{"title":"机构投资者交易行为与CEO择时","authors":"Quang Thu Luu , Khoa Duong Dang","doi":"10.1016/j.apmrv.2022.03.002","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We use excess return, risks, MB ratios, and cumulative abnormal return as proxies to examine the CEO's market timing. The empirical results indicate that CEOs have been exactly in timing the market for Seasonal equity offering (SEO) events. CEOs have more incentives to execute seasonal equity offering when <em>CAR</em> reach peak and market risk drop to the lowest point that investors become less worried about risks. Evidence also shows that institutional investors do not own insider information before SEO but when issuance date appears, they recognize that CEOs are exploiting insider information in order to issue stocks at the highest price. Hence, the institutional investors switch their trading behavior from long positions to short positions to dodge the potential losses inflicted by the CEO's market timing. The fund manager recognizes that CEOs are implementing market timing so they can earn a positive return in the future. In contrast, security dealers and foreign investors do not recognize the CEO's market timing action, so they do not react, resulting in negative returns in the future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46001,"journal":{"name":"Asia Pacific Management Review","volume":"28 1","pages":"Pages 69-80"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5000,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Trading behavior of institutional investors and CEO's market timing\",\"authors\":\"Quang Thu Luu , Khoa Duong Dang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.apmrv.2022.03.002\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>We use excess return, risks, MB ratios, and cumulative abnormal return as proxies to examine the CEO's market timing. The empirical results indicate that CEOs have been exactly in timing the market for Seasonal equity offering (SEO) events. CEOs have more incentives to execute seasonal equity offering when <em>CAR</em> reach peak and market risk drop to the lowest point that investors become less worried about risks. Evidence also shows that institutional investors do not own insider information before SEO but when issuance date appears, they recognize that CEOs are exploiting insider information in order to issue stocks at the highest price. Hence, the institutional investors switch their trading behavior from long positions to short positions to dodge the potential losses inflicted by the CEO's market timing. The fund manager recognizes that CEOs are implementing market timing so they can earn a positive return in the future. In contrast, security dealers and foreign investors do not recognize the CEO's market timing action, so they do not react, resulting in negative returns in the future.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46001,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Asia Pacific Management Review\",\"volume\":\"28 1\",\"pages\":\"Pages 69-80\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-03-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Asia Pacific Management Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1029313222000100\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MANAGEMENT\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Asia Pacific Management Review","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1029313222000100","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MANAGEMENT","Score":null,"Total":0}
Trading behavior of institutional investors and CEO's market timing
We use excess return, risks, MB ratios, and cumulative abnormal return as proxies to examine the CEO's market timing. The empirical results indicate that CEOs have been exactly in timing the market for Seasonal equity offering (SEO) events. CEOs have more incentives to execute seasonal equity offering when CAR reach peak and market risk drop to the lowest point that investors become less worried about risks. Evidence also shows that institutional investors do not own insider information before SEO but when issuance date appears, they recognize that CEOs are exploiting insider information in order to issue stocks at the highest price. Hence, the institutional investors switch their trading behavior from long positions to short positions to dodge the potential losses inflicted by the CEO's market timing. The fund manager recognizes that CEOs are implementing market timing so they can earn a positive return in the future. In contrast, security dealers and foreign investors do not recognize the CEO's market timing action, so they do not react, resulting in negative returns in the future.
期刊介绍:
Asia Pacific Management Review (APMR), peer-reviewed and published quarterly, pursues to publish original and high quality research articles and notes that contribute to build empirical and theoretical understanding for concerning strategy and management aspects in business and activities. Meanwhile, we also seek to publish short communications and opinions addressing issues of current concern to managers in regards to within and between the Asia-Pacific region. The covered domains but not limited to, such as accounting, finance, marketing, decision analysis and operation management, human resource management, information management, international business management, logistic and supply chain management, quantitative and research methods, strategic and business management, and tourism management, are suitable for publication in the APMR.