北苏门答腊极端降雨事件的特征

S. Pakpahan, T. I. Nasution, M. Sinambela
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引用次数: 0

摘要

极端降雨对生活的各个方面都有影响。因此,本研究旨在确定1991-2020年期间北苏门答腊省极端降雨事件的时空特征。根据气象组织建议的降雨指数,使用分布在北苏门答腊的50个雨量站计算降雨频率和强度,这些雨量站的数据通过了空数据的质量控制测试。通过绘制指数的气候平均值来分析空间模式,然后使用Mann-Kendal非参数检验来检验趋势模式。结果表明,东海岸出现频率低、强度大的极端降雨事件,山区出现频率高、强度大。基于时间趋势检验,它表明,一般来说,一个不显著的趋势在该地区占主导地位。仅在几个地区发现了显著且持续的增长趋势,即Deli Serdang(5个车站)、Batu Bara(1个车站),Humbang Hasundutan(1个站),Langkat(2个站)、Labuhan Batu Utara(1个站点)、Medan(1个台站)、Pematang Siantar(1个站台)和Serdang Bedagai(1个子站)。同时,Asahan Regency(1个车站)、Simalungun(2个车站),North Tapanuli(1个站点)和North Labuhan Batu(1个站)出现了显著且持续的下降趋势。
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Characteristics of Extreme Rainfall Events in North Sumatra
Extreme rain is an event that has an impact on various sectors of life. Therefore, this study aims to determine the spatial and temporal characteristics of extreme rain events in North Sumatra Province in the time period between 1991-2020. In accordance with the WMO recommended rain index, the frequency and intensity of rain were calculated using 50 rain stations spread across North Sumatra where the data had passed the quality control test for empty data. Spatial patterns were analyzed by mapping the climatological mean of the indices then for trend patterns were tested using the Mann-Kendal non-parametric test. The results showed that extreme rainfall events with low frequency and intensity occurred on the east coast while high frequency and intensity occurred in mountainous areas. Based on the temporal trend test, it shows that in general an insignificant trend dominates in this area. Significant and consistently increasing trends are only found at several points, namely in the districts of Deli Serdang (5 station), Batu Bara (1 station), Humbang Hasundutan (1 station), Langkat (2 station), Labuhan Batu Utara (1 station), Medan (1 station), Pematang Siantar (1 station) and Serdang Bedagai (1 station). Meanwhile, a significant and consistently decreasing trend was found in Asahan Regency (1 station), Simalungun (2 station), North Tapanuli (1 station), and North Labuhan Batu (1 station).
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