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Can digital service trade promote the high-quality development of global manufacturing? – existence and mechanism 数字服务贸易能否促进全球制造业高质量发展?-存在和机制
Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-06-2023-0014
Ailian Qiu, Yingchun Yu, John McCollough
Purpose This thesis deeply studies the impact mechanism of digital service trade on the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry from the aspects of technological innovation and industrial structure. Design/methodology/approach In this thesis, 40 countries from 2010 to 2020 were selected as samples, and the panel fixed-effect model and intermediary effect model were used to empirically analyze the impact path of digital service trade on the high-quality development of global manufacturing. Findings Overall, digital service trade has a positive impact on the high-quality development of the global manufacturing industry. Through the analysis of the intermediary effect mechanism, it is found that digital service trade can further positively affect the high-quality development of the global manufacturing industry by promoting technological innovation and industrial structure upgrading. Research limitations/implications Based on the empirical results, targeted countermeasures and suggestions are given in this paper. Practical implications Through the test of national heterogeneity, it is found that in developing countries, digital service trade mainly acts on the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry by promoting industrial structure upgrading. Social implications In developed countries, digital service trade mainly promotes the high-quality development of manufacturing through technological innovation; from the perspective of industry heterogeneity, the three service industries of information and communication technology (ICT), other business services and property have the intermediary effect of technological innovation and industrial structure. Originality/value This manuscript suggests that trade in digital services should be promoted as a national trade priority.
本文从技术创新和产业结构两个方面深入研究数字服务贸易对制造业高质量发展的影响机制。本文以2010 - 2020年40个国家为样本,运用面板固定效应模型和中介效应模型,实证分析了数字服务贸易对全球制造业高质量发展的影响路径。总体而言,数字服务贸易对全球制造业的高质量发展具有积极影响。通过中介效应机制分析,发现数字服务贸易通过促进技术创新和产业结构升级,进一步对全球制造业高质量发展产生积极影响。基于实证结果,本文提出了针对性的对策和建议。通过国家异质性检验发现,在发展中国家,数字服务贸易主要通过促进产业结构升级来促进制造业的高质量发展。在发达国家,数字服务贸易主要通过技术创新促进制造业的高质量发展;从产业异质性的角度看,信息通信技术、其他商业服务和房地产三大服务业对技术创新和产业结构具有中介效应。原创性/价值本文建议,应将数字服务贸易作为国家贸易优先事项加以促进。
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引用次数: 0
Transfer pricing practices in multinational corporations and their effects on developing countries' tax revenue: a systematic literature review 跨国公司的转移定价实践及其对发展中国家税收的影响:系统文献综述
Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-04-2023-0011
Akash Kalra, Munshi Naser Ibne Afzal
Purpose For many global firms and corporate oligopolies, transfer pricing is essential. The transfer pricing literature as it is currently written is succinctly summarized in this study. The authors offer a thorough analysis of transfer pricing research in this study. This review sheds light on the top researchers, approaches, conclusions, theoretical and empirical gaps, and upcoming issues of transfer pricing research over the previous nine years through a methodical analysis of 29 research publications from the Scopus database (2014–2022). To help graduate students pursue further degrees in this area, such as a master's, thesis or PhD, this study will highlight five research issues. Design/methodology/approach This essay looks at five significant areas of tax avoidance and transfer pricing research. Some of these issues include determining the impact of transfer pricing regulations on various types of multinational corporations, assessing the effectiveness of transfer pricing regulations in preventing tax evasion, examining various policy options and determining the impact of transfer pricing on other economic outcomes using a systematic literature review. Findings The findings of this review demonstrate the need for transfer pricing research to look more closely at transfer pricing as a tool for business in addition to compliance and tax management. Originality/value This analysis concludes with future directions for transfer pricing research.
对于许多全球性公司和寡头垄断企业来说,转移定价是必不可少的。转让定价文献,因为它是目前写的是简洁的总结在本研究。作者在本研究中对转移定价研究进行了全面的分析。本文通过对Scopus数据库(2014-2022)的29篇研究论文的系统分析,揭示了过去9年转让定价研究的顶尖研究人员、方法、结论、理论和实证差距以及即将出现的问题。为了帮助研究生在这一领域获得进一步的学位,如硕士学位、论文或博士学位,本研究将突出五个研究问题。本文着眼于避税和转让定价研究的五个重要领域。其中一些问题包括确定转让定价法规对各类跨国公司的影响,评估转让定价法规在防止逃税方面的有效性,审查各种政策选择,并通过系统的文献综述确定转让定价对其他经济结果的影响。本综述的研究结果表明,除了合规和税务管理之外,转移定价研究还需要更密切地关注转移定价作为商业工具的必要性。本文最后提出了转让定价研究的未来方向。
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引用次数: 0
Financial markets regulation: political accountability challenged 金融市场监管:政治问责制受到挑战
Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-06-2023-0016
A. Heritier
PurposeThis paper aims to conceptualize and empirically illustrate the challenges that financial market regulation presents to politicians and the organization tasked with specifying regulations and supervising their implementation in the interest of users and consumers of financial instruments. It analyses the problem from the viewpoint of the governor's dilemma and the control/competence conflict, the linked problem of the rent-seeking of agents/intermediators and consumers of financial instruments. Political accountability problems are enhanced by the materiality of the technologies used, i.e. algo trading.Design/methodology/approachThe paper theoretically conceptualizes and empirically illustrates the argument.FindingsThe paper finds that regulators of digitalized financial markets are faced with considerable problems and depend on private agents when regulating financial transactions. However, the new technological instruments also offer new possibilities for securing compliance.Research limitations/implicationsFurther research should focus more in-depth on the cooperation between public and private actors in the specification and implementation of regulatory details. It should further investigate the conditions which allow regulators to use RegTech in the surveillance of financial firms.Practical implicationsSince financial market transactions are opaque for most users, the creation of more transparency is crucial to hold regulators accountable in their activity of surveillance of financial firms. New algorithm-based technologies may lend important support in doing so.Originality/valueBy linking the different analytical perspectives, i.e. the governor's dilemma vis-à-vis the intermediator or agent and the possible rent-seeking of intermediators, under the condition of a highly developed technology of financial transactions as well as the market structure, the paper offers new insights into the limits as well as new opportunities of regulating financial markets allowing for political accountability of regulators and financial firms.
本文旨在概念化和实证说明金融市场监管给政治家和负责指定法规并监督其实施的组织带来的挑战,以维护金融工具用户和消费者的利益。从管理者困境与控制/能力冲突、金融工具的代理人/中介和消费者的寻租问题相关联的角度分析了这一问题。所使用的技术(即算法交易)的重要性加剧了政治问责问题。这篇论文从理论上概念化了这一论点,并从经验上说明了这一论点。研究发现,数字化金融市场的监管机构在监管金融交易时面临着相当大的问题,并且依赖于私人代理。然而,新的技术手段也为确保遵守提供了新的可能性。研究限制/影响进一步的研究应更深入地关注公共和私人行为者在规范和实施监管细节方面的合作。它应该进一步调查允许监管机构在监管金融公司时使用RegTech的条件。由于金融市场交易对大多数用户来说是不透明的,因此创造更多的透明度对于监管机构在监管金融公司的活动中问责至关重要。基于算法的新技术可能在这方面提供重要支持。独创性/价值在金融交易技术和市场结构高度发达的条件下,通过将不同的分析视角,即管理者对-à-vis中介或代理人的困境和中介可能的寻租联系起来,本文为监管金融市场的限制和新的机遇提供了新的见解,允许监管机构和金融公司的政治问责。
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引用次数: 0
The exchange rate, income, trade openness and the trade balance: longitudinal panel analysis for selected SSA countries 汇率、收入、贸易开放度和贸易平衡:选定SSA国家的纵向面板分析
Pub Date : 2023-07-12 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-04-2023-0007
Adamu Braimah Abille, Oytun Meçik
Purpose Motivated by recent rapid exchange rate depreciations, shrank economic growth, high inflation, and persistent trade deficits, this study examines the trade balance (TB) in the face of the recent dynamics of the stated macroeconomic factors, which are also important determinants of the TB. The symmetric test of the J-curve phenomenon for the selected Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries is revisited in this regard. The study uses panel data from 1970 to 2020 for ten of these countries for the longitudinal panel analysis with the TB as the dependent variable and the real exchange rate, foreign and domestic national incomes, and trade openness as the set of independent variables.Design/methodology/approach Because the underlying data set involves a heterogeneous panel of relatively short N and long T, the pooled mean group (PMG) and mean group (MG) heterogeneous panel models are employed based on the Hausman test for parameter consistency in heterogeneous panels.Findings The findings largely support the domestic income growth– TB worsening and the foreign income growth– TB improvement hypotheses. Trade openness is found to mostly augment the TB performance of the countries. The results also validated the J-curve effect for only 3/10 and 2/10 countries in the PMG and MG models, respectively. The divergence for most of the countries is attributed to possible import compression and institutional structure of SSA countries.Practical implications Given the favorable effects of trade openness on the TB performance of SSA countries, it is recommended that SSA countries place much emphasis on import-substitution industrialization and value addition to their natural resources as well as investment-driven growth policies to improve the competitiveness of their exports and reverse the chronic deficits in their TBs.Originality/value This paper is unique for invoking heterogeneous panel models to analyze the TB in light of recent dynamics of its determinants, as well as providing an update on the symmetric test of the J-curve phenomenon for the selected SSA countries.
在近期汇率快速贬值、经济增长萎缩、高通胀和持续贸易逆差的推动下,本研究考察了近期宏观经济因素动态下的贸易平衡(TB),这些因素也是TB的重要决定因素。在这方面,对选定的撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家的j曲线现象的对称检验进行了重新审视。该研究使用了其中10个国家1970年至2020年的面板数据进行纵向面板分析,以结核病为因变量,实际汇率、国内外国民收入和贸易开放度为自变量。由于底层数据集涉及相对较短的N和较长的T的异质性面板,因此基于异质性面板中参数一致性的Hausman检验,采用了混合平均组(PMG)和平均组(MG)异质性面板模型。研究结果在很大程度上支持了国内收入增长-结核病恶化和国外收入增长-结核病改善的假设。研究发现,贸易开放在很大程度上提高了各国的结核病防治绩效。在PMG和MG模型中,j曲线效应分别只适用于3/10和2/10的国家。大多数国家的差异归因于可能的进口压缩和SSA国家的制度结构。鉴于贸易开放对SSA国家结核病绩效的有利影响,建议SSA国家将重点放在进口替代工业化和自然资源增值以及投资驱动的增长政策上,以提高其出口竞争力并扭转其结核病的长期赤字。本文的独特之处在于,根据其决定因素的最新动态,调用异质面板模型来分析结核病,并对选定的SSA国家的j曲线现象的对称检验提供了更新。
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引用次数: 0
Trajectory of brain-drain and quality of work-life amongst Nigeria’s university lecturers: academic staff union of universities (ASUU) incessant strike in retrospect 尼日利亚大学讲师的人才流失轨迹与工作生活质量:回顾大学学术人员工会(ASUU)的持续罢工
Pub Date : 2023-05-30 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-10-2022-0021
O. Akinwale, O. Kuye, Olayombo Elizabeth Akinwale
PurposeBrain-drain insurgency has become pervasive amongst professionals and the last option for everyone in the country to realise a sustainable quality of work-life (QWL). All youths now in the country have perceived migrating to the international workspace as a noble idea. This study investigates the incidence of brain-drain and QWL amongst academics in Nigerian universities.Design/methodology/approachTo sparkle a clearer understanding concerning factors preventing the QWL amongst Nigeria's lecturers, this study utilised a cross-sectional research design to survey the participants across all departments in federal institutions through an explanatory research approach. This study applied an array of adapted scales to evaluate members of academic staff track of what provoked the incidence of brain-drain amongst Nigerian lecturers and possible influence on their QWL. The study surveyed 431 members of academic staff in Nigerian universities to collect useful data and employed a structural equation model (SEM) to analyse the obtained data.FindingsThe outcome of this study highlights that there is a horrible condition of service amongst Nigerian lecturers, a poor compensation system, poor academic research funding and lack of autonomy are bane to the QWL experienced in Nigerian tertiary institutions today. This study indicates that poor staff development and inadequate university funding are part of the justification that provoked brain-drain insurgence, and allowed the government to lose their skilled and competent egg-heads in the university to other foreign nations of the world.Originality/valueThis study demonstrated that brain-drain has become part of Nigeria's national life given that all professionals are seeking better life where their skills, competence and energy would be valued. Brain-drain was not common until these days amongst academics and fewer studies were noted but this study showed a novel paradigm regarding the QWL and brain-drain trajectory.
目的人才外流叛乱已经在专业人士中普遍存在,也是这个国家每个人实现可持续工作生活质量的最后选择(QWL)。现在这个国家的所有年轻人都认为移民到国际工作场所是一个崇高的想法。本研究调查了尼日利亚大学学者中人才流失和QWL的发生率。设计/方法/方法为了让尼日利亚讲师更清楚地了解阻碍QWL的因素,本研究采用了横断面研究设计,通过解释性研究方法对联邦机构所有部门的参与者进行了调查。这项研究应用了一系列经过调整的量表来评估学术人员对尼日利亚讲师人才流失发生率的跟踪,以及对他们QWL的可能影响。这项研究调查了尼日利亚大学的431名教职员工,以收集有用的数据,并使用结构方程模型(SEM)分析获得的数据。调查结果这项研究的结果强调,尼日利亚讲师的服务条件恶劣,薪酬制度差,学术研究资金差,缺乏自主性,这些都是当今尼日利亚高等院校QWL的祸害。这项研究表明,糟糕的员工发展和大学资金不足是引发人才外流叛乱的部分原因,并使政府在大学里失去了技术娴熟、能力强大的校长,让他们流失到世界其他国家。独创性/价值这项研究表明,鉴于所有专业人员都在寻求更好的生活,他们的技能、能力和精力都会得到重视,人才流失已经成为尼日利亚国民生活的一部分。直到最近,人才流失在学术界才很常见,研究也越来越少,但这项研究显示了一种关于QWL和人才流失轨迹的新范式。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of monetary policy on the macroeconomy under dollarization: evidence from the Lao PDR 美元化下货币政策对宏观经济的影响:来自老挝人民民主共和国的证据
Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-01-2023-0002
Hail Park, J. Son, Wenbo Wang
PurposeThis study empirically aims to analyze the transmission of monetary policy in consideration of asymmetry based on the Bank of the Lao PDR (BOL)'s monetary policy tools and real and financial variables in the domestic market.Design/methodology/approachThis study adopts two approaches, conventional vector autoregression (VAR) and asymmetric VAR, to investigate the impact of monetary policy on macroeconomic variables including inflation and real GDP growth in the Lao PDR.FindingsUnder a highly dollarized monetary regime, the policy rate change plays a weaker role compared with M0, which exerts significantly positive effects on real GDP growth and inflation. The results of the asymmetric VAR model further substantiate that the real economy responds to a positive M0 shock (easing monetary policy) rather than a negative shock (tightening monetary policy).Practical implicationsOverall estimation results suggest that the effectiveness of monetary policy is limited in Laos, which would take priority over efforts to strengthen the development of the short-term financial market and de-dollarization.Originality/valueThis study can fill the gap in the literature in which the discussions on the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the BOL's monetary policy are still little known.
目的本研究旨在基于老挝人民民主共和国银行(BOL)的货币政策工具以及国内市场上的实际和金融变量,实证分析考虑不对称的货币政策传导。设计/方法论/方法本研究采用传统向量自回归(VAR)和非对称VAR两种方法,研究货币政策对老挝PDR中包括通货膨胀和实际GDP增长在内的宏观经济变量的影响,这对实际国内生产总值增长和通货膨胀产生了显著的积极影响。非对称VAR模型的结果进一步证实了实体经济对正M0冲击(放松货币政策)的反应,而不是对负M0冲击的反应(收紧货币政策)。实际含义总体估计结果表明,老挝货币政策的有效性有限,这项研究可以填补文献中对BOL货币政策中货币政策传导机制的讨论仍然鲜为人知的空白。
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引用次数: 0
A retrospective evaluation of the intellectual structure of private agricultural and food standards research in global trade 对全球贸易中私营农业和食品标准研究的知识结构的回顾性评价
Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-11-2022-0023
Francis Lwesya, Justine Mbukwa
PurposeThe aim of this article was to present a retrospective assessment of the intellectual structure of private agricultural and food standards research in global trade. This study was motivated by the increasing role of standards and certifications in governing global agricultural and food trade.Design/methodology/approachThe current investigation was carried out with bibliometric methods using VOSviewer software. Techniques such as citation, co-citation, keyword co-occurrence, keyword evolution and co-authorship analyses were performed to tackle the research questions. Articles were extracted from Scopus database for the period 1998–2022 (30th August 2022) with selected keywords (“Private food standard*” OR “food standard*” OR “agri-food standard*” AND “agri*” OR “agro*” OR “farm*” OR “food*” AND “international trade” OR “global trade” OR “international business”) along certain filters (subject – Economics and Business management: language – English: Document – article and review articles and source – journals).FindingsThe results show that the intellectual structure of private agricultural and food standards research in global trade has evolved around five clusters, namely: (1) the political economy of food standards, (2) food standards and their challenges in global trade, (3) food standards and integration into value chains, (4) food standards and market access and (5) food standards and exports from developing countries. However, the authors found the research gaps in each of the thematic clusters.Research limitations/implicationsThe main limitation of this study is that the authors focused their attention on certain aspects of bibliometric review, such as the intellectual structure of the field, the citation analysis and the collaboration network. Future research could attempt to explore new field development through bibliographic coupling and deepening of conceptual structure using content analysis by incorporating the research methods used in the respective studies.Practical implicationsThe emerging research areas in private agricultural and food standards in global trade are related to topics on food quality, sustainable development, genetically modified organisms, World Trade Organization, tariff structure, trade agreements, food industry and European Union. However, there is less research and little collaboration between Africa and developed countries. For example, Africa's total publications were (15), while the US had (46), China (15), Belgium (23), Germany (27), Italy (32) and the UK (24).Originality/valueThere are limited studies that have conducted a retrospective evaluation of the intellectual structure of private agricultural and food standards research in the global trade using bibliometric analysis. The present investigation is novel in identifying the thematic research clusters, emerging issues and future research directions. This is more important to developing countries as their agricultural produce face challenges to ac
摘要目的对全球贸易中私营农业和食品标准研究的知识结构进行回顾性评估。这项研究的动机是标准和认证在管理全球农业和食品贸易方面的作用越来越大。设计/方法学/方法本研究采用文献计量学方法,使用VOSviewer软件。采用引文、共被引、关键词共现、关键词演化和合著分析等技术来解决研究问题。从Scopus数据库中提取1998-2022年(2022年8月30日)期间的文章,选定关键词(“私人食品标准*”或“食品标准*”或“农业食品标准*”和“农业*”或“农业*”或“农场*”或“食品*”和“国际贸易”或“全球贸易”或“国际商业”),以及特定过滤器(主题-经济和商业管理;语言-英语;文件-文章和评论文章以及来源-期刊)。研究结果表明,全球贸易中私营农业和食品标准研究的知识结构围绕五个集群发展,即:(1)食品标准的政治经济学;(2)食品标准及其在全球贸易中的挑战;(3)食品标准与融入价值链;(4)食品标准与市场准入;(5)发展中国家食品标准与出口。然而,作者发现了每个专题集群的研究空白。研究的局限性/启示本研究的主要局限性在于作者将注意力集中在文献计量学综述的某些方面,如领域的智力结构、引文分析和合作网络。未来的研究可以尝试结合各自研究的研究方法,通过书目耦合和内容分析加深概念结构来探索新的领域发展。实际意义私营农业和食品标准在全球贸易中的新兴研究领域涉及食品质量、可持续发展、转基因生物、世界贸易组织、关税结构、贸易协定、食品工业和欧盟等主题。然而,非洲和发达国家之间的研究和合作很少。例如,非洲总共发表了(15)篇论文,而美国有(46)篇,中国有(15)篇,比利时有(23)篇,德国有(27)篇,意大利有(32)篇,英国有(24)篇。原创性/价值使用文献计量学分析对全球贸易中私营农业和食品标准研究的知识结构进行回顾性评估的研究有限。本研究在确定专题研究集群、新兴问题和未来研究方向方面具有新颖性。这对发展中国家来说更为重要,因为它们的农产品面临着进入发达国家市场的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Trade openness and working poverty: empirical evidences from developing countries 贸易开放与工作贫困:来自发展中国家的经验证据
Pub Date : 2023-02-06 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-08-2022-0018
H. Nessa, K. Imai
PurposeExistence of working poverty reduces the effectiveness of the strategy of “increasing employment to reduce poverty”. Developed countries are already concerned about it but insufficient attention has been made by developing countries. Focusing on developing countries this study identifies (1) the effects of trade openness (TO) on working poverty and (2) whether the working poverty trap exists or not in developing countries. Both objectives are also analyzed for three subsamples of low income, lower-middle income and upper-middle income developing countries.Design/methodology/approachPanel data for 98 developing countries over the period of 2000–2016 have been collected for the study. Fixed effect and GMM methods are applied for static and dynamic analysis, respectively.FindingsThe study finds that TO significantly reduces working poverty rate (WPR) (mainly driven up by upper-middle income developing countries). The positive association between WPR with its previous year's rate proves the existence of working poverty trap.Research limitations/implicationsThe study's outcome is subject to selected time, countries and methods. Future research should use more improve methods and should identify the channels through which TO could affect working poverty.Practical implicationsMiddle income and upper-middle income developing countries should increase TO to reduce the working poverty. Low income developing countries that have the highest working poverty should search the way to derive beneficial effects of trade on working poverty.Social implicationsWorking poverty is not only a developed country issue rather it is a global phenomenon. Hence, it is expected that the study will raise the social consciousness about this phenomenon in developing countries too.Originality/valueThe study fulfills the gaps of identifying the effects of TO on working poverty and existence of in-work poverty trap in developing countries.
目的劳动贫困的存在降低了“增加就业减少贫困”战略的有效性。发达国家已经对此表示关注,但发展中国家对此重视不够。本研究以发展中国家为重点,确定了(1)贸易开放(TO)对工作贫困的影响;(2)工作贫困陷阱在发展中国家是否存在。还对低收入、中低收入和中高收入发展中国家的三个子样本进行了这两个目标的分析。设计/方法/方法本研究收集了2000-2016年期间98个发展中国家的面板数据。静态分析采用固定效应法,动态分析采用GMM法。研究发现TO显著降低了工作贫困率(WPR)(主要由中高收入发展中国家推动)。WPR与其前一年的比率正相关,证明了劳动贫困陷阱的存在。研究的局限性/意义本研究的结果受制于选定的时间、国家和方法。未来的研究应该使用更多的改进方法,并应该确定toc可以影响工作贫困的渠道。现实意义中等收入和中等偏上收入的发展中国家应提高劳动生产率,以减少劳动贫困。劳动贫困最严重的低收入发展中国家应设法使贸易对劳动贫困产生有益影响。社会影响劳动贫困不仅是发达国家的问题,而是一个全球现象。因此,预计该研究也将提高发展中国家对这一现象的社会意识。原创性/价值本研究填补了发展中国家劳动生产率对劳动贫困的影响和劳动贫困陷阱存在的空白。
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引用次数: 1
Capital flows to low-income sub-Saharan Africa: an exploratory review 流向撒哈拉以南低收入非洲的资本流动:一项探索性审查
Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-08-2022-0017
Nombulelo Braiton, N. Odhiambo
PurposeThe purpose of the paper is to examine macroeconomic and institutional factors that influence capital flows to low-income sub-Saharan African (SSAn) countries. It analyzes capital flows in a disaggregated manner: foreign divert investment, portfolio equity and portfolio debt. There is a gap in the empirical literature in examining the factors that are important for various types of capital flows to low-income SSAn countries. Low-income SSAn countries attract very low levels of foreign investment compared to other developing economies in the SSAn region and other developing economies and this paper attempts to make a contribution in this area.Design/methodology/approachThis paper examines data on capital flows and that of various push and pull factors. Trends and dynamics of capital inflows and their macroeconomic and institutional drivers are analyzed for low-income sub-Saharan African countries. Such an analysis has not been fully explored for low-income SSAn countries.FindingsCapital inflows to low-income sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have increased sevenfold since the 1990s, dominated by foreign direct investment (FDI). They overtook official development assistance and aid in the 2010s. Mozambique and Ethiopia attract the largest size of FDI compared to other low-income SSAn economies, with natural resources as key factors in the former. The largest share of FDI to low-income SSAn countries comes from other SSAn countries, mostly South Africa and Mauritius. Among macroeconomic push factors, capital inflows are more closely related to commodity prices, while the volatility index and global liquidity are also important. Among macroeconomic pull factors, trade openness and economic growth appear more closely related to capital inflows. The surge in capital inflows in the 2000s also followed the implementation of several regional trade and investment agreements in the region. The improvement in internal conflict in the 1990s and mid-2000s seems to have helped support the increase in capital inflows during that period. This institutional quality variable appears to more closely track capital inflows compared to other institutional quality indicators. There were also improvements in the investment profile, law and order, and government stability in the 1990s to early 2000s when capital inflows picked up.Research limitations/implicationsThis study focuses on low-income SSAn countries, which are less studied in the empirical literature and that face immense developmental needs that require foreign and domestic capital.Practical implicationsFindings of this paper can shed light to policy makers on the factors that are most important to help the region attract capital inflows and areas where further improvement is needed in the macroeconomic and institutional environment.Originality/valueThere is a gap in the empirical literature in examining the factors that are important for attracting capital flows to low-income SSAn countries. To our knowledge, th
目的研究影响撒哈拉以南非洲低收入国家资本流动的宏观经济和制度因素。它以分类的方式分析资本流动:外国转移投资、投资组合权益和投资组合债务。实证文献在研究各种类型的资本流向低收入SSAn国家的重要因素方面存在差距。与撒哈拉以南地区的其他发展中经济体和其他发展中的经济体相比,低收入撒哈拉以南国家吸引的外国投资水平非常低,本文试图在这一领域做出贡献。设计/方法论/方法本文考察了资本流动数据以及各种推动和拉动因素的数据。分析了撒哈拉以南低收入非洲国家资本流入的趋势和动态及其宏观经济和体制驱动因素。对于撒哈拉以南低收入国家,这种分析尚未得到充分探讨。自20世纪90年代以来,流入撒哈拉以南低收入非洲(SSA)的资本增加了7倍,主要由外国直接投资(FDI)主导。它们在2010年代超过了官方发展援助和援助。与撒哈拉以南非洲其他低收入经济体相比,莫桑比克和埃塞俄比亚吸引的外国直接投资规模最大,自然资源是前者的关键因素。对撒哈拉以南低收入国家的外国直接投资最大份额来自其他撒哈拉以南国家,主要是南非和毛里求斯。在宏观经济推动因素中,资本流入与大宗商品价格的关系更为密切,而波动率指数和全球流动性也很重要。在宏观经济拉动因素中,贸易开放度和经济增长似乎与资本流入关系更密切。2000年代资本流入的激增也是在该地区实施了几项区域贸易和投资协议之后发生的。1990年代和2000年代中期内部冲突的改善似乎有助于支持这一时期资本流入的增加。与其他机构质量指标相比,这一机构质量变量似乎更密切地跟踪资本流入。从20世纪90年代到21世纪初,当资本流入增加时,投资状况、法律和秩序以及政府稳定也有所改善。研究局限性/含义本研究重点关注撒哈拉以南低收入国家,这些国家在实证文献中研究较少,面临着巨大的发展需求,需要外国和国内资本。实际含义本文的研究结果可以为政策制定者揭示有助于该地区吸引资本流入的最重要因素,以及宏观经济和体制环境需要进一步改善的领域。原创性/价值实证文献在研究吸引资本流向低收入SSAn国家的重要因素方面存在差距。据我们所知,这项研究可能是第一次在分类水平上探讨低收入SSAn国家资本流动与制度质量的动态。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric impact of real effective exchange rate changes on domestic output revisited: evidence from Egypt 重新审视实际有效汇率变动对国内产出的不对称影响:来自埃及的证据
Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.1108/itpd-09-2022-0020
M. Sharaf, A. M. Shahen
PurposeThis paper investigates the asymmetric impact of the real effective exchange rate (REER) on Egypt's real domestic output from 1960 to 2020.Design/methodology/approachA Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model is utilized to isolate real currency depreciations from appreciations and account for the potential asymmetry in the impact of the REER. The analyses account for the various channels via which the REER could affect domestic output.FindingsResults show evidence of a long-run asymmetry in the output effect of REER changes in which only real currency depreciations have a contractionary impact on output, while the REER has no impact on output in the short run.Practical implicationsThe Egyptian monetary authority cannot rely on domestic currency depreciation as a policy instrument to boost domestic output.Originality/valueUnlike most of the previous studies, which assume linearity in the impact of the REER on output, we relax this assumption and hypothesize that the REER changes have an asymmetric effect on the Egyptian domestic output in Egypt. We use a long time span from 1960 to 2020 and control for the potential structural breaks in the REER-output nexus and the various channels through which the REER can affect domestic output.
目的研究1960-2020年实际有效汇率(REER)对埃及实际国内产出的不对称影响。设计/方法/方法利用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型将实际货币贬值与升值隔离开来,并解释REER影响的潜在不对称性。这些分析说明了REER可能影响国内产出的各种渠道。研究结果表明,REER变化的产出效应存在长期不对称性,只有实际货币贬值对产出有收缩影响,而REER在短期内对产出没有影响。实际含义埃及货币当局不能依赖本币贬值作为提高国内产出的政策工具。原创性/价值与之前的大多数研究不同,这些研究假设REER对产出的影响呈线性,我们放松了这一假设,并假设REER的变化对埃及国内产出具有不对称影响。我们使用了从1960年到2020年的长时间跨度,并控制了REER产出关系中的潜在结构性断裂,以及REER影响国内产出的各种渠道。
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引用次数: 1
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International Trade Politics and Development
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