结果模糊的经济决策因风险高低而不同,但特质焦虑或抑郁则不一样

T. Zbozinek, C. Charpentier, Song Qi, D. Mobbs
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引用次数: 2

摘要

人生的大多数决定都涉及风险和不确定性,即是否会有回报或损失。决策者经常面临的不确定性不仅是结果的可能性(如果我问我的主管,我得到加薪的可能性有多大?我的主管因为我的要求而对我感到不满的可能性有多少。只有少数研究调查了具有模糊可能性的经济决策,更少的研究调查了模糊的结果幅度。在本报告中,我们使用受试者内部设计调查了低风险(研究1;\$3.60-\$5.70;N=367)和高风险(研究2;\$6-\$48;N=210)经济决策任务中模糊结果幅度、风险和收益/损失的影响。我们进行了计算建模,以确定个体对模糊结果幅度、风险和收益/损失的偏好/厌恶。我们还调查了特质焦虑和特质抑郁与决策参数之间的关系。我们的结果表明,增加赌注增加了模糊收益厌恶和模糊风险厌恶,但增加了模糊肯定损失偏好;相对于明确的风险收益,参与者也变得更加厌恶模糊的肯定收益。特质焦虑或特质抑郁对经济决策没有显著影响。我们的研究结果表明,随着赌注的增加,人们倾向于避免收益领域的不确定性(尤其是模糊收益),但更喜欢模糊的肯定损失。
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Economic decisions with ambiguous outcome magnitudes vary with low and high stakes but not trait anxiety or depression
Most of life’s decisions involve risk and uncertainty regarding whether reward or loss will follow. Decision makers often face uncertainty not only about the likelihood of outcomes (what are the chances that I will get a raise if I ask my supervisor? What are the chances that my supervisor will be upset with me for asking?) but also the magnitude of outcomes (if I do get a raise, how large will it be? If my supervisor gets upset, how bad will the consequences be for me?). Only a few studies have investigated economic decision making with ambiguous likelihoods, and even fewer have investigated ambiguous outcome magnitudes. In the present report, we investigated the effects of ambiguous outcome magnitude, risk, and gains/losses in an economic decision-making task with low stakes (Study 1; \$3.60-\$5.70; N = 367) and high stakes (Study 2; \$6-\$48; N = 210) using a within-subjects design. We conducted computational modeling to determine individuals’ preferences/aversions for ambiguous outcome magnitudes, risk, and gains/losses. We additionally investigated the association between trait anxiety and trait depression and decision-making parameters. Our results show that increasing stakes increased ambiguous gain aversion and unambiguous risk aversion but increased ambiguous sure loss preference; participants also became more averse to ambiguous sure gains relative to unambiguous risky gains. There were no significant effects of trait anxiety or trait depression on economic decision making. Our results suggest that as stakes increase, people tend to avoid uncertainty in the gain domain (especially ambiguous gains) but prefer ambiguous vs unambiguous sure losses.
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CiteScore
4.30
自引率
0.00%
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审稿时长
17 weeks
期刊最新文献
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