尼日利亚房地产开发和投资市场可行性和可行性评估过程中的风险

IF 1.6 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Property Investment & Finance Pub Date : 2020-04-09 DOI:10.1108/jpif-12-2019-0151
Z. T. Jagun
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引用次数: 6

摘要

可行性和可行性评估技术在房地产开发和项目投资的规划系统、理论、应用和产出中变得越来越重要。本文旨在说明在可行性和可行性评估过程中与风险相关的实践结果。此外,它还考察了是否需要一个实用的框架来进行可行性和可行性评估,尼日利亚的房地产测量师和估价师可以使用该框架。这项研究采用了有目的的抽样技术来管理240套问卷,其中210套被认为可用于数据筛选后的分析。社会科学统计软件包(SPSS)、结构方程建模(SEM)和运动结构分析(AMOS)是进行信度检验、正态性检验、探索性因素分析、验证性因素分析和测量以及结构模型的主要分析工具。,分析结果表明,在房地产开发和投资市场的可行性和可行性评估过程(准备)中,各种形式的风险概念的P值具有统计学意义:技术因素-0.000;政治因素-0.000,经济因素-0.000。然而,社会环境因素对住房开发评估的准备没有显著影响,P值为0.155,风险管理既没有在可行性和可行性评估过程中全面实施,也没有被广泛考虑。,本文报告了房地产测量师和估价师在可行性和可行性评估过程的准备阶段对相关风险的实践结果。在房地产开发评估报告中提出风险管理因素的研究有限。尽管先前的研究已经确定了风险因素,但缺乏对管理的重视,管理需要识别、评估、监测和控制。因此,本研究建议将风险管理纳入房地产测量师和估价师实施的可行性和可行性评估过程。据设想,这一过程将保护投资者免受与房地产开发投资相关的潜在风险因素的影响。,该研究强调,需要进行实际或实证研究,以评估尼日利亚阿布贾房地产测量师和估价师进行可行性和可行性评估的准备阶段需要反映的重大风险因素。
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Risks in feasibility and viability appraisal process for property development and the investment market in Nigeria
The feasibility and viability appraisal technique is becoming increasingly crucial in the planning systems, theory, applications and outputs for property development and project investments. This paper aims to account for the findings of the practices associated with risk in the feasibility and viability appraisal process. Also, it examines the need for a practical framework for conducting a feasibility and viability appraisal, which can be employed by estate surveyors and valuers in Nigeria,This study adopted purposive sampling techniques to administer 240 sets of questionnaires, out of which 210 sets were well-thought-out to be useable for the analysis after data screening. Statistical package for social sciences (SPSS), structural equation modelling (SEM) and analysis of movement structures (AMOS) were the main analytical tools used to carry out the reliability test, normality test, exploratory factor analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, measurement and structural model.,The analysis results indicated that the P-values of the various forms of concepts of risks in feasibility and viability appraisal process (preparation) for property development and the investment market was statistically significant: technological factor - 0.000; political factor- 0.000 and economic factor- 0.000. However, a non-significant effect was found with socio-environmental factors on the preparation of housing development appraisal with P-value 0.155, and that risk management is neither holistically implemented in the feasibility and viability appraisal process nor extensively taken into cognisance.,This paper reports the results of the practices among estate surveyors and valuers in regarding the risk associated in the preparation stages of the feasibility and viability appraisal process,There are limited studies that suggest risk management factors in the appraisal reports for property development. Although previous studies have identified the risk factors, there is a lack of emphasis on management, which entails identification, assessment, monitoring and control. This study, therefore, recommends the incorporation of risk management into the feasibility and viability appraisal process implemented by estate surveyors and valuers. It is envisaged that the process will protect investors from the potential risk factors associated with investments in property development.,The study highlighted the need for practical or empirical research to be used to assess the significant risk factors that are needed to be reflected in the preparation stages of the feasibility and viability appraisal conduct of estate surveyors and valuers in Abuja, Nigeria.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
23.10%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: Fully refereed papers on practice and methodology in the UK, continental Western Europe, emerging markets of Eastern Europe, China, Australasia, Africa and the USA, in the following areas: ■Academic papers on the latest research, thinking and developments ■Law reports assessing new legislation ■Market data for a comprehensive review of current research ■Practice papers - a forum for the exchange of ideas and experiences
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