为特朗普撒谎?精英对投票方式的暗示与表达性回应

IF 2.9 1区 社会学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI:10.1093/poq/nfac045
Enrijeta Shino, Daniel A. Smith, Laura Uribe
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引用次数: 2

摘要

精英暗示会影响我们的投票方式吗?现有文献关注精英线索对候选人评价或政策偏好的影响,但我们对他们如何影响投票方法偏好知之甚少。通过对佛罗里达州有效选民(包括那些经常通过邮件投票的选民)的大规模调查,我们发现,在2020年大选之前,对投票方法的回顾性和前瞻性误报主要是由对特朗普的支持推动的。最有政治意识的总统支持者最有可能否认自己通过邮件投票,并在11月的选举中错误报告他们预期的投票方式。了解精英线索对自我报告的政治行为政治化的影响和限制,对民意测验专家和竞选活动、选举管理人员、选民和更广泛的民主选举过程具有重要意义。
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Lying for Trump? Elite Cue-Taking and Expressive Responding on Vote Method
Might elite cues affect how we vote? Extant literature focuses on effects of elite cues on candidate evaluation or policy preference, but we know little about how they might affect vote method preferences. Drawing on a large survey of validated Florida voters, including those who regularly vote by mail, we find that retrospective and prospective misreporting of vote method prior to the 2020 General Election was driven primarily by support for Trump. The president’s supporters who were most politically aware were most likely to disavow their own voting by mail and misreport their anticipated vote method in the November election. Understanding the effects—and limits—of elite cues on the politicization of self-reported political behavior has important implications for pollsters and campaigns, election administrators, voters, and the broader democratic electoral process.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
2.90%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: Published since 1937, Public Opinion Quarterly is among the most frequently cited journals of its kind. Such interdisciplinary leadership benefits academicians and all social science researchers by providing a trusted source for a wide range of high quality research. POQ selectively publishes important theoretical contributions to opinion and communication research, analyses of current public opinion, and investigations of methodological issues involved in survey validity—including questionnaire construction, interviewing and interviewers, sampling strategy, and mode of administration. The theoretical and methodological advances detailed in pages of POQ ensure its importance as a research resource.
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