地热能作为可再生能源发电厂的发展

Dennya Angeline Ardiyanto Putri, M. Sulhan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地热能是一种可持续的、对生态有益的能源,据信,仅印尼就拥有世界地热能储量的40%,约28000兆瓦。印尼政府预计,到2025年,地热发电厂的装机容量将达到10000兆瓦。然而,直到2014年,装机容量仍保持在1.739兆瓦。除此之外,印尼政府还通过不同的现行规则进行了大量投资,以扩大地热行业。这项研究旨在确定地热能作为发电的替代品的吸收情况,以及相关障碍的许多因素,如自然资源和人力资源。此外,本文还创建了新的模型参数,显著提高了模型性能。系统动力学分析方法以及建模和仿真方法用于快速准确的结果。根据从期刊和相关研究出版物收集二次数据进行的文献分析,根据到2050年的预测模拟结果,现有条件被认为不足以满足2025年3.458兆瓦的地热能装机容量目标。阻碍进展的因素包括政府缺乏协调和执行困难。此外,由于金融部门被重新调整方向以应对经济危机,2020年的疫情是障碍之一。根据这些标准,寻求最佳解决方案是扩大装机容量,提高地热发电的销售价格,目标是24.5%,发电量为13.263 GWh。
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The development of geothermal energy as a renewable power plant
Geothermal energy is a sustainable and ecologically beneficial energy source, it is believed that Indonesia alone has 40% of the world's geothermal energy reserves of roughly 28.000 MW. The Indonesian government expects the geothermal power plant installed capacity to reach 10.000 MW by 2025. However, the installed capacity remained at 1.739 MW until 2014. Aside from that, the Indonesian government has made significant investments to expand the geothermal sector through different current rules. This research aims to determine the absorption of geothermal energy as an alternative to power generation and many elements of the associated hurdles, such as natural and human resources. In addition, this paper also creates new model parameters that significantly improve model performance. Analysis of system dynamics methods and modelling and simulation methods are used for fast and accurate results. According to a literature analysis done by collecting secondary data from journals and associated research publications, existing conditions are judged insufficient to meet the installed capacity of geothermal energy with a target of 3.458 MW in 2025 based on simulation results of forecasts through 2050. Factors impeding progress include the government's lack of coordination and implementation difficulties. Furthermore, because the financial sector was redirected to cope with the economic crisis, the pandemic scenario in 2020 was one of the impediments. Based on these criteria, the optimum solution was sought by expanding installed electricity capacity and raising the selling price of geothermal power with a target of 24.5% and electricity output of 13.263 GWh.
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发文量
10
审稿时长
8 weeks
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