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A Fed for Our Times: A Review Essay on 21st Century Monetary Policy by Ben Bernanke 我们时代的美联储本-伯南克撰写的《21 世纪货币政策评论文章
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.20231722
L. Reichlin
This essay reviews 21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19 by Ben Bernanke, a fascinating account of the evolution of the Fed since the 1950s, and a stalwart defense of the status quo: of the Fed’s remit, its independence, and the tools and practices it now uses to pursue its mandate. The essay supports many of Bernanke’s key points and brings the experience of the European Central Bank to illuminate them by contrast. However, it argues that the book understates the significance of the changes in institutional architecture that have emerged since the crisis. Questions that we thought had been settled are going to have to be addressed anew, albeit in slightly different guises. This will have implications for all aspects of economic governance. (JEL E31, E32, E52, E58, E62, N12, N22)
本文回顾了本-伯南克(Ben Bernanke)所著的《21 世纪的货币政策:本-伯南克(Ben Bernanke)所著的《21 世纪货币政策:从大通胀到 COVID-19 的美联储》(21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19)引人入胜地描述了美联储自 20 世纪 50 年代以来的演变,并坚定地捍卫了现状:美联储的职权范围、独立性以及它现在用来履行其职责的工具和做法。文章支持伯南克的许多关键观点,并通过对比欧洲中央银行的经验来阐明这些观点。不过,文章认为,该书低估了危机后出现的制度架构变化的重要性。我们以为已经解决的问题将不得不重新解决,尽管解决的方式略有不同。这将对经济治理的各个方面产生影响。(JEL E31, E32, E52, E58, E62, N12, N22)
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引用次数: 0
The Myth That Made Us: How False Beliefs about Racism and Meritocracy Broke Our Economy (and How to Fix It) 造就我们的神话:关于种族主义和任人唯贤的错误信念如何毁掉了我们的经济(以及如何修复它)》(The Myth That Made Us: How False Beliefs about Racism and Meritocracy Broke Our Economy (and How to Fix It)
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.61.4.1579.r3
Kelly N. Vosters
Kelly Vosters of University of North Carolina at Charlotte reviews “The Myth That Made Us: How False Beliefs about Racism and Meritocracy Broke Our Economy (and How to Fix It)” by Jeff Fuhrer. The Econlit abstract of this book begins: “Examines the ways that false narratives concerning race, poverty, and the sources of success in the United States negatively affect the economy, detailing how those with wealth and power have used such narratives to maintain the status quo in a system that slants outcomes toward the already successful.”
北卡罗来纳大学夏洛特分校的 Kelly Vosters 评论了 Jeff Fuhrer 所著的《造就我们的神话:关于种族主义和任人唯贤的错误信念是如何毁掉我们的经济的(以及如何修复它)》一书。这本书的 Econlit 摘要开头写道"探讨了美国关于种族、贫困和成功来源的虚假叙事如何对经济产生负面影响,详细说明了那些拥有财富和权力的人如何利用这些叙事来维持现状,使结果向已经成功的人倾斜"。
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引用次数: 0
Generative AI for Economic Research: Use Cases and Implications for Economists 用于经济研究的生成式人工智能:使用案例和对经济学家的影响
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.20231736
Anton Korinek
Generative artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to revolutionize research. I analyze how large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT can assist economists by describing dozens of use cases in six areas: ideation and feedback, writing, background research, data analysis, coding, and mathematical derivations. I provide general instructions and demonstrate specific examples of how to take advantage of each of these, classifying the LLM capabilities from experimental to highly useful. I argue that economists can reap significant productivity gains by taking advantage of generative AI to automate micro-tasks. Moreover, these gains will grow as the performance of AI systems continues to improve. I also speculate on the longer-term implications of AI-powered cognitive automation for economic research. The online resources associated with this paper explain how to get started and will provide regular updates on the latest capabilities of generative AI in economics. (JEL A11, C45, D83, I23, O33)
生成式人工智能(AI)有可能彻底改变研究工作。我分析了大型语言模型(LLM)(如 ChatGPT)如何帮助经济学家,描述了六个领域的数十个用例:构思和反馈、写作、背景研究、数据分析、编码和数学推导。我提供了如何利用每个领域的一般说明和具体示例,并将 LLM 功能从实验性到高度有用性进行了分类。我认为,经济学家可以利用生成式人工智能实现微观任务的自动化,从而大幅提高工作效率。此外,随着人工智能系统性能的不断提高,这些收益也将不断增长。我还推测了人工智能驱动的认知自动化对经济研究的长期影响。与本文相关的在线资源解释了如何入门,并将定期更新生成式人工智能在经济学中的最新能力。(JEL A11, C45, D83, I23, O33)
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引用次数: 2
Cash Is Alive: How Economists Explain Holding and Use of Cash 现金还活着:经济学家如何解释现金的持有和使用
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.20221632
Oz Shy
Research on holding and use of cash involves many aspects, such as reasons for holding and hoarding cash, transactional demand for cash, cash management, type of spending paid with cash, type of consumer who pays cash, merchant acceptance, how consumers get cash, currency denominations, legal aspects, cash substitutes, and cost of cash. The purpose of this article is to introduce the reader to some of the research economists do on consumer holding and use of cash. (JEL D11, D12, E26, E31, E41, E42)
关于现金持有和使用的研究涉及很多方面,如持有和囤积现金的原因、现金交易需求、现金管理、使用现金支付的消费类型、支付现金的消费者类型、商家接受程度、消费者如何获得现金、货币面额、法律方面、现金替代品以及现金成本等。本文旨在向读者介绍经济学家对消费者持有和使用现金的一些研究。(JEL D11, D12, E26, E31, E41, E42)
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引用次数: 4
The Economics of Religion 宗教经济学
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.61.4.1579.r7
Rachel M. Mccleary
Rachel M. McCleary of Harvard University reviews “The Economics of Religion” edited by Robert M. Sauer. The Econlit abstract of this book begins: “Twelve papers examine the interconnection between religiosity and economic principles, highlighting future directions for research in the emerging field of the economics of religion.”
哈佛大学的 Rachel M. McCleary 评论由 Robert M. Sauer 编辑的《宗教经济学》。这本书的 Econlit 摘要开头写道"12篇论文探讨了宗教性与经济原则之间的相互联系,强调了宗教经济学这一新兴领域未来的研究方向"。
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引用次数: 0
What Drives Intergenerational Mobility? The Role of Family, Neighborhood, Education, and Social Class: A Review of Bukodi and Goldthorpe’s Social Mobility and Education in Britain 是什么推动了代际流动?家庭、邻里、教育和社会阶层的作用:对布科迪和戈德索普《英国的社会流动性与教育》的评论
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.20211622
K. Salvanes
The main finding of Bukodi and Goldthorpe (2019), using social status based on occupation groupings, is that there have not been improvements nor any decline in relative intergenerational mobility in Britain since World War II in terms of social class. Notably, there has not been improvement in the mobility of children from working-class backgrounds relative to other background classes. Importantly, the authors argue strongly that education is not the key determinant of adult success in the labor market. Moreover, improving the educational attainment of children from poor socioeconomic backgrounds does not help improve their labor market performance. This suggests that policies to improve the mobility of children from poor social backgrounds should not include attempts to foster human capital or education policies in general. (JEL D63, I26, I38, J24, J62, N34)
Bukodi 和 Goldthorpe(2019 年)根据职业分组的社会地位得出的主要结论是,自第二次世界大战以来,英国社会阶层的相对代际流动性既没有改善,也没有下降。值得注意的是,相对于其他背景阶层,来自工人阶级背景的儿童的流动性并没有改善。重要的是,作者强烈认为,教育并不是成年人在劳动力市场取得成功的关键决定因素。此外,提高贫困社会经济背景儿童的教育程度无助于改善他们在劳动力市场的表现。这表明,改善贫困社会背景儿童流动性的政策不应包括培养人力资本的尝试或一般的教育政策。(JEL D63, I26, I38, J24, J62, N34)
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引用次数: 0
The Ends of Freedom: Reclaiming America's Lost Promise of Economic Rights 自由的终点:重拾美国失落的经济权利承诺
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.61.4.1579.r6
Neil Fligstein
Neil Fligstein of Department of Sociology, University of California reviews “The Ends of Freedom: Reclaiming America’s Lost Promise of Economic Rights” by Mark Paul. The Econlit abstract of this book begins: “Explores the role of the state in structuring and limiting the reach of markets, promoting the view that the United States can eradicate poverty and build an economy that works for everyone by adopting social and economic rights.”
加利福尼亚大学社会学系的 Neil Fligstein 评论马克-保罗所著的《自由的目的:马克-保罗所著的《重拾美国失去的经济权利承诺》。该书的 Econlit 摘要开头写道"探讨了国家在构建和限制市场影响范围方面的作用,宣扬了这样一种观点,即美国可以通过采纳社会和经济权利来消除贫困,建立一个为所有人服务的经济"。
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引用次数: 0
Doctoral Dissertations in Economics One-Hundred-Twelfth Annual List 经济学博士论文第一百十二届年度名单
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.61.4.1674
The list below specifies doctoral degrees conferred by U.S. and Canadian universities during academic year July 2022 to June 2023. Lists of degree recipients and subject classifications are provided by the university. Note: Dissertations without classifications may be found under “Y Miscellaneous Categories.”
以下列表列出了美国和加拿大大学在 2022 年 7 月至 2023 年 6 月期间授予的博士学位。学位获得者名单和学科分类由大学提供。注:未分类的学位论文可在 "Y 杂项类别 "中找到。
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引用次数: 0
The Global Infrastructure Gap: Potential, Perils, and a Framework for Distinction 全球基础设施差距:潜力、危险和区分框架
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.20221530
Camille Gardner, Peter Blair Henry
In 2015, the World Bank claimed that rich-country private capital could: (i) close the infrastructure services gap in poor countries, (ii) achieve the sustainable development goals, and (iii) make money by moving from “billions to trillions” of investment in poor-country infrastructure. Our framework distinguishes those poor countries in which the Bank’s claim is tenable from those where it is not. For a given poor country, the framework reveals that investing a dollar in infrastructure is efficient if the social rate of return on infrastructure clears two hurdles: (a) the social rate of return on private capital in the poor country, and (b) the social rate of return on private capital in rich countries. Applying the framework to the only comprehensive, cross-country dataset of social rates of return on infrastructure indicates that in 1985 just 7 of 53 poor countries cleared the dual hurdles in both paved roads and electricity. (JEL H43, H54, L94, O13, O18, Q01)
2015 年,世界银行声称富国私人资本可以(i)缩小穷国的基础设施服务差距,(ii)实现可持续发展目标,(iii)通过对穷国基础设施从 "数十亿到数万亿 "的投资赚钱。我们的框架区分了世界银行的主张在哪些穷国站得住脚,哪些站不住脚。对于某个贫困国家而言,该框架显示,如果基础设施的社会回报率通过了两道关卡:(a)贫困国家私人资本的社会回报率,以及(b)富裕国家私人资本的社会回报率,那么在基础设施上投资一美元就是有效的。将该框架应用于基础设施社会回报率的唯一综合性跨国数据集表明,1985 年,在 53 个穷国中,仅有 7 个国家在铺设道路和电力方面跨越了双重障碍。(JEL H43, H54, L94, O13, O18, Q01)
{"title":"The Global Infrastructure Gap: Potential, Perils, and a Framework for Distinction","authors":"Camille Gardner, Peter Blair Henry","doi":"10.1257/jel.20221530","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20221530","url":null,"abstract":"In 2015, the World Bank claimed that rich-country private capital could: (i) close the infrastructure services gap in poor countries, (ii) achieve the sustainable development goals, and (iii) make money by moving from “billions to trillions” of investment in poor-country infrastructure. Our framework distinguishes those poor countries in which the Bank’s claim is tenable from those where it is not. For a given poor country, the framework reveals that investing a dollar in infrastructure is efficient if the social rate of return on infrastructure clears two hurdles: (a) the social rate of return on private capital in the poor country, and (b) the social rate of return on private capital in rich countries. Applying the framework to the only comprehensive, cross-country dataset of social rates of return on infrastructure indicates that in 1985 just 7 of 53 poor countries cleared the dual hurdles in both paved roads and electricity. (JEL H43, H54, L94, O13, O18, Q01)","PeriodicalId":48416,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Literature","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.6,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138987175","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Journal of Economic Literature, December 2023, Volume LXI, Number 4 经济文献杂志》,2023 年 12 月,第 LXI 卷,第 4 号
IF 12.6 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1257/jel.61.4.1
{"title":"Journal of Economic Literature, December 2023, Volume LXI, Number 4","authors":"","doi":"10.1257/jel.61.4.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.61.4.1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48416,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Literature","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.6,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139021307","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of Economic Literature
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