阿基米德交配式的推论

IF 4.3 3区 材料科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC ACS Applied Electronic Materials Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI:10.1214/19-aos1836
Simon Chatelain, Anne-Laure Fougères, J. Nešlehová
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引用次数: 9

摘要

阿基米德copula模型可以解释极端之间的任何类型的渐近依赖性,同时捕捉中等水平的联合风险。阿基米德copula由两个函数参数表征,即稳定的尾部依赖函数和扭曲极值依赖结构的阿基米德生成器ψ。本文发展了阿基米德copula的半参数推断:`的非参数估计量和ψ的基于矩的估计量,假设后者属于参数族。导出了ψ和`可识别的条件。然后在广义正则性条件下建立了估计量的渐近行为;通过全面的模拟研究来评估小样本的性能。然后使用Clayton发电机的阿基米德copula模型来分析法属布列塔尼三个站点的月最大降雨量。该模型在下尾部和上尾部都很好地拟合了数据。`的非参数估计揭示了站点之间的非对称极值依赖性,反映了该地区的强降水模式。在线补充中提供了技术证明、模拟结果和R代码。
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Inference for Archimax copulas
Archimax copula models can account for any type of asymptotic dependence between extremes and at the same time capture joint risks at medium levels. An Archimax copula is characterized by two functional parameters, the stable tail dependence function `, and the Archimedean generator ψ which distorts the extreme-value dependence structure. This article develops semiparametric inference for Archimax copulas: a nonparametric estimator of ` and a momentbased estimator of ψ assuming the latter belongs to a parametric family. Conditions under which ψ and ` are identifiable are derived. The asymptotic behavior of the estimators is then established under broad regularity conditions; performance in small samples is assessed through a comprehensive simulation study. The Archimax copula model with the Clayton generator is then used to analyze monthly rainfall maxima at three stations in French Brittany. The model is seen to fit the data very well, both in the lower and in the upper tail. The nonparametric estimator of ` reveals asymmetric extremal dependence between the stations, which reflects heavy precipitation patterns in the area. Technical proofs, simulation results and R code are provided in the Online Supplement.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
4.30%
发文量
567
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