政府效率如何塑造政治信任——来自英国脱欧案例的证据

IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI:10.1017/s0007123423000388
Frederik Godt Hansen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

政府取得成果的能力往往被视为政治信任的基础。然而,本文提出了一个不同的胜任力动态;具体而言,政治信任是否与政府实现承诺的政策目标的效率有关。本文认为,当政策目标两极分化时,效率对政治信任的影响取决于个人是否支持或反对该目标。以英国脱欧为例,其中承诺的离开欧盟的政策目标两极分化,假设脱欧选民相对于留欧选民在效率的情况下更信任,在效率低下的情况下更不信任。这些预测是通过对英国选举研究中长期以来独特的真实世界数据的差异分析来支持的。这些发现对我们理解英国脱欧具有重要意义,也说明了在政治问题两极分化的情况下,政治信任与政府能力之间的关系。
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How Government Efficiency Shapes Political Trust: Evidence from the Case of Brexit
Government competence in delivering outcomes is often regarded as foundational to political trust. However, in this article, a different competence dynamic is proposed; specifically, whether political trust is related to government efficiency in achieving promised policy objectives. This article argues that when policy objectives are polarizing, the effect of efficiency on political trust is conditional on whether individuals support or oppose the objective. Using the case of Brexit, where the promised policy objective of leaving the European Union was polarizing, it is hypothesized that Leave voters relative to Remain voters became more trusting in cases of efficiency and less trusting in cases of inefficiency. The predictions are supported through a difference-in-differences analysis of unique real-world data over time from the British Election Study. The findings have important implications for our understanding of Brexit and also inform how political trust relates to government competence in the case of polarizing political issues.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
4.00%
发文量
64
期刊介绍: The British Journal of Political Science is a broadly based journal aiming to cover developments across a wide range of countries and specialisms. Contributions are drawn from all fields of political science (including political theory, political behaviour, public policy and international relations), and articles from scholars in related disciplines (sociology, social psychology, economics and philosophy) appear frequently. With a reputation established over nearly 40 years of publication, the British Journal of Political Science is widely recognised as one of the premier journals in its field.
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