国际金融一体化如何真正影响转型后国家的增长?来自中东欧10国的经验证据

IF 1.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI:10.2478/jcbtp-2021-0027
M. Ganić, M. Hrnjic
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要本文旨在实证探讨国际金融一体化对一国GDP增长的影响。1995年至2017年期间,中欧、东欧和东南欧10个欧盟国家(CEE-10国家)的样本通过PMG估计器检验了长期关系。在进行基于PMG估计的动态面板分析之前,进行了几个面板单位根检验和面板协整检验。研究结果显示,金融一体化对经济增长的影响好坏参半。在金融一体化措施中,长期来看,中东欧10国的增长主要受到外国直接投资流入、汇款和金融开放的推动。相反,该研究表明,以总外国资产和负债占GDP的百分比衡量,增长与金融一体化之间存在反向关系。这可以用一个事实来解释,即中东欧10国尚未达到一定的金融发展水平,无法从金融一体化中受益。研究认为,国际金融一体化本身并不能促进经济增长,中东欧10国的国家增长可以达到更高的金融一体化水平,进一步提高其金融开放度和金融发展水平。
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How Does International Financial Integration Really Affect Post-Transition Countries' Growth? Empirical evidence from the CEE-10 countries
Abstract This paper seeks to empirically explore how an international financial integration influences a country’s GDP growth. The long run relationship is tested by PMG estimator for the sample of ten EU countries from Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CEE-10 countries) between 1995 and 2017. Prior to the conducting of dynamic panel analysis based on PMG estimators, several panel unit root tests were conducted, as well as panel co integration tests. The findings offer mixed impact financial integration on growth. Among the measures of financial integration, growth of the CEE-10 countries is mostly driven in the long run by FDI inflows as well as remittances and financial openness. On the contrary, the study suggests a reversal relationship between growth and financial integration measured by Gross Foreign Assets and Liabilities in percentages of GDP. It might be explained with a fact that CEE-10 countries have not yet reached a certain level of financial development in order to benefit from financial integration. The study concludes that international financial integration does not per se enhance economic growth and country’s growth in the CEE-10 countries can be reached at a higher level of financial integration, further increase their financial openness and financial development.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
57.10%
发文量
31
审稿时长
7 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice is a scientific journal dedicated to publishing quality papers and disseminating original, relevant and applicable economic research. Scientific and professional papers that are published in the Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice cover theoretical and practical aspects of central banking, monetary policy, including the supervision issues, as well as banking and management in central banks. The purpose of the journal is to educate the general public about the key issues that the central bankers globally face, as well as about contemporary research and achievements in the field of central banking theory and practice.
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