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International Trade and Stock Market Integration: Evidence from Study of India and Its Major Trading Partners 国际贸易与股票市场一体化:来自印度及其主要贸易伙伴研究的证据
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.093
Ritesh Patel
The objective of this article is to examine the integration among the stock markets of India and its major trading partners with respect to the 2008 global financial crisis. The study is conducted on India and its major trading partners: the United States, China, Germany, Switzerland, Russia, Hong Kong, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. This article uses daily returns covering a period of 18 years, from January 1, 2001 to December 31, 2018 (pre-crisis period from January 1, 2001 to December 31, 2008 and post-crisis period from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2018). The study uses correlation, unit root test, Granger causality, the Johnsen cointegration test, and generalized method of moments (GMM) to evaluate the integration among the markets. The Granger causality test found short-term integration among the majority of the markets. The Johnsen cointegration test and GMM found long-term integration among the markets. It was interesting to find that after the financial crisis the stock markets became more integrated to an increase in international trade. The factor analysis revealed that before the financial crisis, the NASDAQ was closer to the Bombay Stock Exchange Index (BSE) as compared to the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSE). However, after the financial crisis, the SSE is closer to the BSE as compared to the NADAQ. The reason for such an outcome is the increase in trade with China after the financial crisis. The outcome of this study has implications for the government in framing international trade policy considering the other member countries. Investors can design their investment portfolio for the short run and long run by considering the changing degrees of financial risks of different securities. This article has practical implication for multinational corporations (MNCs) in policy decision making. This article is limited in that it addresses only eight major trading partners of India. TOPICS: Exchanges/markets/clearinghouses, developed markets, emerging markets, frontier markets, global markets Key Findings • Investors can design their investment portfolios by considering the risk-return dynamics with respect to trade and investment. • Investors can avoid certain countries, if there is a trade war between those countries. • MNCs can design their investment and diversification plans looking at the integration and trade across the markets.
本文的目的是研究印度及其主要贸易伙伴的股票市场与2008年全球金融危机之间的整合。这项研究是针对印度及其主要贸易伙伴进行的:美国、中国、德国、瑞士、俄罗斯、香港、沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国。本文使用的日收益覆盖18年,从2001年1月1日到2018年12月31日(危机前为2001年1月1日至2008年12月31日,危机后为2009年1月1日至2018年12月31日)。本研究采用相关性、单位根检验、格兰杰因果关系、Johnsen协整检验和广义矩量法(GMM)来评估市场间的整合。格兰杰因果检验发现,大多数市场之间存在短期整合。johnson协整检验和GMM发现市场之间存在长期整合。有趣的是,在金融危机之后,股票市场与国际贸易的增长更加紧密地联系在一起。因子分析显示,在金融危机之前,纳斯达克指数比上海证券交易所综合指数更接近孟买证券交易所指数(BSE)。然而,在金融危机之后,上证指数比纳斯达克指数更接近BSE。出现这种结果的原因是金融危机后与中国的贸易增加。本研究的结果对政府在制定国际贸易政策时考虑到其他成员国具有启示意义。投资者可以根据不同证券金融风险的变化程度,设计短期和长期的投资组合。本文对跨国公司的政策制定具有现实意义。这篇文章的局限性在于它只涉及印度的八个主要贸易伙伴。主题:交易所/市场/清算所,发达市场,新兴市场,前沿市场,全球市场主要发现•投资者可以通过考虑贸易和投资方面的风险回报动态来设计他们的投资组合。•投资者可以避开某些国家,如果这些国家之间发生贸易战的话。•跨国公司可以设计他们的投资和多元化计划,着眼于跨市场的整合和贸易。
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引用次数: 5
The Future Dynamics of the Chemical Distribution Business in the ASEAN with the Anticipated Surge of M&A 随着并购的预期激增,东盟化学品分销业务的未来动态
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.092
T. Bee
The chemical distribution market size was worth about €210.00 billion in 2015 and is expected to reach €440.00 billion by the year 2030. The specialty chemical distribution market itself had a global market size of about €97.00 billion, of which the Asia-Pacific market contributes about €40 billion (sales in 2017). Asia Pacific has the largest specialty chemical market, and it is the fastest growing, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.8% from 2012 to 2017. North America and Western Europe had a smaller specialty chemical distributor market size and significantly smaller growth rate than the Asia-Pacific market. Chemical consumption in North America and the Western Europe regions is decreasing because of weaker demand from the mature Western economies. The bright spot is that the increased growth of the chemical distribution business through to 2022 will originate from the Asia-Pacific region. Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activities will pick up tremendously in the Asia-Pacific region as global companies search for fast growth in their business and will opt for M&A to grow inorganically. TOPICS: Developed markets, emerging markets, frontier markets Key Findings • Who are the major chemical distributors operating in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)? • Who are the possible potential targets for M&A for the global chemical distributors in the ASEAN? • Are there any other strategies for the global chemical distributors to grow in the ASEAN without doing any acquisition?
2015年,化学品分销市场规模约为2100亿欧元,预计到2030年将达到4400亿欧元。特种化学品分销市场本身的全球市场规模约为970亿欧元,其中亚太市场贡献了约400亿欧元(2017年销售额)。亚太地区拥有最大的特种化学品市场,也是增长最快的市场,2012年至2017年的复合年增长率为6.8%。北美和西欧的特种化学品分销商市场规模较小,增长率明显低于亚太市场。由于成熟的西方经济体需求疲软,北美和西欧地区的化学品消费量正在下降。亮点在于,截至2022年,化学品分销业务的增长将来自亚太地区。随着全球公司寻求业务的快速增长,并选择并购无组织增长,亚太地区的并购活动将大幅增加。主题:发达市场、新兴市场、前沿市场关键发现•亚太地区,特别是东南亚国家联盟(东盟)的主要化学品分销商是谁?•东盟全球化学品分销商的潜在并购目标是谁?•全球化学品分销商是否有其他战略可以在不进行任何收购的情况下在东盟发展?
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引用次数: 0
Private Equity and Qualified Small Business Stock: Tax Implications of Various Holding Company Structures for Control Investments 私募股权和合格的小企业股票:不同控股公司结构对控制性投资的税收影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.099
M. Spiro
In recent years, interest has grown in structuring private equity acquisitions to take advantage of the tax incentives associated with investments in qualified small business stock (QSBS). Although QSBS can often provide a meaningful tax benefit for private equity investors, deciding whether—and how—to structure a control investment for QSBS can be highly complex. This article considers the benefits of QSBS relative to investments in certain flow-through entities and explores several legal ambiguities and anomalies that lead to both planning opportunities and traps for the unwary in structuring platform investments and add-on acquisitions in a manner that optimizes QSBS. TOPICS: Private equity, legal/regulatory/public policy Key Findings • A description of the pre- and posttax IRR implications of an investment in QSBS. • A discussion of the impact of management rollover on QSBS. • Implications of various structures on the ability to maximize QSBS gain exclusion.
近年来,人们对构建私人股本收购的兴趣日益浓厚,以利用与投资合格小企业股票(QSBS)相关的税收优惠。尽管QSBS通常可以为私人股本投资者提供有意义的税收优惠,但决定是否以及如何为QSBS构建控制投资可能非常复杂。本文考虑了QSBS相对于某些流动实体投资的好处,并探讨了一些法律上的歧义和异常,这些歧义和异常会导致在以优化QSBS的方式构建平台投资和附加收购时粗心的规划机会和陷阱。主题:私募股权,法律/监管/公共政策主要发现•对QSBS投资的税前和税后IRR影响的描述。•讨论管理轮转对QSBS的影响。•各种结构对最大化QSBS增益排除能力的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Start-Up Accelerators and Crowdfunding to Drive Innovation Development 创业加速器和众筹推动创新发展
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.091
W. Harris, Jarunee Wonglimpiyarat
This article attempts to study the mechanisms of start-up accelerators and crowdfunding to support entrepreneurial development in Thailand. In particular, the study explores the major accelerator programs to support innovation commercialization and the start-up eco-innovation system. The results show the problems of a weak triple helix system: The interactions among universities, industry and government are not strong enough to drive effective technology commercialization. Arguably, the accelerator program should act as an intermediary among the institutional spheres to provide interactive linkages and promote effective utilization of research results. The empirical study provides insightful implications on the move toward Thailand 4.0 and the lessons Thailand can offer on stimulating entrepreneurial development that can be applied to other developing economies. TOPICS: Emerging markets, private equity, factor-based models Key Findings • The Thai government has established the start-up eco-innovation system so as to transition to a new economic model of Thailand 4.0. • The Thai government has adopted the US model in building the start-up eco-innovation system. • The effective start-up eco-innovation system in Cambridge, USA is mainly fueled by strong Triple Helix interactions.
本文试图研究泰国创业加速器和众筹支持创业发展的机制。重点探讨了支持创新商业化的主要加速器项目和创业生态创新体系。研究结果表明,弱三螺旋体系存在的问题是:大学、产业和政府之间的相互作用不足以推动有效的技术商业化。可以说,加速器方案应作为机构领域之间的中介,提供互动联系,促进研究成果的有效利用。该实证研究为泰国4.0的发展提供了深刻的启示,并为泰国在刺激创业发展方面提供了可应用于其他发展中经济体的经验。•泰国政府建立了创业生态创新体系,以过渡到泰国4.0的新经济模式。•泰国政府在创业生态创新体系建设上采用了美国模式。•美国剑桥有效的创业生态创新系统主要是由强大的三螺旋相互作用推动的。
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引用次数: 5
New Horizons of Behavioral Valuation 行为评估的新视野
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.094
S. Bogatyrev
The study described in this article seeks to solve the problem of investment decisions in the current environment, where investor irrationality comes to the front and blinds traditional classical analytical tools. During the post-crisis period, it becomes a problem not only for Russian valuation analysts but globally as well. The present study uses a behavioral finance methodology to solve this problem. To illustrate the solution, we used the discounted cash flow valuation techniques on a huge amount of on-sale Russian businesses and then applied quantitative financial solution methods to process multiple results. TOPICS: Private equity, factor-based models, developed markets Key Findings • The article provides strict, consistent and interconnected analytical instruments to measure how sentiments have an influence on prices and lead to different interpretations of risks and returns in behavioral finance theories. • The methodology described in the article shows how sentiment is ref lected in the stochastic discount factor. • The article illustrates particular M&A market methods for implementation of the stochastic discount factor-based behavioral pricing theory.
本文所描述的研究试图解决当前环境中的投资决策问题,在当前环境中,投资者的非理性凸显出来,并遮蔽了传统的经典分析工具。在后危机时期,这不仅成为俄罗斯估值分析师的问题,也成为全球的问题。本研究采用行为金融学方法来解决这一问题。为了说明解决方案,我们对大量在售俄罗斯企业使用了贴现现金流估值技术,然后应用定量财务解决方案方法来处理多个结果。主题:私募股权、基于因素的模型、发达市场关键发现•本文提供了严格、一致和相互关联的分析工具,以衡量情绪如何影响价格,并导致行为金融理论中对风险和回报的不同解释。•文章中描述的方法显示了如何在随机贴现因子中重新选择情绪。•本文阐述了基于随机贴现因子的行为定价理论在并购市场中的具体实施方法。
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引用次数: 0
Infrastructure Investment as a True Portfolio Diversifier 基础设施投资是真正的投资组合多元化
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.096
C. Duclos
Often compared to real estate for its inner characteristics, infrastructure (e.g., railways, bridges, ports) is an alternative asset deeply involved in the growth and development of the countries where it is implemented; infrastructure is also intertwined with the political and economic environments of these countries. Developing and developed countries face different problems in terms of infrastructure investments. European countries are improving quality of life with better transportation networks, access to renewable energy, and social infrastructures. Countries try to achieve economic growth through the improvement of economic infrastructure. In developing countries, it is social infrastructure (e.g., hospitals, schools, desalination plants, waste and water treatment plants) that dominates the field, with the goal of achieving a higher level of economic and social development. Infrastructure investments have specific features that differentiate them from traditional assets, among them low volatility of cash flows, indexation to inflation, predictable and steady stream of cash flows, large capital outlays at the start, and nearly nonexistent capital cash outs thereafter. Investment in infrastructure was previously considered to be low risk and low return, although this depends on the sector chosen for investment. This article aims to compare a diversified portfolio, namely the Yale endowment fund investment portfolio, with a portfolio fully invested in infrastructure investments to determine which is the most efficient. The Excel tool solver was used to obtain optimal portfolios. The author maximizes the Roy’s safety-first ratio: a risk-adjusted return performance metric measuring the risk that the portfolio value will fall below a minimum acceptable level over a time period. The author considers various levels of risk aversion as minimum return requirements. The diversified portfolio appears to be the most efficient for all types of investors. However, during a financial crisis, the portfolio made up of infrastructure investments is the least affected and the most efficient. The analysis demonstrates that infrastructure investments are less affected by specific economic situations than are other types of assets, although a diversified portfolio is more efficient in normal times. TOPICS: Other real assets, private equity, real assets/alternative investments/private equity, frontier markets Key Findings • Infrastructure deals differ from traditional assets; they are long term investments providing stable cash flows with a low volatility. • This article measures the risk-adjusted return of a portfolio using the Roy’s safety-first ratio allowing us to determine the best allocation of capital to maximize it. • Infrastructure investments do diversify portfolios by reducing it is volatility to external events, such as a financial crisis.
基础设施(如铁路、桥梁、港口)的内在特征通常与房地产相比较,它是一种替代性资产,与所在国的增长和发展密切相关;基础设施也与这些国家的政治和经济环境交织在一起。发展中国家和发达国家在基础设施投资方面面临不同的问题。欧洲国家正在通过更好的交通网络、可再生能源和社会基础设施来提高生活质量。各国试图通过改善经济基础设施来实现经济增长。在发展中国家,占主导地位的是社会基础设施(如医院、学校、海水淡化厂、废物和水处理厂),其目标是实现更高水平的经济和社会发展。基础设施投资具有与传统资产不同的特定特征,其中包括现金流的低波动性、通货膨胀指数化、可预测和稳定的现金流、开始时的大量资本支出以及此后几乎不存在的资本套现。基础设施投资以前被认为是低风险和低回报的,尽管这取决于所选择的投资领域。本文旨在比较多元化投资组合,即耶鲁捐赠基金投资组合与完全投资于基础设施投资的投资组合,以确定哪种投资组合效率最高。利用Excel工具求解器求出最优组合。作者最大化了罗伊的安全第一比率:一个风险调整后的回报绩效指标,衡量投资组合价值在一段时间内低于最低可接受水平的风险。作者考虑了不同程度的风险厌恶作为最低回报要求。对所有类型的投资者来说,多元化投资组合似乎是最有效的。然而,在金融危机期间,由基础设施投资组成的投资组合受到的影响最小,效率最高。分析表明,与其他类型的资产相比,基础设施投资受特定经济形势的影响较小,尽管多元化投资组合在正常时期效率更高。主题:其他实物资产,私募股权,实物资产/另类投资/私募股权,前沿市场它们是长期投资,提供稳定的现金流,波动性低。•本文使用罗伊的安全第一比率来衡量投资组合的风险调整回报,使我们能够确定最佳的资本配置,以最大化它。•基础设施投资确实通过降低其对外部事件(如金融危机)的波动性来实现投资组合多元化。
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引用次数: 3
Economic Growth, Poverty, and Income Inequality: Implications for Lower- and Middle-Income Countries in the Era of Globalization 经济增长、贫困和收入不平等:全球化时代对中低收入国家的影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.097
Houda Lechheb, H. Ouakil, Youness Jouilil
The main goal of this article is to establish a dynamic profile of poverty and to evaluate the impact of economic growth on poverty and income inequality. The economic literature inspired by the previous theoretical works of Alesina and Perotti (1993), Ravallion (2004), Stiglitz (2013), and Ferreira (2016) shows that there is an inverse correlation between the income inequality approached by the Gini index and the economic growth measured by the gross domestic product (GDP), but the facts prove that this is not always the case. The objective of this article is to establish whether there is econometric evidence of such relationships. For this purpose, the authors used econometric methods to take into account the heterogeneity of the panel data used (lower-middle-income countries in the period covering 1970–2018). Using a fixed-effect approach and consistent with expectations, the authors argue that an increase in income inequality decreases GDP per capita in the selected sample. The authors found, after controlling for heterogeneity, an overall one-percentage-point rise in the poverty gap and that the Gini index decreased GDP per capita by around 3.8% and 6.8%, respectively. Accordingly, the path to sustainable economic growth in the future passes through a reduction of inequalities, especially income inequalities, by instituting public actions and policies for the poorest people. TOPIC: Financial crises and financial market history Key Findings • Using a fixed-effect approach the authors argue that an increase in income inequality decreases GDP per capita in the selected sample. The authors found, after controlling for heterogeneity, an overall one percentage-point rise in the poverty gap and that the Gini index decreased GDP per capita by around 3.8% and 6.8%, respectively. • Accordingly, the path to sustainable economic growth in the future passes through a reduction of inequalities, especially income inequalities, by instituting public actions and policies for the poorest people. • They affirm that economic growth is not enough to eradicate poverty. Although it is a necessary and insufficient condition, it must be combined with the implementation of targeted actions and policies to reduce present and future inequalities.
本文的主要目标是建立贫困的动态概况,并评估经济增长对贫困和收入不平等的影响。受Alesina和Perotti(1993)、Ravallion(2004)、Stiglitz(2013)和Ferreira(2016)先前理论著作启发的经济文献表明,基尼指数所接近的收入不平等与国内生产总值(GDP)所衡量的经济增长之间存在负相关,但事实证明并非总是如此。本文的目的是确定是否存在这种关系的计量经济学证据。为此,作者使用计量经济学方法考虑了所用面板数据的异质性(1970年至2018年期间的中低收入国家)。作者使用固定效应方法,并与预期一致,认为收入不平等的加剧会降低所选样本的人均GDP。作者发现,在控制了异质性后,贫困差距总体上增加了一个百分点,基尼指数使人均GDP分别下降了3.8%和6.8%左右。因此,未来实现可持续经济增长的途径是通过为最贫穷的人制定公共行动和政策,减少不平等,特别是收入不平等。主题:金融危机和金融市场历史关键发现•使用固定效应方法,作者认为收入不平等的加剧会降低所选样本中的人均GDP。作者发现,在控制了异质性后,贫困差距总体上增加了一个百分点,基尼指数使人均GDP分别下降了3.8%和6.8%。•因此,未来实现可持续经济增长的途径是通过为最贫穷的人制定公共行动和政策,减少不平等,特别是收入不平等。•他们申明,经济增长不足以消除贫困。尽管这是一个必要和不充分的条件,但必须与实施有针对性的行动和政策相结合,以减少目前和未来的不平等。
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引用次数: 2
Overview of Venture Capital Landscape in India 印度风险投资格局概述
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.098
Mohammad Mustafa
It is difficult to find an overview of the Indian venture capital industry because no systematic attempt has been made. To fill this critical gap, the author wants to offer an overall understanding of the Indian venture capital industry. The definition of venture capital is tricky, and the author proposes to use the term to refer only to start-up, early stage, and growth venture capital–stage funding. The term thus encompasses only traditional venture capital. To create an overall understanding or overview of Indian venture capital, the author will cover the following: • How has the venture capital industry in India developed in recent years and how will it continue to develop in the future? Which factors influence its development? • How does it compare to other private market investment asset classes in India and other developed venture markets such as the United States and Europe? • How are Indian venture funds structured in terms of organization? What are the sources for the funds invested in Indian venture capital? • What are the investment patterns of venture capital investment, in terms of, for example, venture stage, industry sectors, investment size, deal trends, and geography? • What exit mechanisms are used? Which exit mechanism has been more favorable and why? • What levels of return are achieved? TOPICS: Security analysis and valuation, statistical methods, emerging markets, risk management, private equity Key Findings • The Indian Venture Capital ecosystem has matured over the last 15 years, it is still a relatively young VC ecosystem as compared to developed markets like US & Europe, with around 4% share of global venture capital investments. This growth is noticeable and is in stark contrast to 2004, when venture investments were almost negligible in India. • While India received around 2.6% of global private-market investments from 2009–2017 period, private equity comprising of growth, buyout, turnaround & mezzanine funding have attracted majority (48%) of these investments. Share of venture capital was 16% of the overall private-market investments during this period. • Share of Series A Investments in value terms has fallen to 13% in 2016–2019 period from 40% in 2005–2010 period, with Series B & above gaining ground during these years. This reflects that VC ecosystem is maturing and promising start-ups are being funded throughout their growth journey. • Mergers & acquisitions (47%) followed by secondary sales (29%) have been the most preferred exit routes in terms of number of exits as of 2018. The ecosystem needs to create large no. of IPO exits across the value spectrum to build a more sustainable exit scenario. Further, unlike US, India doesn’t have a robust data repository on returns and other benchmarks of venture funds. Industry associations and regulatory bodies need to evolve more scientific ways to track returns data to create an accurate picture of the ecosystem.
很难找到印度风险投资行业的概况,因为没有进行系统的尝试。为了填补这一关键空白,作者希望提供对印度风险投资行业的全面了解。风险资本的定义是棘手的,作者建议使用该术语仅指启动阶段,早期阶段和成长型风险资本阶段的资金。因此,这个术语只包括传统的风险资本。为了对印度风险投资有一个全面的了解或概述,作者将涵盖以下内容:•印度的风险投资行业近年来是如何发展的,未来将如何继续发展?哪些因素影响了它的发展?•与印度和美国、欧洲等其他发达风险投资市场的其他私人市场投资资产类别相比,它如何?•印度风险基金的组织结构如何?印度风险投资的资金来源是什么?•风险投资的投资模式是什么,例如,风险阶段、行业部门、投资规模、交易趋势和地理位置?•使用什么退出机制?哪一种退出机制更有利?为什么?•实现了什么水平的回报?•印度风险投资生态系统在过去15年中已经成熟,与美国和欧洲等发达市场相比,它仍然是一个相对年轻的风险投资生态系统,占全球风险投资的4%左右。这一增长引人注目,与2004年形成鲜明对比,当时印度的风险投资几乎可以忽略不计。•虽然印度在2009-2017年期间获得了约2.6%的全球私人市场投资,但包括增长,收购,周转和夹层融资在内的私募股权吸引了这些投资的大部分(48%)。在此期间,风险资本占整个私人市场投资的16%。•按价值计算,A轮投资的份额从2005-2010年的40%降至2016-2019年的13%,B轮及以上的投资在这几年有所增长。这反映了风投生态系统正在成熟,有前途的初创企业在其成长过程中都得到了资助。•截至2018年,就退出数量而言,并购(47%)其次是二手销售(29%)是最受欢迎的退出途径。生态系统需要创造巨大的no。以建立一个更可持续的退出方案。此外,与美国不同,印度没有关于风险基金回报和其他基准的强大数据库。行业协会和监管机构需要发展更科学的方法来跟踪回报数据,以创建一个准确的生态系统。
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引用次数: 2
Michael Milken: The Junk Dealer 迈克尔·米尔肯:旧货贩子
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-10-10 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.1.095
R. Kashyap
The author takes a closer look at the life and legacy of Michael Milken. He discusses why Michael Milken, also known as the Junk Bond King, was not just any other king or run-of-the-mill junk dealer, but, in fact, “The Junk Dealer.” The author finds parallels between the three parts to any magic act and what Michael Milken did, showing that his accomplishments were nothing short of a miracle. Milken’s compensation at that time captures, to a certain extent, the magnitude of the changes he brought about, the ecosystem he created for businesses to flourish, and the impact he had on the wider economy and on the future growth and development of US industry. The author emphasizes two of Milken’s contributions to the financial industry that have grown in importance over the years. One was the impetus given to the private equity industry and the use of leveraged buyouts. The second was the realization that thorough research was the key to success, financial and otherwise. Perhaps an unintended consequence of the growth in junk bonds and tailored financing was the growth of Silicon Valley and technology powerhouses in the San Francisco Bay Area. Investors witnessed that there was a possibility for significant returns and that financial success could be had due to the risk mitigation that Milken demonstrated by investing in portfolios of so-called high-risk and low-profile companies. The author points out the current trend in many regions of the world—the birth of financial and technology firms—and suggests that finding innovative ways of financing could be the key to the sustained growth of these ecosystems. TOPICS: Private equity, exchanges/markets/clearinghouses, information providers/credit ratings, financial crises and financial market history Key Findings • A closer look at the life and legacy of Michael Milken, discovering parallels between what he accomplished and the three parts to any magic act. • Discussion of Milken’s contributions to the financial industry: the impetus given to the private equity industry and the realization that thorough research was the key to success. • Suggestion that innovative and tailored financing, demonstrated by Milken’s investment strategy, could be the key to the sustained growth of ecosystems such as the Silicon Valley.
作者仔细研究了迈克尔·米尔肯的生平和遗产。他讨论了为什么被称为“垃圾债券之王”的迈克尔·米尔肯(Michael Milken)不只是普通的债券大王或普通的垃圾交易商,而实际上是“垃圾交易商”。作者发现,这三个部分与任何魔术表演都有相似之处,表明迈克尔·米尔肯的成就简直就是一个奇迹。在某种程度上,米尔肯当时的薪酬反映了他带来的巨大变化,他为企业繁荣创造的生态系统,以及他对更广泛的经济和美国工业未来增长和发展的影响。作者强调了米尔肯对金融业的两项贡献,这两项贡献近年来越来越重要。其中之一是对私人股本行业和杠杆收购使用的推动。第二是认识到彻底的研究是成功的关键,无论是经济上还是其他方面。垃圾债券和量身定制融资增长的一个意想不到的后果,或许是硅谷和旧金山湾区(San Francisco Bay Area)科技巨头的增长。投资者看到,米尔肯通过投资于所谓的高风险和低调公司的投资组合,证明了降低风险的可能性,从而有可能获得可观的回报,并取得财务上的成功。作者指出了目前世界上许多地区的趋势——金融和科技公司的诞生——并建议寻找创新的融资方式可能是这些生态系统持续增长的关键。主题:私募股权,交易所/市场/清算所,信息提供商/信用评级,金融危机和金融市场历史。主要发现•仔细研究迈克尔·米尔肯的生活和遗产,发现他所取得的成就与任何魔术的三个部分之间的相似之处。•讨论米尔肯对金融行业的贡献:对私募股权行业的推动以及对深入研究是成功关键的认识。•米尔肯的投资策略表明,创新和量身定制的融资可能是硅谷等生态系统持续增长的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Venture Capital—Patronage to Apprenticeship to Profession 风险投资——从学徒到专业的赞助
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI: 10.3905/jpe.2019.22.4.019
J. Milam
Investing in creative or entrepreneurial ventures is part of the human condition and goes back as far as recorded history. The patronage of the Medici family of Florence supported the work of Leonardo de Vinci, Michelangelo, and Galileo. Queen Isabella was essentially a venture capitalist, supporting Christopher Columbus in his exploration of the New World. Many of the critical inflection points in modern history that had dramatic impacts on the human condition resulted from entrepreneurial initiatives supported by wealthy individuals and families. The history of modern venture capital was catalyzed by efforts at mobilizing capital for the many companies emerging after World War II, in part from both necessity and opportunity—the need to support the GIs returning from the war and the opportunity to commercialize the new technologies that resulted from the war effort. Commercial access and use of the Internet represents the latest catalyst for the acceleration in entrepreneurial activity around the world, with a corresponding growth in individuals investing in new ventures, as well as new funds. Unfortunately, the process of underwriting an entrepreneurial venture remains much like it was in the time of Leonardo de Vinci and Columbus: Energetic entrepreneurs convince a supporter (investor) of their vision and seek to share the rewards with the supporter, should there be any rewards to share. Investing was, and largely continues to be, transacted on a case-by-case basis. Ironically, there has been little innovation in the very funding mechanism of entrepreneurial finance. This has led to a critical shortage of early stage risk capital in various regions around the United States where historically blue-collar jobs have been disintermediated by technological advancements, but capital has not been available in these communities to support the new (digital) jobs that would replace those old jobs and provide hope for the next generation residing in those communities. This article will review the history of venture capital, explore the ineffectiveness of the historical model, and explore some of the innovative initiatives to improve the effectiveness of venture capital, thus funding more startups more efficiently and in more communities while delivering better risk-adjusted returns for investors. TOPIC: Private equity
投资于创意或创业企业是人类条件的一部分,可以追溯到有记录的历史。佛罗伦萨美第奇家族的赞助支持了列奥纳多·德·芬奇、米开朗基罗和伽利略的作品。伊莎贝拉女王本质上是一个风险投资家,支持克里斯托弗·哥伦布探索新大陆。现代史上许多对人类状况产生重大影响的关键转折点都是由富裕个人和家庭支持的创业举措造成的。现代风险投资的历史是由为二战后涌现的许多公司筹集资金的努力推动的,部分原因是必要性和机遇——支持从战争中归来的全球信息系统的需要,以及将战争中产生的新技术商业化的机会。互联网的商业接入和使用是加速世界各地创业活动的最新催化剂,投资新企业和新基金的个人也相应增加。不幸的是,承保创业企业的过程仍然很像莱昂纳多·德·芬奇和哥伦布时代:精力充沛的企业家说服支持者(投资者)他们的愿景,并寻求与支持者分享回报,如果有任何回报可以分享的话。投资过去和现在都是在个案基础上进行的。具有讽刺意味的是,创业融资的融资机制几乎没有创新。这导致美国各个地区的早期风险资本严重短缺,在这些地区,历史上蓝领工作一直被技术进步所取代,但这些社区没有资金来支持新的(数字)工作,以取代旧的工作,并为居住在这些社区的下一代带来希望。本文将回顾风险投资的历史,探索历史模型的无效性,并探索一些提高风险投资有效性的创新举措,从而更有效地在更多社区资助更多初创公司,同时为投资者提供更好的风险调整回报。主题:私募股权
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Private Equity
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