田纳西州居民对龙卷风预警的预期反应

IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Weather Climate and Society Pub Date : 2022-10-20 DOI:10.1175/wcas-d-22-0066.1
D. Burow, Kelsey N. Ellis, Jennifer M. First
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当龙卷风形成有利条件时,国家气象局会发布龙卷风预警。个人对龙卷风预警的反应可能会影响他们在龙卷风袭击前寻找避难所的能力。在这里,田纳西州居民的调查数据被用来确定对两种龙卷风观察情景的预期反应的共同模式:一种是在白天,另一种是在夜间。研究人员确定了白天手表的三种常见模式:什么都不做;利用技术寻求信息;或是寻求庇护,祈求平安。夜间监视的两种模式要么是什么都不做,要么是积极地做出反应,通过寻找进一步的信息、庇护所、联系朋友和家人。逻辑回归表明,年轻的参与者,那些之前有龙卷风经历的人,以及那些了解龙卷风手表的人,不太可能在白天寻求庇护和祈祷安全。年龄较大的参与者和那些没有强烈自我效能感的人不太可能使用技术来寻找更多的信息。在夜间的场景中,居住在田纳西州东部的参与者和那些相信水体可以抵御龙卷风的人更有可能积极地做出反应,而富裕的参与者和那些住在单户或多户住宅中的人则不太可能积极地做出反应。这些结果表明,预期观看反应受到许多因素的影响,包括年龄、收入、自我效能感信念以及龙卷风的知识和经验。此外,那些不了解龙卷风预警意义的人更有可能过早地寻求庇护。
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Intended Response to Tornado Watches among Tennessee Residents
Tornado watches are issued by the National Weather Service when conditions are favorable for tornado formation. An individual’s response to a tornado watch may affect their ability to seek shelter before a tornado strikes. Here, survey data of Tennessee residents were used to determine common patterns in intended responses to two tornado watch scenarios: one during daytime, and the other at nighttime. Three common patterns were identified for a daytime watch: doing nothing; seeking information using technology; or seeking shelter and praying for safety. The two patterns for a nighttime watch were either to do nothing or to react actively, by seeking further information, shelter, and contacting friends and family. Logistic regressions indicated younger participants, those with prior tornado experience, and those who understood a tornado watch were less likely to intend to seek shelter and pray for safety during the daytime. Older participants and those without strong self-efficacy beliefs were less likely to use technology to find further information. For the nighttime scenario, participants living in East Tennessee and those who believed that bodies of water provide protection from tornadoes were more likely to respond actively, while wealthier participants and those living in single- or multi-family houses were less likely to respond actively. These results show that intended watch response is influenced by many factors, including age, income, self-efficacy beliefs, as well as knowledge of and experience with tornadoes. Additionally, those who do not understand the meaning of a tornado watch may be more likely to seek shelter prematurely.
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来源期刊
Weather Climate and Society
Weather Climate and Society METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
13.60%
发文量
95
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Weather, Climate, and Society (WCAS) publishes research that encompasses economics, policy analysis, political science, history, and institutional, social, and behavioral scholarship relating to weather and climate, including climate change. Contributions must include original social science research, evidence-based analysis, and relevance to the interactions of weather and climate with society.
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