用分类回归树预测波尔山羊体质量

M. Mathapo, Thobela Louis Tyasi
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引用次数: 13

摘要

分类和回归树(CART)是一种预测算法方法,用于解释如何使用自变量(数值和字符)预测因变量。本研究旨在探讨波尔山羊体重与形态计量性状(体长、心围、瘤胃高度、瘤胃宽度、耳长、炮周和头宽)之间的关系,并根据形态计量性状估算波尔山羊的体重。此外,还考虑了年龄和性别。总共使用了七十一(71)只年龄在一岁到两岁之间的波尔山羊(雌性=57,雄性=14)。数据分析采用Pearson相关和CART。相关结果表明,雌性山羊的体重与HG(r=0.828)和BL(r=0.621)在(P<0.01)处呈高度正相关,与RH(r=0.558)和HW(r=0.512)在(P<0.05)处呈一致正相关,而雄性山羊的体重在(P<0.01)处与BL(r=0.727)、CC(r=0.642)、HG(r=0.564),RW(r=0.361)和EL(r=0.340)与RH(r=0.317)呈正相关(P<0.05)。相关分析结果表明,波尔山羊一年生的形态计量性状可用于提高体重。本研究中开发的CART模型可供饲养者用于向资源有限的波尔山羊养殖户提供建议,他们可以使用哪些形态计量特征来选择动物,以改善牛群。然而,还需要进一步的研究来验证CART在使用大样本量、不同面积或其他山羊品种从一岁波尔山羊的形态计量特征预测体重中的应用。
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Prediction of Body Weight of Yearling Boer Goats from Morphometric Traits using Classification and Regression Tree
Classification and Regression Tree (CART) is a predictive algorithm method used to explains how the dependent variable can be predicted using independent variables (numerical and characters). The study was conducted to investigate the relationship between body weight and morphometric traits (Body Length (BL), Heart Girth (HG), Rump Height (RH), Rump Width (RW), Ear Length (EL), Cannon Circumference (CC) and Head Width (HW)) and to estimate body weight from morphometric traits in yearling Boer goats. In addition, age and sex were also considered. A total of seventy-one (71) yearling Boer goats (female = 57 and male = 14) between the age of one year and two years old were used. Pearson correlation and CART were used for data analysis. Correlation results indicated that BW of female goats was highly positive significant at (P<0.01) with HG (r =0.828) and BL (r = 0.621) and consistently positively correlated at (P<0.05) with RH (r = 0.558) and HW (r = 0.512), while BW of male goats was highly positive significant at (P<0.01) with BL (r = 0.727), CC (r = 0.642), HG (r = 0.564), RW (r = 0.361) and EL (r = 0.340) and consistently positively significant at (P<0.05) correlated with RH (r = 0.317). CART findings showed that sex played a crucial role on body weight of yearling Boer goats. Correlation results suggest that morphometric traits of yearling Boer goats might be used to improve body weight. CART model developed in this study could be used by breeders to advice resource-limited Boer goats’ farmers which morphometric traits they can use to select their animals in order to improve their herd. However, further studies need to be done to validate the use of CART in prediction of body weight from morphometric traits of yearling Boer goats using large sample size, different area or other goat breeds.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
29
期刊介绍: American Journal of Animal and Veterinary Sciences, a quarterly, peer reviewed publication and is dedicated for publication of research articles in the field of biology of animals and with the scientific understanding of how animals work: from the physiology and biochemistry of tissues and major organ systems down to the structure and function of bio molecules and cells; particular emphasis would given to the studies of growth, reproduction, nutrition and lactation of farm and companion animals and how these processes may be optimized to improve animal re- productivity, health and welfare. Articles in support areas, such as genetics, soils, agricultural economics and marketing, legal aspects and the environment also are encouraged. AJAVS is an important source of researcher to study articles on protection of animal production practices, herd health and monitoring the spread of disease and prevention in both domestic and wild animals.
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