银行重组公告对银行股价格的影响

Muhammad Fendi Susiyanto
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究是一项事件研究,旨在调查印尼政府为加强其银行系统而采取的银行改革措施的成功程度。本研究调查了两个事件:(1)1999年3月13日银行业改革公告,其中包括关闭38家私人银行,接管7家私人银行、9家私人银行将进行资本重组,并允许73家私人银行在不加入资本重组计划的情况下继续运营;第二(2)1999年5月28日,财政部长发行了103831万亿卢比的政府债券,以完成私人银行的资本重组,并向印尼银行发行了53779万亿卢比的其他政府债券,用于偿还被冻结的商业银行和农村银行的流动性支持义务。上述两起事件预计将是雅加达证券交易所(JSX)投资者的好消息或有利信息,投资者应积极回应,这表明事件发生后银行股大幅上涨。1997年初在雅加达证券交易所上市的13只银行股样本被用来调查这两起事件发生前后银行股的反应。通过使用配对样本平均差检验,我们没有发现事件日期前后异常回报之间的显著差异。此外,1999年3月13日银行业改革公告和1999年5月28日政府债券发行公告前后,银行股的累计异常收益率逐渐下降,直至达到负值。交易量活动(TVA)测试,对1999年3月13日银行业改革公告前后的银行股交易量进行了测试,发现事件日后银行股的TVA显著大于事件日前银行股的TVA。此次政府债券发行事件未发现结果。总的来说,从这些结果可以得出结论,从市场的角度来看,政府所做的银行改革措施并没有成功实施。虽然已经进行了异常收益测试,但在1999年3月13日的银行改革公告和1999年5月28日的政府债券发行公告前后,仍然发现了显著的异常收益。这些发现并不支持雅加达证券交易所(JSX)的半强效率。
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The Impact of Bank Restructuring announcement on the banking Stock Prices
This study is an event study that aims to investigate how successful the banking reforms measures that has already been done by the Indonesian government in order to strengthen its banking system. There were two events to be investigated in this study, first (1) The banking reforms announcement on March 13, 1999 which consists of the closure of 38 private banks, the taken-over of 7 private banks, 9 private banks will be recapitalized, and let 73 private banks to continue their operation without joining the recapitalization program; second (2) on May 28, 1999 Minister of Finance issued government bonds amounted to Rp 103,831 trillion to complete the private banks’ recapitalization, and also issued the other government bonds to repay the obligations of frozen commercial banks’ and rural banks’ regarding its liquidity support, to Bank Indonesia amounted to Rp 53,779 trillion. These two events above, are expected to be good news or favorable information for investors on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX), and should be responded positively by investors which indicates significantly increases on banking stocks after the event dates. Thirteen samples of banking stocks which were listed on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) at the beginning of 1997 were used to investigate the reaction of banking stocks around the dates of these two events. By using the paired-samples mean difference test, we did not find significant differences between abnormal returns before and after the event dates. Furthermore, the cumulative abnormal return of banking stocks around the banking reforms announcement on March 13, 1999 and the issuance of government bonds announcement on May 28, 1999 were decreasing gradually until it reached the negative area. Trading Volume Activity (TVA) test, on the banking stock volume around the banking reforms announcement on March 13, 1999 has found that TVA of banking stocks after the event date was significantly greater than TVA of banking stocks before the event date. The result was not found on the issuance of government bonds event. In general, from these results, it can be concluded that the banking reforms measures done by the government was not successfully implemented from the market’s point of view. The abnormal return tests have been conducted, yet it is still found a significant abnormal return around both the banking reforms announcement on March 13, 1999 and the issuance of government bonds announcement on May 28, 1999. These findings did not support the semi-strong efficiency of the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX).
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
14.30%
发文量
15
审稿时长
40 weeks
期刊介绍: An objective of the Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business (GamaIJB) is to promote the wide dissemination of the results of systematic scholarly inquiries into the broad field of business research. The GamaIJB is intended to be the journal for publishing articles reporting the results of research on business. The GamaIJB invites manuscripts in the areas: Marketing Management, Finance Management, Strategic Management, Operation Management, Human Resource Management, E-business, Knowledge Management, Management Accounting, Management Control System, Management Information System, International Business, Business Economics, Business Ethics and Sustainable, and Entrepreneurship.
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