《我敌人的敌人:伊朗对塔利班死灰复燃的态度》

IF 0.8 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI:10.1177/23477970221130144
Parisa Abbasian
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引用次数: 0

摘要

多年来,伊朗对塔利班的态度起伏不定。伊朗欢迎美国2001年入侵阿富汗,并与美国军队合作推翻塔利班。然而,没过多久,伊朗就采取了完全相反的政策,与塔利班妥协,并向其提供政治和军事支持。本文考察了导致伊朗对塔利班行为发生戏剧性变化的国内和地区因素。报告评估了德黑兰如何看待美国在其边境的军事存在、伊斯兰国在呼罗珊省的崛起、阿富汗毒品走私的增加以及从阿富汗涌入伊朗领土的难民,这些因素促使德黑兰对塔利班采取了不同的做法。报告还解释了伊朗维持从阿富汗河流向伊朗东部省份供水并恢复与阿富汗有利可图的贸易的意图如何成为扩大伊朗与塔利班关系的催化剂。本文认为,伊朗将塔利班视为削弱美国、防止ISIS在呼罗珊蔓延、加强伊朗在中亚影响力的代理人。这篇文章的结论是,尽管塔利班在阿富汗的崛起给伊朗带来了挑战,但它带来的好处是,它阻止了德黑兰放弃与塔利班的关系。
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My Enemy’s Enemy: Iran’s Approach to the Re-emergence of the Taliban
Over the years, Iran’s approach to the Taliban has had ups and downs. Iran welcomed the United States’ 2001 invasion of Afghanistan and worked with the American forces to overthrow the Taliban. Nevertheless, it was not long before Iran adopted an utterly opposite policy by compromising with the Taliban and supplying it with political and military support. This article examines domestic and regional factors contributing to this dramatic change in Iran’s behaviour toward the Taliban. It provides an assessment of how Tehran’s threat perception of the US military presence across its borders, the rise of the Islamic State in Khorasan Province, the increasing Afghan drug trafficking, and the influx of refugees from Afghanistan to Iranian territory have prompted Tehran to pursue a different approach toward the Taliban. It also explains how Iran’s intention to sustain water supply from Afghanistan’s rivers to the eastern provinces of Iran and resume profitable trade with Afghanistan has acted as a catalyst in expanding Iran–Taliban relations. This article argues that Iran sees the Taliban as an agent to weaken the United States, prevent the spread of ISIS in Khorasan, and strengthen Iran’s influence in Central Asia. The article concludes that although the Taliban’s rise to power in Afghanistan poses challenges for Iran, the benefits it brings are such that it prevents Tehran from relinquishing ties with the Taliban.
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1.50
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29
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