强降雨数据的聚类分析与空间插值

Zhi-Mou Chen, Y. Yeh, Ting-Chien Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

灾害期间降雨资料的测量是一项重要的工作。不幸的是,由于不可预测的因素,一些降雨数据将会丢失。因此,本研究首先收集了过去灾害事件的每小时降雨量记录。其次,采用统计聚类分析方法对各站点降水记录进行相关性分析。最后,在每个聚类中应用空间插值计算方法,对缺乏过去降雨记录的地区进行可靠的降雨预测。聚类分析结果表明,选取附近的3 ~ 4个雨量站进行空间插值分析,简化了计算过程。其中,分组聚类分析的结果可以提高山区降水估算的精度。本研究建立了可靠的降雨估算方法,为今后的区域灾害分析奠定了基础。
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The clustering analysis and spatial interpolation of intense rainfall data
The measurement of rainfall data during disaster periods is an important task. Unfortunately, some rainfall data will be missed owing to unpredictable factors. Therefore, this study first collected the hourly rainfall records from past disaster events. Next, a statistic cluster analysis method was used to analyse the correlation between the rainfall records in each station. Finally, a spatial interpolation computing method was applied within each cluster to predict reliable rainfall estimates for the areas that lacked past rainfall records. The cluster analysis results showed that selecting the nearby three to four rainfall stations for the spatial interpolation analysis simplified the calculation process. In particular, the result of grouped cluster analysis could enhance the accuracy of the rainfall estimation in the mountainous areas. This study established a reliable rainfall estimation method as a basis for future regional disaster analysis.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: The IJEM is a refereed international journal published to address contingencies and emergencies as well as crisis and disaster management. Coverage includes the issues associated with: storms and flooding; nuclear power accidents; ferry, air and rail accidents; computer viruses; earthquakes etc.
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