{"title":"利用加性模型的HOLT-inters指数平滑方法预测季节性时间序列数据","authors":"N. Nurhamidah, Nusyirwan Nusyirwan, A. Faisol","doi":"10.24198/jmi.v16.n2.29293.151-157","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this study was to predict seasonal time series data using the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing additive model. The data used in this study is data on the number of passengers departing at Hasanudin Airport in 2009-2019, the source of the data obtained from the official website of the Central Statistics Agency. The results showed that the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method on the passenger's number at Hasanudin Airport in 2009 to 2019 contained trend patterns and seasonal patterns, by first determining the initial values and smoothing parameters that could minimize forecasting errors.","PeriodicalId":53096,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Matematika Integratif","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"12","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"FORECASTING SEASONAL TIME SERIES DATA USING THE HOLT-WINTERS EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD OF ADDITIVE MODELS\",\"authors\":\"N. Nurhamidah, Nusyirwan Nusyirwan, A. Faisol\",\"doi\":\"10.24198/jmi.v16.n2.29293.151-157\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The purpose of this study was to predict seasonal time series data using the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing additive model. The data used in this study is data on the number of passengers departing at Hasanudin Airport in 2009-2019, the source of the data obtained from the official website of the Central Statistics Agency. The results showed that the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method on the passenger's number at Hasanudin Airport in 2009 to 2019 contained trend patterns and seasonal patterns, by first determining the initial values and smoothing parameters that could minimize forecasting errors.\",\"PeriodicalId\":53096,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Jurnal Matematika Integratif\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-12-05\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"12\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Jurnal Matematika Integratif\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.24198/jmi.v16.n2.29293.151-157\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Jurnal Matematika Integratif","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.24198/jmi.v16.n2.29293.151-157","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
FORECASTING SEASONAL TIME SERIES DATA USING THE HOLT-WINTERS EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD OF ADDITIVE MODELS
The purpose of this study was to predict seasonal time series data using the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing additive model. The data used in this study is data on the number of passengers departing at Hasanudin Airport in 2009-2019, the source of the data obtained from the official website of the Central Statistics Agency. The results showed that the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method on the passenger's number at Hasanudin Airport in 2009 to 2019 contained trend patterns and seasonal patterns, by first determining the initial values and smoothing parameters that could minimize forecasting errors.
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