收入不平等和财政整顿如何影响银行危机?后凯恩斯主义观点

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS Review of Economic Analysis Pub Date : 2021-03-24 DOI:10.15353/rea.v13i1.1712
Guillermo Peña
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这是第一篇估计人口平均面板logit概率模型的论文,该模型用于测试公共预算赤字与银行危机中收入不平等之间相互作用的重要性,研究对象为36个发达国家,从1961年到2011年。新的实证证据表明,不平等加剧是否与金融危机有关,证实了后凯恩斯主义作者的理论预期。提供了政策措施并进行了经验检验:虽然总体而言,收入不平等程度的加剧可能与金融危机有关;在财政整顿的背景下,收入不平等程度较高的国家可以更好地降低发生危机的可能性。一个原因可能是,政府可以利用这些公共盈余来减少收入不平等,这有助于减少违约和银行业危机。这些结果可能对学者和政策制定者有用。
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How do income inequality and fiscal consolidation impact on banking crises? A post-Keynesian view
This is the first paper in estimating a population-averaged panel logit probability model to test the importance of the interaction between deficit in the public budgeting and income inequality in banking crises, for 36 developed countries from 1961-2011. New empirical evidence is shown on whether rising inequality is linked with financial crises, corroborating theoretical expectations of post-Keynesian authors. Policy measures are provided and tested empirically: whilst in general terms higher levels of income inequality could be associated with financial crises; countries with high levels of income inequality could reduce the likelihood of a crisis better in a context of fiscal consolidation. One reason could be that governments could use this public surplus for reducing income inequality, which helps to reduce defaults and banking crises.  These results could be useful for academics, and policy-makers.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
10
审稿时长
26 weeks
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