走向有资金支持的养老金计划:纯粹是由于人口老龄化还是政府责任推卸引起的经济争论?

IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Economics & Sociology Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI:10.14254/2071-789x.2021/14-4/9
Ishay Wolf, Smadar Levi, L. C. Y. Lopez del Rio
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究采用了一个独特的角度来探索受老龄化影响的现代西方市场中的养老金计划。特别是,新冠肺炎疫情危机和频繁的市场动荡的影响在很大程度上受到重视。参与养老金制度的全套参与者在当代和后代中都有不同的利益。此外,我们还考虑了收入群体之间的差异。通过使用重叠世代模型和蒙特卡洛模拟,我们注意到,在广泛的宏观经济范围内,尽管老龄化的影响很大,但市场参与者之间的养老金平衡取决于没有资金的养老金计划。与世界银行和国际货币基金组织提出的经典经济论点相反,养老金制度的选择要复杂得多。公共行政部门不仅必须考虑老龄化节奏和市场预期收益率,还必须考虑其他参数,如当前和未来的公用事业前景、政府的债务价格、人均GDP增长率、风险规避和市场动荡的可能性。
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Moving toward funded pension scheme: Pure economic argument due to population aging or responsibility abdication of governments?
. This study adopts a unique angle towards exploring pension plans in a modern western market influenced by aging. In particular, much weight has been attributed to the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic crisis and frequent market turmoil. The full set of players involved in the pension system has been considered with its different interests among both the current and future generations In addition, we factor in the difference among earning cohorts. By using the overlapping generations model and Monte Carlo simulations, we note that in a wide macroeconomic range, pension equilibrium among the market's players lies with the unfunded pension scheme despite the significant influence of aging. Contrary to the classic economic arguments presented by the World Bank and IMF, ideas that were widespread during the 1980s and 1990s, the choosing of pension system is much more complex. Public administrations must take into account not only the aging rhythm and market expected yields but also other parameters, such as the current and future utility perspective, the government's debt price, GDP per capita growth rate, risk aversion, and the possibility of market turmoil.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
6.70%
发文量
40
审稿时长
24 weeks
期刊介绍: Economics and Sociology (ISSN 2306-3459 Online, ISSN 2071-789X Print) is a quarterly international academic open access journal published by Centre of Sociological Research in co-operation with University of Szczecin (Poland), Mykolas Romeris University (Lithuania), Dubcek University of Trencín, Faculty of Social and Economic Relations, (Slovak Republic) and University of Entrepreneurship and Law, (Czech Republic). The general topical framework of our publication include (but is not limited to): advancing socio-economic analysis of societies and economies, institutions and organizations, social groups, networks and relationships.[...] We welcome articles written by professional scholars and practitioners in: economic studies and philosophy of economics, political sciences and political economy, research in history of economics and sociological phenomena, sociology and gender studies, economic and social issues of education, socio-economic and institutional issues in environmental management, business administration and management of SMEs, state governance and socio-economic implications, economic and sociological development of the NGO sector, cultural sociology, urban and rural sociology and demography, migration studies, international issues in business risk and state security, economics of welfare.
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