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In Search of the Future of Inclusive Multilateralism: The WTO at a Crossroads 寻找包容性多边主义的未来:处于十字路口的世贸组织
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024059
Mustaqeem De Gama
This article explores the possible role that the World Trade Organization (WTO) could play to ensure a fair, non-discriminatory, open, transparent and development friendly multilateral landscape. Given its rules-based, consensus driven, and hard law nature, this is a tough task. Can flexible multilateralism work? If so, what form should it take? Are the Joint Initiatives a good example of a possible approach or should different pathways be developed to achieve a consensus on the concept of WTO reform first? The author argues that the term WTO reform bears no common meaning among its members. However, if true WTO reform is to be achieved, a differentiated approach to multilateralism is required. Given the nature and institutional structure of the WTO, this does not conceive of rulemaking by subsets of members advancing some agendas and leaving others behind. One caveat in this context is very clear, in agreeing to a comprehensive revision of the WTO, all issues should be on the table. The paper suggests a dedicated ministerial conference should be held on the future of the WTO to agree on reset 2.0. This pathway is accessible only if all WTO members explicitly agree on a comprehensive remake.
本文探讨了世界贸易组织(WTO)在确保公平、非歧视、公开、透明和有利于发展的多边环境方面可能发挥的作用。鉴于世界贸易组织以规则为基础、以共识为动力、以硬性法律为基础的性质,这是一项艰巨的任务。灵活的多边主义能否行得通?如果可以,应采取何种形式?联合倡议 "是否是一种可行方法的良好范例,还是应该制定不同的途径,首先就世贸组织改革的概念达成共识?作者认为,世贸组织改革一词在其成员之间没有共同的含义。然而,如果要实现真正的世贸组织改革,就需要对多边主义采取区别对待的方法。鉴于世贸组织的性质和体制结构,这并不意味着由部分成员制定规则来推进某些议程,而将其他议程抛在后面。在这种情况下,有一点是非常明确的,即在同意对世贸组织进行全面修订时,所有问题都应摆在桌面上。本文建议就世贸组织的未来召开一次专门的部长级会议,就重启 2.0 达成一致。只有在所有世贸组织成员明确同意全面改组的情况下,这条道路才是通畅的。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Labour Mobility Amid Europe’s Transitions: Prospects for Europe - Africa Cooperation 在欧洲转型期加强劳动力流动:欧非合作前景
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024055
A. Bisong, Pamela Eunice Ahairwe
Labour mobility between European and African countries constitutes several opportunities and challenges shaped by historical, demographic, economic, political, and policy factors. The current labour movements, however, transcend these historical ties to reflect contemporary world dynamics that are largely influenced by demographic shifts. Demographic shifts in Europe, driven by a rise in life expectancy and a decline in fertility, have led to an ageing population and created a labour force gap that is projected to widen to ninety-five million people by 2050. Europe has an opportunity to bridge this gap by attracting Africa’s young, trained labour force with the right skill set. While Africa’s population is young, educated, and demanding jobs, it faces several challenges that prevent it from being fully immersed in the European labour market. Some of these challenges include skills mismatch, complex migration policies, requirements for recognition of qualifications, and de-linked labour markets. This paper recommends that linking labour mobility to green and digital transition, creating strategic bilateral partnerships between Europe and Africa, facilitating education platforms for knowledge sharing and imparting the right skills will open more opportunities for Europe to receive the right labour migrants and for Africa to provide more opportunities for its youth, creating a win-win game for the two continents.
欧洲国家与非洲国家之间的劳动力流动,在历史、人口、经济、政治和政策因素的影响下,构成了若干机遇和挑战。然而,当前的劳动力流动超越了这些历史联系,反映了主要受人口变化影响的当代世界动态。预期寿命的延长和生育率的下降推动了欧洲人口结构的变化,导致人口老龄化,并造成劳动力缺口,预计到 2050 年,缺口将扩大到九千五百万人。欧洲有机会通过吸引非洲训练有素、掌握适当技能的年轻劳动力来弥补这一差距。虽然非洲人口年轻、受过教育、对工作要求高,但它面临着一些挑战,使其无法完全融入欧洲劳动力市场。其中一些挑战包括技能不匹配、复杂的移民政策、资格认可要求以及劳动力市场脱钩。本文建议,将劳动力流动与绿色和数字化转型联系起来,在欧洲和非洲之间建立战略性双边伙伴关系,促进知识共享的教育平台,并传授正确的技能,这将为欧洲接收合适的劳动力移民提供更多机会,也为非洲为其青年提供更多机会,为两大洲创造一个双赢的游戏。
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引用次数: 0
Increase in Global Subsidies and Trade in Africa: Challenges and Opportunities 全球补贴增加与非洲贸易:挑战与机遇
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024054
S. Karingi, Moukaila Mouzamilou Takpara
The utilization of subsidies has increased recently due to several factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Despite the economic and social justification of the provision of subsidies, there have been increasing debates. This paper analyses the trade implications of the increase in global subsidies on African trade. To better understand the nature and scale of these implications, we provide a review of the international disciplines on subsidies as well as the economics of subsidies. Relying on stylized facts, we demonstrate that the increase in subsidies by developed and emerging countries has depressed the world cotton price and trade performance in Africa. We recognize the important role played by well-designed subsidies. However, harmful subsidies like cotton subsidies should be substantially downscaled or removed. To that end, reforming agricultural subsidies becomes a necessity as it holds the potential to reduce income inequality. Further, governments should work closely with the World Trade Organization (WTO) to clarify and strengthen international disciplines on subsidies. Moreover, we suggest that the WTO should adopt stricter supervision of developed and emerging countries’ subsidies process and a more transparent notification process.
最近,由于 COVID-19 大流行病和乌克兰战争等多种因素,补贴的使用有所增加。尽管提供补贴具有经济和社会方面的合理性,但争论也越来越多。本文分析了全球补贴增加对非洲贸易的影响。为了更好地理解这些影响的性质和规模,我们回顾了有关补贴的国际学科以及补贴经济学。根据典型事实,我们证明发达国家和新兴国家补贴的增加抑制了世界棉花价格和非洲的贸易表现。我们承认精心设计的补贴发挥了重要作用。然而,像棉花补贴这样有害的补贴应大幅缩减或取消。为此,改革农业补贴势在必行,因为这有可能减少收入不平等。此外,各国政府应与世界贸易组织(WTO)密切合作,明确并加强有关补贴的国际纪律。此外,我们建议世界贸易组织对发达国家和新兴国家的补贴程序进行更严格的监督,并制定更加透明的通知程序。
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引用次数: 0
Global Supply Chains: Opportunities and Challenges for Africa 全球供应链:非洲的机遇与挑战
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024060
Ludovica Poponcini
Envisioning a future shaped by a youthful demographic, swift urbanization, climate change dynamics, expanding digital capabilities, and entrepreneurial innovation, Africa holds enormous potential for trade-led growth. To accomplish this vision, both opportunities and challenges lie ahead across the supply chains of the African continent. The key to integrating Africa into global supply chains lies in striking the right balance between leveraging opportunities and addressing challenges. This requires innovative solutions and adapted regulations to ensure sustainable and inclusive economic development across the continent.
年轻的人口结构、快速的城市化进程、气候变化的影响、不断扩大的数字能力以及创业创新,这些因素共同塑造了非洲的未来。要实现这一愿景,非洲大陆供应链面临的机遇和挑战并存。将非洲融入全球供应链的关键在于在利用机遇和应对挑战之间取得适当平衡。这就需要创新的解决方案和经过调整的法规,以确保整个非洲大陆的可持续和包容性经济发展。
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引用次数: 0
Positioning African Maritime Services as Key Enablers of the Emerging Single African Market 将非洲海事服务定位为新兴非洲单一市场的关键推动因素
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024056
Beatrice Chaytor, Ify Ogo
Africa has enormous untapped potential in the maritime and logistics services sector. This provides the continent with the ability to take advantage of the opportunities presented by the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) to develop the sector through an ecosystem approach to facilitate intra-Africa trade and socio-economic development. With one-third of African countries being landlocked and a few island states, maritime transport is a key determinant of Africa’s trade competitiveness, enabling effective access to shipping services and port networks. Maritime trade in Africa is currently shaped by the continent’s concentration on commodities and limited diversification. To position the maritime sector as a key enabler of intra–African trade, AfCFTA States must offer maritime services commitments, and conclude comprehensive regulatory frameworks in maritime services that allow industry development. This will spur growth in economic activities, create jobs and increase trade in manufactures and agribusiness. It will also enable the continent to further industrialise and develop its promised regional value chains (RVCs). Delivering on this promise means Africa must also address challenges including port infrastructure and connectivity, sustainability issues, ship ownership and registration, access by landlocked states, and digitalization. National policy and regulatory alignment with sector commitments would complete the picture.
非洲在海运和物流服务领域拥有尚未开发的巨大潜力。这使非洲大陆有能力利用非洲大陆自由贸易区(AfCFTA)带来的机遇,通过生态系统方法发展该行业,促进非洲内部贸易和社会经济发展。三分之一的非洲国家是内陆国,只有少数几个岛国,因此海运是决定非洲贸易竞争力的关键因素,使非洲能够有效利用航运服务和港口网络。目前,非洲的海运贸易主要集中在大宗商品上,多样化程度有限。为使海运部门成为非洲内部贸易的主要推动力,非洲自由贸易区国家必须提供海运服务承诺,并缔结允许行业发展的海运服务综合监管框架。这将刺激经济活动的增长,创造就业机会,增加制成品和农业综合企业的贸易。它还将使非洲大陆进一步工业化,并发展其承诺的区域价值链 (RVC)。兑现这一承诺意味着非洲还必须应对各种挑战,包括港口基础设施和连通性、可持续性问题、船舶所有权和注册、内陆国家的准入以及数字化。国家政策和监管与部门承诺保持一致将使整个局面更加完善。
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引用次数: 0
A Review of Trade Challenges and Nutritional Opportunities in Asia Pacific 亚太地区的贸易挑战和营养机遇综述
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024062
Muhammad Zeshan
Asia Pacific has undergone substantial economic growth and trade integration, yet food and nutrition security challenges persist. Different forms of malnutrition, including undernutrition, micronutrient deficiencies, and a rising prevalence of obesity and diet-related diseases, impose significant human and economic costs. This paper examines the opportunities to more strategically leverage regional agricultural trade policy to improve access to diverse, nutritious, and safe foods. Amid urbanization and dietary changes associated with income growth, demand for imported foods is rising across Asia. Meanwhile, pockets of food insecurity and nutritional inadequacy remain, especially among marginalized groups. Trade has potential to enhance year-round availability and affordability of fruits, vegetables, livestock products, and processed fortified foods to support nutritional diversity. However, proactive policy efforts are essential to build nutrition sensitivity. This analysis indicates that expanding regional trade networks, reducing transaction costs, upgrading value chains, utilizing food fortification, leveraging foreign investment strategically, and incorporating nutritional objectives within policy frameworks could significantly improve availability, affordability, diversity and safety of diets. But complementary investments in health systems, infrastructure, social protection, and women’s empowerment are equally critical given the multifaceted determinants of malnutrition. The present findings point to high potential nutrition and food security synergies from closer coordination between trade, health, agriculture and development policy realms. Mainstreaming nutrition across initiatives, assessing dietary impacts, and aligning incentives for food companies with public health goals are identified as priorities alongside value chain development for nutritious commodities. Further research should quantify expected nutrition outcomes of specific trade reforms. Overall, integrating nutrition sensitivity into Asia Pacific’s dynamic agricultural trade growth represents a promising opportunity to enable healthier, sustainable food systems across this populous region.
亚太地区经历了巨大的经济增长和贸易一体化,但粮食和营养安全挑战依然存在。不同形式的营养不良,包括营养不足、微量营养素缺乏、肥胖症和与饮食相关疾病的发病率上升,都造成了巨大的人力和经济损失。本文探讨了从战略角度更有效地利用区域农业贸易政策的机会,以改善人们对多样化、营养和安全食品的获取。随着收入增长带来的城市化和饮食变化,亚洲各地对进口食品的需求不断增加。与此同时,粮食不安全和营养不足的问题依然存在,特别是在边缘化群体中。贸易有可能提高水果、蔬菜、畜产品和加工强化食品的全年供应量和可负担性,从而支持营养多样性。然而,积极的政策努力对于建立营养敏感性至关重要。这项分析表明,扩大区域贸易网络、降低交易成本、提升价值链、利用食品营养强化、战略性地利用外资,以及将营养目标纳入政策框架,可以显著改善膳食的可获得性、可负担性、多样性和安全性。但是,考虑到营养不良的多方面决定因素,对卫生系统、基础设施、社会保护和妇女赋权的补充投资同样至关重要。目前的研究结果表明,贸易、卫生、农业和发展政策领域之间更密切的协调极有可能在营养和粮食安全方面产生协同增效作用。将营养纳入各项倡议的主流、评估膳食影响、使食品公司的激励措施与公共卫生目标相一致,被确定为营养商品价值链发展的优先事项。进一步的研究应量化具体贸易改革的预期营养成果。总之,将营养敏感性纳入亚太地区充满活力的农业贸易增长,是在这个人口众多的地区建立更健康、可持续的食品体系的大好机会。
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引用次数: 0
Responding to the EU Green Deal: A Proactive Approach to Trade and Green Industrial Policy in Africa 应对欧盟绿色交易:非洲贸易和绿色工业政策的积极方法
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024057
Colette van der Ven, Sunayana Sasmal
The EU Green Deal and its host of accompanying trade measures have put its trading partners on the defense, scrambling to find the right policy response. The approach adopted by many developing countries and Least-Developed Countries (LDCs) is mostly reactive. This article argues that for the EU Green Deal to be used as a development tool, EU trading partners must go beyond reacting to EU green trade measures, and instead adopt a proactive approach. This would effectively entail linking a changing EU market economy that is increasingly focused on sustainability objectives, to development and climate priorities in the EU trading partner. This article illustrates what a proactive approach to the EU Green Deal could look like for African countries, with a focus on the EU Ecodesign for Sustainable Products Regulation (ESPR) and the Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA). It further puts forth the argument for leveraging legal frameworks such as the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), and charts policies that serve African interests. For both the ESPR and CRMA, this article makes policy recommendations that African countries may consider when framing domestic policy approaches, well as in their engagements with international partners.
欧盟的 "绿色交易 "及其配套的一系列贸易措施使其贸易伙伴惶惶不可终日,争相寻找正确的应对政策。许多发展中国家和最不发达国家(LDCs)采取的方法大多是被动应对。本文认为,要将欧盟绿色交易作为一种发展工具,欧盟的贸易伙伴就必须超越对欧盟绿色贸易措施的反应,转而采取一种积极主动的方法。这将有效地把日益注重可持续发展目标的不断变化的欧盟市场经济与欧盟贸易伙伴的发展和气候优先事项联系起来。本文以欧盟《可持续产品生态设计法规》(ESPR)和《关键原材料法》(CRMA)为重点,说明了非洲国家可以采取何种积极主动的方式来实施欧盟绿色贸易措施。报告还进一步提出了利用非洲大陆自由贸易区(AfCFTA)等法律框架以及服务于非洲利益的图表政策的论点。对于《非洲大陆自由贸易区条例》和《非洲大陆重要原材料法》,本文提出了政策建议,非洲国家在制定国内政策方针以及与国际伙伴接触时可加以考虑。
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引用次数: 0
The EU 11th and 12th Packages of Sanctions Against Russia: How Far is the EU Willing to Go Extraterritorially? 欧盟针对俄罗斯的第 11 和第 12 套制裁措施:欧盟愿意在域外走多远?
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024063
Stefano Silingardi
The adoption, on 21 June 2023, of the eleventh package of sanctions in response to Russia’s on-going military aggression against Ukraine marks an important milestone in the EU sanctions’ practice. These measures, further strengthened by the adoption of the twelfth package of sanctions on 18 December 2023, aim to effectively prevent and combat the circumvention of existing trade sanctions, potentially extending the extraterritorial reach of European sanctions. This article aims to analyse the extent to which this application of extraterritoriality, targeting entities beyond the EU’s jurisdiction, may raise concerns regarding the EU’s compliance with established rules and limitations under international law regarding prescriptive jurisdiction. Firstly, the article provides an overview of the background and content of these new measures, as well as their relationship with the EU’s sanctions regime imposed on Russia since February 2022. Subsequently, it examines the issue of the extraterritorial application of the new ‘anti-circumvention rules’ and the extent to which the EU has gradually embraced a broader (or ‘hard’) understanding of extraterritoriality within the domain of sanctions. It is noteworthy to consider the surprising nature of this development, as the EU has consistently expressed opposition to similar measures when implemented by the US.
2023 年 6 月 21 日,针对俄罗斯正在对乌克兰进行的军事侵略,欧盟通过了第 11 套制裁措施,这是欧盟制裁实践中的一个重要里程碑。2023 年 12 月 18 日通过的第十二套制裁措施进一步加强了这些措施,旨在有效防止和打击规避现有贸易制裁的行为,从而可能扩大欧洲制裁的域外范围。本文旨在分析这种针对欧盟管辖范围以外实体的治外法权的应用在多大程度上可能会引起人们对欧盟是否遵守国际法中有关规范性管辖权的既定规则和限制的担忧。首先,文章概述了这些新措施的背景和内容,以及它们与欧盟自 2022 年 2 月以来对俄罗斯实施的制裁制度之间的关系。随后,文章探讨了新 "反规避规则 "的域外适用问题,以及欧盟在多大程度上逐渐接受了制裁领域内对域外效力的更广泛(或 "硬性")理解。值得注意的是,这一事态发展的性质令人吃惊,因为欧盟一直表示反对美国实施类似措施。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating Digital Sovereignty: Implications for African Countries 驾驭数字主权:对非洲国家的影响
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024058
Kholofelo N. Kugler, Rutendo Tavengerwei
Digital sovereignty has become a buzz concept in framing countries’ ability to control and benefit from the digital economy. With the current speed of technological advancement, countries’ ability to innovate and develop enabling domestic digital ecosystems will determine which nations will reap the digital dividends and which will be pushed further into the periphery. In this article, we examine the distinct approaches adopted by the United States (US), China, and the European Union (EU). We elucidate the multifaceted dimensions of digital sovereignty, which encompasses, inter alia, regulatory frameworks; physical infrastructure, networks, and technology; and data governance. It is within this context that we explore the implications of these strategies on African countries, shedding light on the dynamics of influence and control in the digital realm. While African countries are entering an ongoing race, initiatives like the Digital Trade Protocol of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) provide impetus and opportunity. Specifically, to insulate themselves from outside influence and control and to collectively cultivate an African digital agenda that will propel the continent’s economic development and influence in the digital sphere.
数字主权已成为一个热门概念,用以界定各国控制数字经济并从中获益的能力。随着当前技术进步速度的加快,各国创新和发展国内数字生态系统的能力将决定哪些国家将收获数字红利,哪些国家将被进一步推向边缘。在本文中,我们将研究美国(US)、中国和欧盟(EU)所采取的不同方法。我们阐明了数字主权的多面性,其中包括监管框架、有形基础设施、网络和技术以及数据治理。正是在这一背景下,我们探讨了这些战略对非洲国家的影响,揭示了数字领域的影响和控制动态。在非洲国家不断参与竞争的同时,《非洲大陆自由贸易区(AfCFTA)数字贸易议定书》等倡议提供了动力和机遇。具体来说,就是要使自己免受外部影响和控制,共同制定非洲数字议程,推动非洲大陆的经济发展和在数字领域的影响力。
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引用次数: 0
Special Procedures the Responsible Person(s): What Would Change under the EU Commission’s Reform Proposal? 特别程序负责人:欧盟委员会的改革建议会带来哪些变化?
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.54648/gtcj2024064
Michael Lux
The Commission proposal for a reformed Union Customs Code (R-UCC) foresees, besides replacing national customs clearance systems by an EU Customs Data Hub, managed by an EU Customs Authority, a shift of the responsibility from the declarant and holder of a customs procedure to the importer or exporter, i.e., the person determining that the goods are brought into or out of the EU. In its Impact Assessment, and briefly in its explanatory introduction to the proposal, the Commission has analysed and explained the consequences of this shift with regard to standard imports and exports, not, however, with regard to the special procedures, such as transit, customs warehousing and inward processing. The author has therefore completed this missing analysis with the result that the concept of a single liable importer or exporter could work if there existed only a single procedure for import and export. However, the reality is that often several actors are involved in an import/export process with different procedures and processes following each other; these persons may be, besides the carrier, the temporary storage operator, the transit operator, the operator and the user of a customs warehouse, until the goods are finally released for free circulation or export by, or on behalf of, the actual importer or exporter. Furthermore, the focus on the importer and exporter has resulted in a certain neglect of the role of intermediaries in the supply chain, such as customs and logistics service providers, whose services are vital for many small and medium sized companies (SMEs) that cannot afford their own specialized customs staff and IT systems for the handing of imports and exports.
欧盟委员会关于改革《欧盟海关法典》(R-UCC)的建议,除了用一个由欧盟海关当局 管理的欧盟海关数据中心取代国家清关系统外,还将责任从海关手续的申报人和持有 人转移到进口商或出口商,即决定将货物带入或带出欧盟的人。欧盟委员会在其影响评估报告中,以及在提案的解释性导言中,对这一转变在标准进出口方面的后果进行了分析和解释,但没有对特殊程序,如过境、海关仓储和内向加工等进行分析和解释。因此,作者完成了这一缺失的分析,得出的结果是,如果只有单一的进出口程序,单一责任进口商或出口商的概念是可行的。然而,现实情况是,在一个进出口过程中,往往有多个行为者参与其中,不同的程序和流程相互衔接;这些人可能是承运人、临时储存经营人、过境经营人、海关仓库的经营人和使用者,直到货物最终由实际进口商或出口商或其代表放行供自由流通或出口。此外,对进口商和出口商的关注在一定程度上忽视了供应链中中间商的作用,如海关和物流服务提供商,他们的服务对许多中小型公司(SMEs)来说至关重要,因为这些公司无力负担自己的专业海关人员和处理进出口业务的 IT 系统。
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引用次数: 0
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