用Gwr模型确定房地产子市场的分类变量问题

IF 0.6 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Real Estate Management and Valuation Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI:10.2478/remav-2022-0028
S. Gnat
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引用次数: 0

摘要

房地产市场分析可以涉及很多方面。其中之一是研究各种因素对价格和财产价值的影响。对于这类问题,通常使用不同类型的度量和统计模型。他们中的许多人并没有给出明确的结果。其中一个原因是房地产市场具有本地市场概念的特点,可能会受到经济、社会、技术、环境等因素的不同影响。将本地市场(也称为次级市场)的影响纳入模型,往往有助于提高大规模房地产估值结果的准确性。划分次级市场的边界可以用几种不同的方法来完成。在这种情况下,一个有用的工具是地理加权回归(GWR)模型。使用这种模型时可能出现的问题与某些市场因素的性质有关,这些因素可能是定性的。由于个别属性的邻域在某些变量方面可能缺乏可变性,因此估计GWR模型非常困难或不可能。本研究将提出一种将分类变量转化为单一合成变量的方法,只有该变量才构成模型中的解释变量。GWR模型的斜率参数相似的地区被认为是一个次级市场。本文的目的是确定研究区域内子市场的边界,并比较使用不考虑当地市场的模型和使用GWR模型考虑专家确定的当地市场的模型对房地产价值建模的结果。
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Categorical Variable Problem In Real Estate Submarket Determination With Gwr Model
Abstract Real estate market analysis can involve many aspects. One of them is the study of the influence of various factors on prices and property values. For this type of issues, different kinds of measures and statistical models are often used. Many of them do not give unambiguous results. One of the reasons for this is the fact that the real estate market is characterized by the concept of local markets, which may be affected in different ways by economic, social, technical, environmental and other factors. Incorporating the influence of local markets, otherwise known as submarkets, into models often helps improve the precision of mass real estate valuation results. The delineation of submarket boundaries can be done in several different ways. One tool that is helpful in these types of situations are geographically weighted regression (GWR) models. The problem that may arise when using such models is related to the nature of some market factors, which may be of a qualitative nature. Because neighborhoods of individual properties may lack variability in terms of some variables, estimating GWR models is significantly difficult or impossible. The study will present an approach in which the categorical variables are transformed into a single synthetic variable, and only this variable will constitute the explanatory variable in the model. Areas where the slope parameters of the GWR model are similar were considered a submarket. The purpose of this paper is to determine the boundaries of submarkets in the study area and to compare the results of modeling the value of real estate using models that do not take local markets into account, as well as those that take into account local markets determined by experts and using the GWR model.
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来源期刊
Real Estate Management and Valuation
Real Estate Management and Valuation Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
25.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
23 weeks
期刊介绍: Real Estate Management and Valuation (REMV) is a journal that publishes new theoretical and practical insights that improve our understanding in the field of real estate valuation, analysis and property management. The aim of the Polish Real Estate Scientific Society (Towarzystwo Naukowe Nieruchomości) is developing and disseminating knowledge about land management and the methods, techniques and principles of real estate valuation and the popularization of scientific achievements in this field, as well as their practical applications in the activities of economic entities.
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