人口峰值背景下生命周期视角下的新问题

IF 1.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Canadian Studies in Population Pub Date : 2018-05-03 DOI:10.25336/CSP29381
A. Bélanger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一个理论检验,即从生命周期的角度如何在人口峰值的背景下更好地评估加拿大的公共政策。它将进入不同人生阶段的年龄增加和预期寿命的增加所带来的生命周期模式的变化与新出现的与人口高峰有关的问题联系起来,如移民的招聘和老龄化,或广泛技能水平的未来劳动力需求和供应。尽管这篇论文的大部分都是理论性质的,但其中有一小段是实证的,并对加拿大出生和外国出生的经济抚养比的横截面和生命周期估计进行了对比。这些估计是从加拿大人口的动态微观模拟模型(LSD-C)中获得的,该模型考虑了人口群体之间劳动力参与或教育程度的差异等因素。文章最后就需要填补的最重要的数据空白提出了建议,以更好地为决策过程提供信息。
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Emerging issues in the life cycle perspective in the context of population peaking
This paper proposes a theoretical examination of how taking a life cycle perspective can provide a better assessment of Canadian public policies in the context of population peaking. It links the changing life cycle patterns brought by the increase in the age of entry into the different phases of life and the increase in life expectancy to emerging issues related to population peaking such as the recruitment and the aging of immigrants or the future labour demand and supply by broad skill levels. Although most of the paper is theoretical in nature, a short section of it takes an empirical look and contrasts cross-sectional and life cycle estimates of economic dependency ratios for Canadian-born and foreign-born. These estimates are obtained from a dynamic microsimulation model of the Canadian population (LSD-C) that takes into account, among other things, differentials in labour force participation or educational attainment between population groups. The article concludes with suggestions on the most important data gaps that need to be filled to better inform policymaking processes.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
16.70%
发文量
12
期刊介绍: Canadian Studies in Population is an established international forum for research on population processes in Canada and around the world. Emphasis is placed on cutting-edge research relevant to demography and other population-related fields (including economics, geography, sociology, health sciences, public policy, and environmental sciences). The journal publishes original research articles and brief research notes that make an empirical, theoretical or methodological contribution. Since its founding in 1974, Canadian Studies in Population has been the official journal of the Canadian Population Society (CPS) and the leading journal on population studies in Canada, promoting dialogue between Canadian researchers, statistical agencies and policymakers.
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