电动汽车部署对意大利能源系统的影响

IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Energy and climate change Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI:10.1016/j.egycc.2023.100095
Giorgia Cerruti , Milena Chiola , Vincenzo Bianco , Federico Scarpa
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引用次数: 2

摘要

电动汽车应该在向低碳社会过渡的过程中发挥主导作用,因为它们可以用电力代替石油产品作为主要的交通能源。另一方面,电动汽车的扩散决定了电力需求的增加,从而导致电力供应结构的变化。根据这一点,必须分析供应结构如何变化,因为只有在减少排放的情况下,从可持续性的角度来看,引入电动汽车是重要的。为了评估意大利能源系统的这种情况,本文提出了EnergyPLAN中开发的一个模型。我们针对电动汽车的普及测试了三种不同的场景,以了解哪种是电动汽车扩散的最佳轨迹。分析表明,到2040年,意大利能源系统可以容纳700万辆电动汽车,约占总量的25%。更高的数量将决定碳排放量的增加。
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Impact of electric cars deployment on the Italian energy system

Electric vehicles are supposed to play a leading role in the transition towards a low carbon society since they allow to substitute oil products with electricity as the main energy source for transportation. On the other hand, the diffusion of electric vehicles determines an increase in power demand with a consequent variation in the power supply mix. In accordance with this, it is mandatory to analyse how the supply mix changes, since the introduction of electric vehicles is significant from the sustainability point of view only if there is a reduction in emissions. To assess this condition for the Italian energy system, the present paper proposes a model developed in EnergyPLAN. Three different scenarios are tested in terms of the penetration of electric vehicles to understand which is the optimal trajectory for their diffusion. The analysis demonstrates that the Italian energy system can accommodate 7 million electric cars, namely about 25% of the total in 2040. A higher amount would determine an increase in carbon emissions.

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来源期刊
Energy and climate change
Energy and climate change Global and Planetary Change, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
0.00%
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0
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