基于计算机模拟的化工厂保护时间存量预测

A. Тryhuba, I. Tryhuba, L. Mykhalchyshyna, Iryna Mushenyk, N. Koval, Yuliia Haybura
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为植物机械化化学防护性能的时间资金预测提供了管理决策支持的方法、算法和智能系统。它们基于数据库的形成以及开放天气地图服务为各个国家及其地区提供的天气知识。它们根据计算机建模,考虑到自然、气候和工业条件的特点,为特定国家或其地区提供数据库和知识的形成。此外,拟议的智能管理决策支持系统提供了一套系统负责的机械化化工厂保护系统的可变农业气象组成部分及其对相关工作预计时间基金的影响。在使用开发的支持行政决策受理的智能系统的基础上,执行了植物机械化化学保护绩效的时间基金预测以及设定的自然气候和工业条件。用威布尔分布描述了5月白天植物机械化保护的气候容许时间-资金模型。所获得的研究结果可供农业企业管理者在预测实施机械化化工植保的时间资金的管理过程中使用。所开发的智能决策支持系统为不同国家和地区实施机械化化工厂保护的时间资金预测及其模型的验证提供了进一步的研究。
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Forecasting the time stock for chemical plant protection based on computer simulations
The approach, algorithm, and intelligent system of support of decision-making of management for forecasting of time fund for the performance of the mechanized chemical protection of plants are offered. They are based on the formation of a database and knowledge of the weather from the Open Weather Map service for individual countries and their regions. They provide the formation of databases and knowledge for a given country or its region, taking into account the characteristics of natural, climatic, and industrial conditions based on computer modelling. Also, the proposed intelligent management decision support system provides a systematically accountable set of variable agrometeorological components of the mechanized chemical plant protection system and their impact on the projected time fund of the relevant work. Based on the use of the developed intelligent system of support of acceptance of administrative decisions forecasting of time fund for the performance of the mechanized chemical protection of plants and the set natural-climatic and industrial conditions is executed. The climatically admissible time fund model for mechanized chemical protection of plants during the day for May, which is described by Weibull distribution, is substantiated. The obtained research results can be used by managers of agricultural enterprises during the management processes of forecasting the time fund for the implementation of mechanized chemical plant protection. The developed intelligent decision support system provides further research on forecasting the time fund for the implementation of mechanized chemical plant protection and substantiation of its models for different countries and their regions.
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来源期刊
自引率
20.00%
发文量
105
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