美国龙卷风:数据档案分析(1950-2018)

S. Pinna
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对美国国家海洋和大气管理局风暴预测中心龙卷风档案(涵盖1950-2018年)中的数据进行了统计分析。由于龙卷风报告方法和程序的变化,档案中存在一些不均匀性,因此可以有效地提供1991-2018年期间各种强度等级频率的实际平均值。F2、F3、F4和F5事件频率的时间序列呈下降趋势;这种下降似乎主要是由于最强事件的显著减少。这一解释得到了正常经济损失和受害者人数下降趋势的支持。
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I tornado negli USA: un'analisi dell'archivio dati (1950-2018)
A statistical analysis of the data contained in the NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center tornado archive (covering the period 1950-2018) has been carried out. The actual average values of the frequencies for the various intensity classes could be effectively provided for the period 1991-2018, because of some inhomogeneities of the archive due to variations in the methods and procedures of tornado reporting. The time series of the frequency of F2, F3, F4 and F5 events showed decreasing trends; this decline seems largely due to a significant reduction of the strongest events. This interpretation is supported by the decreasing trends of normalized economic losses and of number of victims.
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审稿时长
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