印度和孟加拉国双边贸易:SAFTA前后时期分析

IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Global Trade and Customs Journal Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI:10.54648/gtcj2023008
Md. Kamrul Islam, Ashish Nath
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印度和孟加拉国是南亚的两个邻国,在外贸文献中处于吸引力的中心。本文分析了印度和孟加拉国加入南亚自由贸易区前后的贸易格局。该研究涵盖了从1996年到2020年的25年,使用了显示比较优势指数(RCA)、贸易强度指数(TII)和贸易互补性指数(TCI)等指数来分析双边贸易。尽管孟加拉国在某些产品方面具有相对比较优势,但印度在相对更多的产品组方面具有最大的比较优势。在研究期间,这两个国家的TII指数值都超过了一,这意味着与世界其他地区的贸易伙伴相比,双边贸易流动是高度密集的。此外,在双边层面,贸易互补性指数值反映了每个国家的出口供应和进口需求之间的部分匹配,因为在整个研究期间,指数值保持在0至100之间。这也反映出印度与孟加拉国的出口互补性在不断增强,表明孟加拉国市场对印度产品的贸易需求不断增长,印度的出口供应也越来越适应孟加拉国的进口需求。印度和孟加拉国属于印度次大陆,地理位置相近,自然资源丰富,在实现经济发展方面奉行类似政策,因此双边贸易潜力巨大。邻国,双边贸易,贸易强度,显示比较优势指数,贸易互补性,贸易模式,出口,进口JEL分类:F10,F13,F14,F47
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Bilateral Trade Between India and Bangladesh: A Pre- and Post-SAFTA Period Analysis
India and Bangladesh, the two neighbouring economies of South Asia, are at the centre of attraction in the foreign trade literature. The present article analyses the pattern of trade between India and Bangladesh before and after joining the South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTA). The study covers twenty-five years, from 1996 to 2020 and used indices, namely, the Index of Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA)Index, Trade Intensity Index (TII) and Trade Complementarity Index (TCI), to analyses the bilateral trade. Although Bangladesh has a relative comparative advantage in some of the products, India has a maximum comparative advantage in relatively more product groups. The index value of the TII is more than one for both countries during the study period, which means that the bilateral trade flows are highly intensive compared to their trading partner of the rest of the world. Furthermore, at the bilateral level, the index value of trade complementarity reflects a partial match between each country’s export supply and import demand because the value of indices stays between 0 and 100 during the entire study period. It also reflects that India’s export complementarity with Bangladesh is reciprocating, indicating growing trade demand for Indian product in Bangladesh’s market and India’s export supply becomes more compatible to meet imports demand of Bangladesh. India and Bangladesh have huge potential for bilateral trade, because they belong to Indian subcontinent, have geographical proximity, abundant natural resources and pursed similar policies towards achieving economic development. Neighbouring Countries, Bilateral Trade, Trade Intensity, Index of Revealed Comparative Advantage, Trade Complementarity, Trade Pattern, Exports, Imports JEL Classification: F10, F13, F14, F47
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Global Trade and Customs Journal
Global Trade and Customs Journal INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
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38
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