基于年龄组的跨期折扣研究

Jiří Rotschedl
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文主要研究按年龄组对个体进行跨期贴现的问题。使用被检查个体的样本,旨在验证个体的耐心随着年龄的增长而下降的假设。这项研究共包括599名平均年龄38.3岁(最小16岁,最大82岁)的人,他们回答了关于时间折扣和冲动行为的经典问题。总共分析了四种可能的情况:延迟1天的小额奖励(100捷克克朗)、延迟1个月的小额奖励、延迟1天(100000捷克克朗)的大额奖励和延迟1个小时的大额奖励。延迟奖励总是增加10%(即110捷克克朗或110000捷克克朗)。基本假设是,随着年龄的增长,主观贴现率增加,即耐心下降。对上述4种情景进行了假设评估,而四种情景中只有三种情景得到了所有假设的证实。受试者的研究结果表明,随着年龄的增长,他们的耐心会下降,同时冲动行为也会减少。这些发现可能与老龄化人口在消费或储蓄方面存在重叠。
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Study of Intertemporal Discounting According to Age Groups
The paper focuses on the topic of intertemporal discounting of individuals according to age groups. Using the sample of examined individuals, it aims to verify the hypothesis that the patience of individuals decreases with their increasing age. The study included a total of 599 individuals with an average age of 38.3 years (min. 16 and max. 82 years) who answered classical questions focused on time discounting and impulsive behaviour. In total, four possible scenarios were analysed: a small reward (CZK 100) with a delay of 1 day, a small reward with a delay of 1 month, a large reward (CZK 100,000) with a delay of 1 day and a large reward with a delay of 1 month. The delayed reward was always increased by 10% (i.e., CZK 110 or CZK 110,000). The basic hypothesis was that with increasing age, the subjective discount rate increases i.e., patience decreases. The above-mentioned 4 scenarios were evaluated for the hypotheses, while only three of the four scenarios were confirmed for all hypotheses. The results in the examined individuals suggest that with increasing age, there is a decrease in patience and at the same time a decrease in impulsive behaviour. These findings may have an overlap in consumption or savings in relation to the aging population.
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