{"title":"积极管理的核心悖论:最大化信息比率是适得其反的","authors":"Dan Dibartolomeo","doi":"10.3905/jpm.2023.1.509","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The use of “information ratios” for benchmark relative (active) returns seems like a small step from the use of the Sharpe ratio for absolute returns. However, something very important got overlooked in that extension. While it is possible (even likely) that all risky assets will outperform the risk-free rate over a sufficiently long horizon, it is impossible for all active managers to outperform sensible benchmarks, even though all active managers (and their investors) must believe they will outperform to rationally pursue active management. Obviously, a material portion of active investors must underperform benchmarks, even though none expects to do so. This failure to accept arithmetic reality is known as the “Central Paradox of Active Management.” This inherent “wrongness” is not reflected in the way an information ratio (IR) is calculated as a simple coefficient of variation, leaving conventional IR values upward biased as performance measures. In this article, the framing of the algebra shows that the degree of bias increases with IR in a nonlinear fashion, so the conventional view that portfolio managers should seek to maximize their information ratio is demonstrably counterproductive.","PeriodicalId":53670,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Portfolio Management","volume":"49 1","pages":"25 - 33"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Central Paradox of Active Management: Maximizing the Information Ratio Is Counterproductive\",\"authors\":\"Dan Dibartolomeo\",\"doi\":\"10.3905/jpm.2023.1.509\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The use of “information ratios” for benchmark relative (active) returns seems like a small step from the use of the Sharpe ratio for absolute returns. However, something very important got overlooked in that extension. While it is possible (even likely) that all risky assets will outperform the risk-free rate over a sufficiently long horizon, it is impossible for all active managers to outperform sensible benchmarks, even though all active managers (and their investors) must believe they will outperform to rationally pursue active management. Obviously, a material portion of active investors must underperform benchmarks, even though none expects to do so. This failure to accept arithmetic reality is known as the “Central Paradox of Active Management.” This inherent “wrongness” is not reflected in the way an information ratio (IR) is calculated as a simple coefficient of variation, leaving conventional IR values upward biased as performance measures. In this article, the framing of the algebra shows that the degree of bias increases with IR in a nonlinear fashion, so the conventional view that portfolio managers should seek to maximize their information ratio is demonstrably counterproductive.\",\"PeriodicalId\":53670,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Portfolio Management\",\"volume\":\"49 1\",\"pages\":\"25 - 33\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Portfolio Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.2023.1.509\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Portfolio Management","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.2023.1.509","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Central Paradox of Active Management: Maximizing the Information Ratio Is Counterproductive
The use of “information ratios” for benchmark relative (active) returns seems like a small step from the use of the Sharpe ratio for absolute returns. However, something very important got overlooked in that extension. While it is possible (even likely) that all risky assets will outperform the risk-free rate over a sufficiently long horizon, it is impossible for all active managers to outperform sensible benchmarks, even though all active managers (and their investors) must believe they will outperform to rationally pursue active management. Obviously, a material portion of active investors must underperform benchmarks, even though none expects to do so. This failure to accept arithmetic reality is known as the “Central Paradox of Active Management.” This inherent “wrongness” is not reflected in the way an information ratio (IR) is calculated as a simple coefficient of variation, leaving conventional IR values upward biased as performance measures. In this article, the framing of the algebra shows that the degree of bias increases with IR in a nonlinear fashion, so the conventional view that portfolio managers should seek to maximize their information ratio is demonstrably counterproductive.
期刊介绍:
Founded by Peter Bernstein in 1974, The Journal of Portfolio Management (JPM) is the definitive source of thought-provoking analysis and practical techniques in institutional investing. It offers cutting-edge research on asset allocation, performance measurement, market trends, risk management, portfolio optimization, and more. Each quarterly issue of JPM features articles by the most renowned researchers and practitioners—including Nobel laureates—whose works define modern portfolio theory.