, CSAM) is an official journal of the Korean Statistical Society and Korean International Statistical Society. It is an international and Open Access journal dedicated to publishing peer-reviewed, high quality and innovative statistical research. CSAM publishes articles on applied and methodological research in the areas of statistics and probability. It features rapid publication and broad coverage of statistical applications and methods. It welcomes papers on novel applications of statistical methodology in the areas including medicine (pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device), business, management, economics, ecology, education, computing, engineering, operational research, biology, sociology and earth science, but papers from other areas are also considered.