汇率对国际贸易的影响

IF 0.6 Q2 Social Sciences Economic Annals-XXI Pub Date : 2021-07-10 DOI:10.21003/ea.v190-02
Jalil Mehtiyev, R. Magda, Laszlo Vasa
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引用次数: 3

摘要

随着国际贸易活动的增加,有更多的监管措施可能成为贸易壁垒。其中一个障碍是汇率波动,直接和间接影响贸易活动。货币的汇率波动会影响一个国家的贸易活动和贸易平衡。该研究的启示之一是,从长远来看,货币政策变化对贸易活动的影响可以显著注意到。虽然对出口水平的影响通常是直接的,但从长远来看,进口水平会发生变化。该研究分析了通货膨胀和贬值之间的相关性,并明确说明了它们对贸易平衡的影响。以阿塞拜疆货币贬值为例,阐述了货币波动对出口的影响,并对其进行了实证分析。此外,基于经合组织和世界银行输出的数据,通过相关和多元回归分析,研究了通货膨胀和贬值的相关性及其对一国进口水平的影响。研究结果表明,汇率波动显著影响进出口贸易平衡。因此,汇率是一种非贸易壁垒,影响对外贸易。
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Exchange rate impacts on international trade
As international trade activities are increased, there are more regulative practices which might be barriers to trade. One of such hindrances is exchange rate volatility that affects trade activities both directly and indirectly. Exchange rate volatility of currencies can affect the trade engagements and as well as the trade balance of a country. One of the implications of the study is that the impacts of monetary policy changes on trade activities can be noticed significantly in the long-term. While impacts on export levels are usually immediate, import levels are changed in long-run. The research analyzes the correlation between inflation and devaluation and clearly states their impacts on trade balance. The case study about devaluation of the currency of Azerbaijan elaborates the impacts of currency volatility on exports which is illustrated and analyzed in this research. Moreover, inflation and devaluation correlations and their impacts on import level of a country are studied through correlation and multiple regression analyses based on the data exported from OECD and World Bank. The results conclude that exchange rate volatility significantly impacts the trade balance in terms of imports and exports. Given the results, exchange rate is a non-trade barrier and affects foreign trade.
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来源期刊
Economic Annals-XXI
Economic Annals-XXI ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The Economic Annals-XXI Journal – recognized in Ukraine and abroad scientific-analytic edition. Scientific articles of leading Ukrainian and other foreign scientists, postgraduate students and doctorates, deputies of Ukraine, heads of state and local authorities, materials of scientific conferences and seminars; reviews on scientific monographs, etc. are regularly published in this Journal.
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