基于LSTM的ISX上市公司股票收盘价格预测

Salim Sallal Al-Hassnawi, Laith Haleem Al Al-Hchemi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

金融市场对事件和情况的反应非常强烈,这可以从股票价值的剧烈波动中看出。因此,投资者很难猜测价格并做出投资决策,尤其是在统计技术无法模拟历史价格的情况下。本文旨在利用LSTM模型提出一种基于rnn的预测模型,用于预测伊拉克证券交易所(ISX)上市的四只股票的收盘价。使用的数据是ISX提供的2019年2月1日至2020年12月24日期间的历史收盘价。在使用MSE、RMSE和R2评估模型时,进行了几次尝试以改进模型训练并最小化预测误差。尽管时间序列具有强烈的波动性,但该模型在预测收盘价变动方面表现出较高的准确性。实证研究得出了依赖RNN-LSTM模型预测ISX收盘价和决策的可能性。
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Predicting The Stock Closing Price of ISX-Listed Companies Using LSTM
Financial markets are highly reactive to events and situations, as seen by the very volatile movement of stock values. As a result, investors are having difficulties guessing prices and making investment decisions, especially when statistical techniques have failed to model historical prices. This paper aims to propose an RNNs-based predictive model using the LSTM model for predicting the closing price of four stocks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange (ISX). The data used are historical closing prices provided by ISX for the period from 2/1/2019 to 24/12/2020. Several attempts were conducted to improve models training and minimize the prediction error, as models were evaluated using MSE, RMSE, and R2. The models performed high accuracy in predicting closing price movement, despite the Intense volatility of time series. The empirical study concluded the possibility of relying on the RNN-LSTM model in predicting close prices at the ISX as well as decisions making upon.
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