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引用次数: 0
摘要
保罗·莫兰德(Paul Morland)的《人类浪潮:人口如何塑造现代世界》(The Human Tide:How Population Shaped The Modern World)论证了人口统计学在历史事件和我们当前处境中的重要性。这本书面向普通读者,追溯了18世纪末的人口发展,认为人口变化的时间和速度有助于解释为什么一些国家变得强大,而另一些国家却没有。作者将故事延续到二十世纪,讨论了人口结构造成的年龄结构和内部种族宗教平衡的变化。许多读者会发现《人潮》中的问题和主题很有趣。不幸的是,这本书歪曲了一些研究结果,并混淆了重要的人口统计学概念。《人潮》讲述了过去两个世纪人类社会的根本变化,但要想清楚地描述这些变化,读者必须去其他地方。(JEL I12、J11、J13、J15、K37、N30)
The Human Tide: How Population Shaped the Modern World, by Paul Morland, argues for the importance of demography in both historical events and our current situation. Intended for a general audience, the book traces demographic developments from the late eighteenth century, arguing that the timing and pace of demographic change helps to explain why some countries became powerful and others did not. The author continues the story into the twentieth century, discussing the changes in age structure and internal ethno-religious balances that are consequences of demographic patterns. Many readers will find the questions and themes in The Human Tide interesting. Unfortunately, the book misrepresents some research findings and is confused about important demographic concepts. The Human Tide deals with fundamental changes in human society over the past two centuries, but for a clear account of those changes, readers will have to go elsewhere. (JEL I12, J11, J13, J15, K37, N30)
期刊介绍:
Commencing in 1969, the Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) serves as a vital resource for economists, offering a means to stay informed about the extensive literature in the field. Each JEL issue features commissioned, peer-reviewed survey and review articles, book reviews, an annotated bibliography categorizing new books by subject, and an annual index of dissertations from North American universities.