土耳其今天和明天在俄罗斯、中亚和中国的战略

Q3 Social Sciences Central Asia and the Caucasus Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI:10.37178/ca-c.21.3.04
M. Shaikhutdinov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

土耳其共和国进入了可能是其现代史上最复杂的时期;它的野心正在上升;中国的最终目标是成为世界秩序的支柱之一,这是一个具有挑战性的目标。本文分析了土耳其对俄罗斯联邦、中亚和中华人民共和国政策的现状和未来。土耳其与俄罗斯的关系可以说是在许多领域的互利合作。在复杂局势甚至冲突中需要妥协时,双方都会展示自己的技巧。尽管双方在中东、南高加索和中亚地区的利益存在分歧,但它们总是存在的。应特别注意土耳其与欧亚经济联盟(欧亚经济联盟)之间合作的中期前景,直至土耳其可能成为成员国。在中亚,土耳其的战略依赖于通过多种方式实现突厥语一体化的基本机制,包括突厥语国家合作委员会(突厥理事会),以及土耳其与中亚五国关系的具体情况。随着中期突厥世界的出现,土耳其与中亚国家之间的贸易、经济和投资合作似乎被视为优先事项。在此背景下,突厥与欧亚一体化的利益融合尤为重要。不出所料,这篇文章对中国对土耳其的政策以及土耳其中部走廊与中国“一带一路”倡议之间的联系进行了大量关注。虽然土耳其与其西方邻国之间的矛盾日益激烈,但安卡拉和北京正在巩固两国在经济、能源、运输和物流方面的合作。同时,我们也要看到,所谓的维吾尔问题阻碍了两国友好关系的顺利发展。关键词:土耳其共和国、俄罗斯联邦、欧亚经济联盟、中国、“一带一路”、哈萨克斯坦、中东、突厥语国家合作委员会
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TURKEY’S STRATEGY IN RUSSIA, CENTRAL ASIA AND CHINA TODAY AND TOMORROW
The Republic of Turkey has entered what may be the most complicated period in its modern history; its ambitions are on the rise; its final aim to become one of the pillars of the world order is a challenging one. The paper analyzes the present and future of Turkish policy towards the Russian Federation, Central Asia and the People’s Republic of China. Turkey’s relations with Russia can be described as mutually beneficial cooperation in many spheres. The sides demonstrate their skills when compromises are required in complex situations or even conflicts. They are invariably found despite the sides’ diverging interests in the Middle East, the Southern Caucasus and Central Asia. Special attention is heeded to the mid-term prospects of cooperation between Turkey and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) up to Turkey’s possible membership. In Central Asia, Turkey’s strategy relies on essential mechanisms of Turkic integration realized by many means, including the Cooperation Council of Turkic-Speaking States (the Turkic Council), and on the specifics of Turkey’s relationships with each of the five Central Asian states. It seems that trade, economic and investment cooperation between Turkey and the Central Asian states are treated as priorities along with the expected emergence of the Turkic World in the mid-term. In this context, convergence of interests of the Turkic and Eurasian integration is especially important. As could be expected, the paper pays a lot of attention to the Chinese policy towards Turkey and connectivity between the Turkish Middle Corridor and the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative. While the contradictions between Turkey and its Western neighbors are growing increasingly vehement, Ankara and Beijing are consolidating their economic, energy, transport and logistic cooperation. At the same time, we should bear in mind that the so-called Uyghur issue is in the way of the otherwise smooth process of rapprochement. Keywords: Republic of Turkey, Russian Federation, EAEU, China, Belt and Road Initiative, Kazakhstan, Middle East, Cooperation Council of Turkic-Speaking States.
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Central Asia and the Caucasus
Central Asia and the Caucasus Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
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