2019年巴基斯坦迪伊汗地区疑似疟疾人群中按性别、年龄组和物种划分的疟疾流行率和分布

IF 0.5 Q3 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Gomal Journal of Medical Sciences Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI:10.46903/GJMS/18.04.938
S. A. Naqvi, Shahzil Saeed, A. Rafique, Muhammad Saeed, N. A. Khan, A. U. Khan, Muhammad Ubaidullah, Muhammad Farooq, Hafiz Abdul Hadi Khan, Roohan Ahmad, J. Wajid, Masil Khan Baloch, Aayan Elahi Zaheer, F. Rabbani
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A sample of 108,849 was calculated from population at risk of 1,306,655, with 0.258154 margin of error, 99% CI and 13.843% assumed prevalence of malaria. Sex, age groups, species and presence of malaria were our four nominal variables. Prevalence and distribution were described by count and percentage with 95% confidence intervals. Four hypotheses for prevalence and distribution were verified by chi-square goodness of fit test.Results: Out of a sample of 108,849 suspected malarial cases, 9,568 (8.79%, 95%CI, 8.62-8.95%) were positive. Out of 9,568 positive cases, 5,406 (4.97%) were men and 4,162 (3.82%) women, 1,062 (0.98%) in age group up to 5 years and 8,506 (7.81%) in age group 5 years and 9,121 (8.38%) were Plasmodium vivax, 437 (0.40%) were Plasmodium falciparum and 10 (0.009%) were mixed malarial infections. Our prevalence of malaria 8.79% was lower to 13.843% expected (p=.00001). Our distribution across sex (p=.00001), age groups (p=.03231) and species (p=.00001) were not similar to expected.Conclusion: The prevalence of malaria in year 2019 in suspected malarial population of District D.I.Khan, Pakistan was 8.79%. The prevalence was lower than expected for our population. The prevalence was higher for men, older age group (5 years) and for Plasmodium vivax. The prevalence for men was higher than expected for men and vice versa for women. The prevalence for age group up to 5 years was higher than expected for age group up to 5 years and vice versa for age group 5 years. 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引用次数: 6

摘要

背景:疟疾是世界范围内普遍存在的传染病,是造成发病率和死亡率的主要原因。我们的目标是确定2019年巴基斯坦迪伊汗区疑似疟疾人群中按性别、年龄组和种类划分的疟疾流行率和分布。材料方法:本横断面研究于2020年10月1日至2020年10月31日在巴基斯坦dii khan的Gomal医学院社区医学系进行。疟疾数据来自迪汗边境初级卫生保健办公室2019年的数据。从1,306,655个风险人群中计算出108,849个样本,误差范围为0.258154,置信区间为99%,假设疟疾流行率为13.843%。性别、年龄组、物种和疟疾的存在是我们的四个名义变量。患病率和分布用计数和百分比描述,置信区间为95%。采用卡方拟合优度检验对患病率和分布的4个假设进行验证。结果:108849例疑似疟疾病例中,阳性9568例(8.79%,95%CI, 8.62 ~ 8.95%)。在9,568例阳性病例中,男性5,406例(4.97%),女性4,162例(3.82%),5岁以下年龄组1,062例(0.98%),5岁以下年龄组8,506例(7.81%),间日疟原虫9,121例(8.38%),恶性疟原虫437例(0.40%),混合疟疾10例(0.009%)。我们的疟疾患病率从预期的8.79%降至13.843% (p= 0.00001)。我们在性别(p= 0.00001)、年龄组(p= 0.03231)和物种(p= 0.00001)之间的分布与预期不相似。结论:2019年巴基斯坦迪伊汗区疑似疟疾人群疟疾患病率为8.79%。我国人口的患病率低于预期。男性、年长年龄组(5岁)和间日疟原虫的患病率较高。男性的患病率高于预期,女性反之。5岁以下年龄组的患病率高于5岁以下年龄组的预期,5岁以下年龄组的患病率反之亦然。间日疟原虫的流行率高于预期,恶性疟原虫和混合疟原虫的流行率则相反。
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PREVALENCE AND DISTRIBUTION OF MALARIA BY SEX, AGE GROUPS AND SPECIES IN YEAR 2019 IN SUSPECTED MALARIAL POPULATION OF DISTRICT D.I.KHAN, PAKISTAN
Background: Malaria is communicable disease that exists worldwide and is a cause of morbidity and mortality. Our objectives were to determine the prevalence and distribution of malaria by sex, age groups and species in year 2019 in suspected malarial population of District D.I.Khan, Pakistan.Materials Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted in Department of Community Medicine, Gomal Medical College, D.I.Khan, Pakistan from October 1, 2020 to October 31, 2020. The data for malaria was retrieved from office of Frontier Primary Healthcare, D.I.Khan for 2019. A sample of 108,849 was calculated from population at risk of 1,306,655, with 0.258154 margin of error, 99% CI and 13.843% assumed prevalence of malaria. Sex, age groups, species and presence of malaria were our four nominal variables. Prevalence and distribution were described by count and percentage with 95% confidence intervals. Four hypotheses for prevalence and distribution were verified by chi-square goodness of fit test.Results: Out of a sample of 108,849 suspected malarial cases, 9,568 (8.79%, 95%CI, 8.62-8.95%) were positive. Out of 9,568 positive cases, 5,406 (4.97%) were men and 4,162 (3.82%) women, 1,062 (0.98%) in age group up to 5 years and 8,506 (7.81%) in age group 5 years and 9,121 (8.38%) were Plasmodium vivax, 437 (0.40%) were Plasmodium falciparum and 10 (0.009%) were mixed malarial infections. Our prevalence of malaria 8.79% was lower to 13.843% expected (p=.00001). Our distribution across sex (p=.00001), age groups (p=.03231) and species (p=.00001) were not similar to expected.Conclusion: The prevalence of malaria in year 2019 in suspected malarial population of District D.I.Khan, Pakistan was 8.79%. The prevalence was lower than expected for our population. The prevalence was higher for men, older age group (5 years) and for Plasmodium vivax. The prevalence for men was higher than expected for men and vice versa for women. The prevalence for age group up to 5 years was higher than expected for age group up to 5 years and vice versa for age group 5 years. The prevalence for Plasmodium vivax was higher than expected for Plasmodium vivax and vice versa for Plasmodium falciparum and mixed cases.
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来源期刊
Gomal Journal of Medical Sciences
Gomal Journal of Medical Sciences MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL-
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
80.00%
发文量
37
审稿时长
40 weeks
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