基于客观权重法的中国石油资源供应安全研究

IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH 安全科学与韧性(英文) Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jnlssr.2023.05.001
Yuli Zhou , Ming Wang , Hongyong Yuan , Lida Huang
{"title":"基于客观权重法的中国石油资源供应安全研究","authors":"Yuli Zhou ,&nbsp;Ming Wang ,&nbsp;Hongyong Yuan ,&nbsp;Lida Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.jnlssr.2023.05.001","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>With the rapid development of China's economy, external dependence on petroleum resources continues to increase, and their security has become an important part of national security. To evaluate the security of China's petroleum resource supply in a scientific and objective manner, this study establishes a corresponding petroleum life-cycle evaluation index system, based on the theory and method of the whole life-cycle security evaluation of mineral resources, and conducts further independence and grey correlation analysis on the indexes for the purpose of evaluating the petroleum risk situation in China, based on relevant public data from the past 10 years. The results show that the overall trend of China's oil risk has a “U”-shaped characteristic of first decreasing and then increasing. Furthermore, the analysis finds that China's mineral resources have been greatly influenced by the domestic production situation and international trade. These results suggest that the security of petroleum supply can be improved by safeguarding international trade in petroleum resources, strengthening the strategic reserves of domestic petroleum resources, and developing new alternative clean energy sources to improve the resilience of petroleum supply security. This study's research methodology is more logical and systematic than traditional methods, and the analysis of the factors is comprehensive and of high application value, providing implications for the establishment of a big data analysis and evaluation index system for oil resource security.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":62710,"journal":{"name":"安全科学与韧性(英文)","volume":"4 3","pages":"Pages 265-273"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Research on the security of China's oil resources supply based on the objective weight method\",\"authors\":\"Yuli Zhou ,&nbsp;Ming Wang ,&nbsp;Hongyong Yuan ,&nbsp;Lida Huang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jnlssr.2023.05.001\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>With the rapid development of China's economy, external dependence on petroleum resources continues to increase, and their security has become an important part of national security. To evaluate the security of China's petroleum resource supply in a scientific and objective manner, this study establishes a corresponding petroleum life-cycle evaluation index system, based on the theory and method of the whole life-cycle security evaluation of mineral resources, and conducts further independence and grey correlation analysis on the indexes for the purpose of evaluating the petroleum risk situation in China, based on relevant public data from the past 10 years. The results show that the overall trend of China's oil risk has a “U”-shaped characteristic of first decreasing and then increasing. Furthermore, the analysis finds that China's mineral resources have been greatly influenced by the domestic production situation and international trade. These results suggest that the security of petroleum supply can be improved by safeguarding international trade in petroleum resources, strengthening the strategic reserves of domestic petroleum resources, and developing new alternative clean energy sources to improve the resilience of petroleum supply security. This study's research methodology is more logical and systematic than traditional methods, and the analysis of the factors is comprehensive and of high application value, providing implications for the establishment of a big data analysis and evaluation index system for oil resource security.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":62710,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"安全科学与韧性(英文)\",\"volume\":\"4 3\",\"pages\":\"Pages 265-273\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"安全科学与韧性(英文)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1087\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666449623000257\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"安全科学与韧性(英文)","FirstCategoryId":"1087","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666449623000257","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1

摘要

随着中国经济的快速发展,石油资源的对外依存度不断提高,石油资源的安全已成为国家安全的重要组成部分。为了科学、客观地评价中国石油资源供应的安全性,本研究在矿产资源全生命周期安全评价理论和方法的基础上,建立了相应的石油全生命周期评价指标体系,并基于近10年的相关公开数据,对指标进行了进一步的独立分析和灰色关联分析,以评价中国石油风险状况。结果表明,中国石油风险总体趋势呈先下降后上升的“U”型特征。进一步分析发现,中国矿产资源受国内生产形势和国际贸易的影响较大。建议通过维护石油资源国际贸易、加强国内石油资源战略储备、开发新的可替代清洁能源等措施,提高石油供应安全弹性。本研究的研究方法较传统方法更具逻辑性和系统性,对影响因素的分析较为全面,具有较高的应用价值,为构建石油资源安全大数据分析评价指标体系提供了启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Research on the security of China's oil resources supply based on the objective weight method

With the rapid development of China's economy, external dependence on petroleum resources continues to increase, and their security has become an important part of national security. To evaluate the security of China's petroleum resource supply in a scientific and objective manner, this study establishes a corresponding petroleum life-cycle evaluation index system, based on the theory and method of the whole life-cycle security evaluation of mineral resources, and conducts further independence and grey correlation analysis on the indexes for the purpose of evaluating the petroleum risk situation in China, based on relevant public data from the past 10 years. The results show that the overall trend of China's oil risk has a “U”-shaped characteristic of first decreasing and then increasing. Furthermore, the analysis finds that China's mineral resources have been greatly influenced by the domestic production situation and international trade. These results suggest that the security of petroleum supply can be improved by safeguarding international trade in petroleum resources, strengthening the strategic reserves of domestic petroleum resources, and developing new alternative clean energy sources to improve the resilience of petroleum supply security. This study's research methodology is more logical and systematic than traditional methods, and the analysis of the factors is comprehensive and of high application value, providing implications for the establishment of a big data analysis and evaluation index system for oil resource security.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
安全科学与韧性(英文)
安全科学与韧性(英文) Management Science and Operations Research, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality, Safety Research
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
72 days
期刊最新文献
Grasping emergency dynamics: A review of group evacuation techniques and strategies in major emergencies Multi-factor coupled forest fire model based on cellular automata Scenario construction and vulnerability assessment of natural hazards-triggered power grid accidents Risk assessment of fire casualty in underground commercial building based on FFTA-BN model Determination of individual disaster resilience levels of hospital staff: A case study of Kartal Dr. Lütfi Kirdar City Hospital
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1