基于2000-2020年回报价值的伊拉克经济面临的挑战优化

IF 0.6 Q2 Social Sciences Economic Annals-XXI Pub Date : 2021-12-27 DOI:10.21003/ea.v194-01
Nagham Hameed Abdulkhudhur Alyaseri
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文采用三种混合模型对2000-2020年伊拉克经济形势进行了分析。研究假设是从伊拉克证券市场的活动与当地金融和经济机构之间的相互作用的必要性出发的。利用Kolmogorov-Smirnov检验、正态性检验和多重共线性检验对假设进行了相应的验证。统计分析是基于三个数学模型对伊拉克货币市场的预期收益和风险值进行的。对给定数据进行了三个基本模型(优化(BO)、优化回报值(ORV)、一般优化风险(GOR))的优化和分析。研究得出了几个结论,其中最突出的是伊拉克证券市场的经济作用有限;由于预期的开放,由于非法资本流动可能导致非理性投机,国际危机可能产生的负面影响的潜在风险;由于易受国际挑战影响而难以实施货币和金融政策
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Optimization of the challenges facing the Iraqi economy based on the values of returns in 2000-2020
In this paper, the situation in the Iraqi economy for the period of 2000-2020 has been analyzed using three hybrid models. The research hypothesis was launched from the necessity of interaction between the activity of the Iraqi market for securities and the local financial and economic institutions. The hypothesis has been verified accordingly using Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test, normality test and Multicollinearity Test. The statistical analysis was based on the three mathematical models to expect return and risk values of Iraqi money market. Three basic models (optimization (BO), Optimized Return Value (ORV), General Optimization Risk (GOR)) have been conducted to optimize and analyze the given data accordingly. The research reached several conclusions, the most prominent of which is the limited economic role of the Iraqi market for securities; the potential exposure to negative effects that could be produced by international crises because of the expected openness, due to the possibility of illegal capital movements resulting in irrational speculation; the difficulty of implementing monetary and financial policies, due to vulnerability to international challenges
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来源期刊
Economic Annals-XXI
Economic Annals-XXI ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The Economic Annals-XXI Journal – recognized in Ukraine and abroad scientific-analytic edition. Scientific articles of leading Ukrainian and other foreign scientists, postgraduate students and doctorates, deputies of Ukraine, heads of state and local authorities, materials of scientific conferences and seminars; reviews on scientific monographs, etc. are regularly published in this Journal.
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