宏观经济变量对印尼伊斯兰指数的影响能持续多久?

Achmad Jufri, S. Sakinah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在检验宏观经济变量滞后对印尼伊斯兰指数的影响。滞后的影响可以决定宏观经济变量影响伊斯兰指数的时间。观察到的宏观经济变量对伊斯兰指数的影响包括2011年5月至2021年12月的通货膨胀、工业生产指数、利率、汇率、金价、货币供应量和世界油价。所使用的方法是自回归分布式滞后(ARDL)模型。结果表明,宏观经济变量的滞后性对伊斯兰教法指数有影响。影响股票所需的时间各不相同。通货膨胀、金价和货币供应量至少需要1个月的时间才能影响股价。工业生产指数和汇率具有高速影响当时股价波动的能力。利率和世界油价至少需要三个月的时间才能影响股价。
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How Long Can Macroeconomic Variables Affect the Islamic Index in Indonesia?
This study aimed to examine the effect of macroeconomic variables' lags on Indonesia's Islamic index. The influence of lag can determine how long macroeconomic variables affect the Islamic index. The macroeconomic variables observed for their impact on the Islamic index are inflation, industrial production index, interest rates, exchange rates, gold prices, money supply, and world oil prices from May 2011 to December 2021. The approach used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results show that the lags of macroeconomic variables influence the sharia index. The time it takes to affect the stock varies. Inflation, gold prices, and the money supply need a minimum of 1 month to affect stock prices. Industrial production indices and exchange rates have a high-speed ability to influence stock price movements at that time. Interest rates and world oil prices take at least three months to affect stock prices.
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审稿时长
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