金砖国家新兴市场联系:来自2008年全球金融危机的证据

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Journal of Private Equity Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI:10.3905/jpe.2019.1.089
Ritesh Patel
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文的目的是利用协整分析和因子分析来研究金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)新兴市场在2008年全球金融危机中的市场整合。研究发现,在2008年金融危机前后,金砖国家新兴市场相互协同一体化,2008年金融危机后,金砖国家新兴市场进一步走向一体化。格兰杰因果关系和Johnsen协整检验表明,中国、印度和俄罗斯的股票市场具有较强的短期和长期关系。因子分析表明,金砖国家市场在金融危机后更加紧密。巴西、俄罗斯、印度和中国似乎有着密切的因果关系。运用相关检验、格兰杰因果检验、约翰森协整检验和因子分析对金砖国家市场整合进行检验。俄罗斯、印度和中国股市之间的相关系数随着市场贸易的增加和地理上的接近而增加。本文对投资者、政府和跨国公司具有实际意义。主题:新兴市场,金融危机和金融市场历史,统计方法
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BRICS Emerging Markets Linkages: Evidence from the 2008 Global Financial Crisis
The objective of this article is to examine the market integration among the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) emerging markets with respect to the global financial crisis of 2008 using cointegration analysis and factor analysis. The study finds that the BRICS emerging markets are cointegrated with each other during the pre- and post-2008 financial crisis period, and the markets have been moving toward greater integration after the 2008 financial crisis. The Granger causality and Johnsen cointegration tests show that the stock markets of China, India, and Russia have strong short-term and long-run relationships. Factor analysis reveals that the BRICS markets have become closer after the financial crisis. Brazil, Russia, India, and China appear to have close causal linkages. The market integration among BRICS markets is tested using correlation, Granger causality test, Johansen’s cointegration test, and factor analysis. The correlation coefficient among the stock markets of Russia, India, and China increases as markets increase in trade and geographical closeness. This article has practical implications for investors, governments, and multinational companies. TOPICS: Emerging markets, financial crises and financial market history, statistical methods
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来源期刊
Journal of Private Equity
Journal of Private Equity BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
0.40
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0.00%
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0
期刊介绍: The Journal of Private Equity (JPE) gives you in-depth analysis of today"s most innovative strategies and techniques in private equity and venture capital. It shows you the what, how and why of successful deals with detailed explanations, probing analysis, and real-life case studies—and shows you how to immediately apply them to your own deals.
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