气候变化对加纳几内亚草原农业生态区豆科作物产量的影响

Q1 Social Sciences Regional Sustainability Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.regsus.2023.04.002
Enoch Yeleliere, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Frank Baffour-Ata
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引用次数: 1

摘要

气候变化对作物产量的影响重新引起人们的兴趣,在区域和国家范围内重点关注谷物和主要作物。然而,气候变化对当地豆科作物产量的影响尚未得到探讨。因此,深入了解当地的气候变化可变性,可能有助于设计与当地相关的适应措施,以应对当前和未来的气候风险。本研究考察了1989年至2020年期间,气候变量(年降雨量、年平均温度、降雨指数(降雨开始、降雨停止、降雨天数)和干旱天数)对加纳几内亚-萨凡纳农业生态区豆科作物(花生、豇豆和大豆)产量的影响。使用Mann-Kendall趋势、Sen斜率检验、相关分析和多元回归分析(MRA)对数据进行分析。研究结果表明,年降雨量、年平均温度、降雨开始、降雨停止、雨天长度和干旱天数都对花生、豇豆和大豆的产量产生了不同的影响。趋势分析发现,从1989年到2020年,降雨量、降雨开始时间和干旱天数略有下降(P​>;​年平均气温和降雨天数变化较大(P​<;​0.050),呈上升趋势。研究结果还显示,2005-2020年间,花生、豇豆和大豆的产量呈显著上升趋势。上述分析的气候变量使花生、豇豆和大豆的产量分别增加了49.0%、55.0%和69.0%。从2005年到2020年,花生、豇豆和大豆的产量一直在波动,变化率分别为30.0%、28.0%和27.0%。由于年降雨量、年平均温度、降雨开始、降雨停止、雨天长度和干旱天数的变化,研究中的三种豆科作物表现出不可预测的产量,这强调了农业多样化、改变种植日期、使用改良种子品种和灌溉以应对气候变化的必要性。这项研究的结果表明,气候变化对加纳几内亚-萨凡纳农业生态区的作物生产产生了重大影响,强调了为粮食安全和有韧性的农业系统采取基于当地和农民的适应措施的紧迫性。
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Impacts of climate change on the yields of leguminous crops in the Guinea Savanna agroecological zone of Ghana

The impacts of climate change on crop yields are receiving renewed interest, with focus on cereals and staple crops at the regional and national scales. Yet, the impacts of climate variability on the yields of leguminous crops in the local context has not been explored. Thus, an in-depth understanding of climate change variability in the local context may support the design of locally relevant adaptation responses to current and future climate risks. This study examined the impacts of climate variables (annual rainfall, annual average temperature, rainfall indices (rainfall onset, rainfall cessation, and the length of rainy days), and the number of dry days) on the yields of leguminous crops (groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans) in the Guinea Savanna agroecological zone of Ghana during the period of 1989–2020. The data were analysed using Mann-Kendall's trend, Sen's slope test, correlation analysis, and Multiple Regression Analysis (MRA). The findings revealed that annual rainfall, annual average temperature, rainfall onset, rainfall cessation, and the length of rainy days, and the number of dry days all showed varied impacts on the yields of groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans. The trend analysis detected a marginal decrease in the amount of rainfall, rainfall onset, and the number of dry days from 1989 to 2020 (P ​> ​0.050). Annual average temperature and the length of rainy days substantially varied (P ​< ​0.050) from 1989 to 2020, showing an increasing trend. The findings also showed a marked upward trend for the yields of groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans during 2005–2020. The climate variables analysed above increased the yields of groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans by 49.0%, 55.0%, and 69.0%, respectively. The yields of groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans have been fluctuating with the variability of 30.0%, 28.0%, and 27.0% from 2005 to 2020, respectively. The three leguminous crops under study demonstrated unpredictable yields due to the variations of annual rainfall, annual average temperature, rainfall onset, rainfall cessation, the length of rainy days, and the number of dry days, which stressed the need for agricultural diversification, changing planting dates, using improved seed variety, and irrigation to respond to climate change. The results of this study implied that climate change considerably impacts crop production in the Guinea Savanna agroecological zone of Ghana, emphasizing the urgency of locally based and farmer-induced adaptation measures for food security and resilient agricultural systems.

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来源期刊
Regional Sustainability
Regional Sustainability Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
20
审稿时长
21 weeks
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