贸易开放与工作贫困:来自发展中国家的经验证据

H. Nessa, K. Imai
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的劳动贫困的存在降低了“增加就业减少贫困”战略的有效性。发达国家已经对此表示关注,但发展中国家对此重视不够。本研究以发展中国家为重点,确定了(1)贸易开放(TO)对工作贫困的影响;(2)工作贫困陷阱在发展中国家是否存在。还对低收入、中低收入和中高收入发展中国家的三个子样本进行了这两个目标的分析。设计/方法/方法本研究收集了2000-2016年期间98个发展中国家的面板数据。静态分析采用固定效应法,动态分析采用GMM法。研究发现TO显著降低了工作贫困率(WPR)(主要由中高收入发展中国家推动)。WPR与其前一年的比率正相关,证明了劳动贫困陷阱的存在。研究的局限性/意义本研究的结果受制于选定的时间、国家和方法。未来的研究应该使用更多的改进方法,并应该确定toc可以影响工作贫困的渠道。现实意义中等收入和中等偏上收入的发展中国家应提高劳动生产率,以减少劳动贫困。劳动贫困最严重的低收入发展中国家应设法使贸易对劳动贫困产生有益影响。社会影响劳动贫困不仅是发达国家的问题,而是一个全球现象。因此,预计该研究也将提高发展中国家对这一现象的社会意识。原创性/价值本研究填补了发展中国家劳动生产率对劳动贫困的影响和劳动贫困陷阱存在的空白。
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Trade openness and working poverty: empirical evidences from developing countries
PurposeExistence of working poverty reduces the effectiveness of the strategy of “increasing employment to reduce poverty”. Developed countries are already concerned about it but insufficient attention has been made by developing countries. Focusing on developing countries this study identifies (1) the effects of trade openness (TO) on working poverty and (2) whether the working poverty trap exists or not in developing countries. Both objectives are also analyzed for three subsamples of low income, lower-middle income and upper-middle income developing countries.Design/methodology/approachPanel data for 98 developing countries over the period of 2000–2016 have been collected for the study. Fixed effect and GMM methods are applied for static and dynamic analysis, respectively.FindingsThe study finds that TO significantly reduces working poverty rate (WPR) (mainly driven up by upper-middle income developing countries). The positive association between WPR with its previous year's rate proves the existence of working poverty trap.Research limitations/implicationsThe study's outcome is subject to selected time, countries and methods. Future research should use more improve methods and should identify the channels through which TO could affect working poverty.Practical implicationsMiddle income and upper-middle income developing countries should increase TO to reduce the working poverty. Low income developing countries that have the highest working poverty should search the way to derive beneficial effects of trade on working poverty.Social implicationsWorking poverty is not only a developed country issue rather it is a global phenomenon. Hence, it is expected that the study will raise the social consciousness about this phenomenon in developing countries too.Originality/valueThe study fulfills the gaps of identifying the effects of TO on working poverty and existence of in-work poverty trap in developing countries.
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