参数推理中未知总体最小值的处理

IF 1.4 4区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis Pub Date : 2022-05-05 DOI:10.1007/s10182-022-00445-9
Matheus Henrique Junqueira Saldanha, Adriano Kamimura Suzuki
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引用次数: 1

摘要

无数的物理、生物和其他现象可以用半无限分布族更好地建模,在这种情况下,不知道总体最小值在执行参数推理时变得很麻烦。处理这个问题的特别方法是存在的,但不是最优的,有时是不可行的。此外,让统计学家在个案的基础上手工制作解决方案会适得其反。在本文中,我们提出了一个可以分析问题的框架,并在文献中进行了广泛的搜索,以寻找可用于解决上述问题的方法;我们也提出了自己的方法。然后进行了仿真实验,比较了文献中的一些方法和我们的建议。我们发现,直接的方法,即通过最大似然推断总体最小值,在给出总体最小值的良好估计方面存在严重困难,但可以获得非常好的推断模型。其他方法,包括我们的建议,涉及估计总体最小值,我们发现,考虑到模拟的分布,我们的方法优于同类的其他方法,紧随其后的是Alves等人的端点估计器(Stat Sin 24(4): 1811-1835, 2014)。尽管这两种方法对总体最小值给出了更准确的估计,但直接的方法也显示出一些优势,因此在这三种方法之间进行选择将取决于问题领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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On dealing with the unknown population minimum in parametric inference

A myriad of physical, biological and other phenomena are better modeled with semi-infinite distribution families, in which case not knowing the population minimum becomes a hassle when performing parametric inference. Ad hoc methods to deal with this problem exist, but are suboptimal and sometimes unfeasible. Besides, having the statistician handcraft solutions in a case-by-case basis is counterproductive. In this paper, we propose a framework under which the issue can be analyzed, and perform an extensive search in the literature for methods that could be used to solve the aforementioned problem; we also propose a method of our own. Simulation experiments were then performed to compare some methods from the literature and our proposal. We found that the straightforward method, which is to infer the population minimum by maximum likelihood, has severe difficulty in giving a good estimate for the population minimum, but manages to achieve very good inferred models. The other methods, including our proposal, involve estimating the population minimum, and we found that our method is superior to the other methods of this kind, considering the distributions simulated, followed very closely by the endpoint estimator by Alves et al. (Stat Sin 24(4):1811–1835, 2014). Although these two give much more accurate estimates for the population minimum, the straightforward method also displays some advantages, so choosing between these three methods will depend on the problem domain.

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来源期刊
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis
Asta-Advances in Statistical Analysis 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
14.30%
发文量
39
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: AStA - Advances in Statistical Analysis, a journal of the German Statistical Society, is published quarterly and presents original contributions on statistical methods and applications and review articles.
期刊最新文献
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