土耳其金融发展、贸易开放与经济增长的关系:来自傅立叶检验的证据

IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI:10.54694/stat.2021.46
Havanur Ergün Tatar, Gökhan Konat, M. Temi̇z
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本研究中,利用1960-2017年土耳其的年度数据,研究了金融发展和贸易开放对经济增长的影响。金融发展变量表示为金融体系存款与GDP的比率。贸易开放变量表示为商品和服务的进出口总额与GDP的比率。考察金融发展、贸易开放和经济增长之间的长期关系;采用基于傅立叶的平稳性检验及其互补的基于傅立叶的协整检验。最后,基于傅立叶的因果关系检验也用于检验变量之间的因果关系。通过协整检验,发现变量之间存在长期协整关系。根据傅立叶Toda-Yamamoto因果分析结果可以看出,金融发展对经济增长、金融发展对贸易开放存在单向因果关系。
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The Relationship between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Turkey: Evidence from Fourier Tests
In this study, the effects of financial development and trade openness on economic growth were investigated using annual data for Turkey over the period 1960–2017. The financial development variable is represented as the ratio of financial system deposits to GDP. The trade openness variable is represented as the ratio of the sum of exports and imports of goods and services to GDP. To examine the long-run relationship between financial development, trade openness and economic growth; Fourier-based stationarity test and its complementary Fourier-based cointegration test are used. Finally, Fourier-based causality tests are also used to examine the causality relationship between the variables. As a result of cointegration tests, a long-term cointegration relationship was found between variables. According to the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis results, it is seen that there is a one-way causality relationship from financial development to economic growth and from financial development to trade openness.
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CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
审稿时长
24 weeks
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