种族灭绝和政治化期间亲政府的国际军事干预

Gary Uzonyi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要为什么国家要进行军事干预,以支持正在实施种族灭绝或政治化的政权?以前的文献研究了为什么国家会干预以阻止此类暴行,但忽略了为什么一些国家支持谋杀政权。我认为,当这种支持在军事和战略上有利时,国家支持致命政权。特别是,我认为第三方可能会在内战时期支持他们的盟友,尽管有谋杀政策。对1955年至2005年间所有种族灭绝和政治事件的统计分析支持了这一论点。重要的是,我还发现,在后冷战时代,第三方支持致命政权的可能性同样大。这些发现质疑国际环境中的规范性变化是否正在影响国家在重要军事计算方面的决策。
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Pro-government international military intervention during genocide and politicide
Abstract Why do states intervene militarily to support regimes that are committing genocide or politicide? Previous literature examines why states intervene to stop such atrocities, but overlooks why some states support murderous regimes. I argue that states support lethal regimes when such support is militarily and strategically beneficial. In particular, I posit that third-parties are likely to support their allies in time of civil war, despite murderous policies. Statistical analysis of all genocides and politicides between 1955 and 2005 supports this argument. Importantly, I also find that third-parties are no less likely to support lethal regimes in the post-Cold War era. These findings question whether normative change in the international environment is influencing state decision-making on important military calculations.
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