基于精细-基尼框架的复杂球面模糊CRADIS方法在天然气管道施工职业风险评价中的应用

2区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.petrol.2022.111246
Weizhong Wang , Yi Wang , Shuyi Fan , Xiao Han , Qun Wu , Dragan Pamucar
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引用次数: 12

摘要

职业风险评价是天然气管道建设项目风险防控过程中不可缺少的问题之一。Fine-Kinney模型是公认的一种有效的职业风险评价技术,但在复杂球面模糊(CSF)环境下的职业风险分析问题处理能力有限。因此,开发了基于从距离到理想解决方案折衷排序(CRADIS)方法的综合Fine-Kinney框架,以克服CSF背景下NGPC项目职业风险分析的这些缺点。将复杂球面模糊数的优先加权平均算子(PWA)引入到群体风险评价矩阵生成过程中,该算子可以考虑专家的优先度。然后,基于扩展的基于cridis方法的Fine-Kinney框架,其中纳入CSFNs的Choquet积分来反映交互风险因素的影响。其次,给出了职业风险评价问题处理框架的具体解决步骤。最后,以NGPC项目的职业风险分析为例,验证了该框架在实践中的可行性。在此基础上进行了参数敏感性分析,验证了所提出的综合Fine-Kinney框架的稳定性和合理性。随后,为了进一步显示已开发的Fine-Kinney框架的优势,我们进行了一项比较研究,讨论了基于所提出的框架和现有的类似Fine-Kinney框架得出的职业风险评价结果。分析结果表明,利用该框架识别出风险优先级值最大(1.000)的职业风险(人或动物攻击)为NGPC项目最严重的风险。
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A complex spherical fuzzy CRADIS method based Fine-Kinney framework for occupational risk evaluation in natural gas pipeline construction

Occupational risk evaluation is one of the most indispensable issues in the risk prevention and control process for the natural gas pipeline construction (NGPC) project. The Fine-Kinney model, recognized as an effective occupational risk evaluation technique, has limited capability to handle the occupational risk analysis problem under the complex spherical fuzzy (CSF) environment. Accordingly, a synthetical Fine-Kinney framework based on the compromise ranking of alternatives from distance to ideal solution (CRADIS) method is developed to overcome these downsides of occupation risk analysis in the NGPC project within the CSF context. A prioritized weighted average (PWA) operator for complex spherical fuzzy numbers (CSFNs) is incorporated into the group risk evaluation matrix generation process, which can take the priority degrees of experts into account. Then, the extended CRADIS method-based Fine-Kinney framework is generated, in which the Choquet integral for CSFNs is incorporated to reflect the impact of interactive risk factors. Next, the detailed solution procedures of the framework for handling the occupational risk evaluation problem are presented. Finally, the described framework is employed as an empirical example of occupational risk analysis for the NGPC project to demonstrate its feasibility in practice. After that, a sensitivity analysis of the parameter is investigated to testify to the stability and rationality of the reported synthetical Fine-Kinney framework. Subsequently, to further display the advantages of the developed Fine-Kinney framework, a comparative study is implemented to discuss the evaluation result of occupational risk derived from the proposed framework and those of the existing similar Fine-Kinney frameworks. The analysis results indicate that the occupational risk (attack by human or animal) with the maximum risk priority value (1.000) using the framework is identified as the most serious risk for the NGPC project.

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来源期刊
Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering
Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering 工程技术-地球科学综合
CiteScore
11.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
1511
审稿时长
13.5 months
期刊介绍: The objective of the Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering is to bridge the gap between the engineering, the geology and the science of petroleum and natural gas by publishing explicitly written articles intelligible to scientists and engineers working in any field of petroleum engineering, natural gas engineering and petroleum (natural gas) geology. An attempt is made in all issues to balance the subject matter and to appeal to a broad readership. The Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering covers the fields of petroleum (and natural gas) exploration, production and flow in its broadest possible sense. Topics include: origin and accumulation of petroleum and natural gas; petroleum geochemistry; reservoir engineering; reservoir simulation; rock mechanics; petrophysics; pore-level phenomena; well logging, testing and evaluation; mathematical modelling; enhanced oil and gas recovery; petroleum geology; compaction/diagenesis; petroleum economics; drilling and drilling fluids; thermodynamics and phase behavior; fluid mechanics; multi-phase flow in porous media; production engineering; formation evaluation; exploration methods; CO2 Sequestration in geological formations/sub-surface; management and development of unconventional resources such as heavy oil and bitumen, tight oil and liquid rich shales.
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