粮食安全和政治不稳定——外国撤资分析

Y. Subramaniam, Nanthakumar Loganathan, T. A. Masron
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引用次数: 1

摘要

先前的研究已经发现了政治不稳定对外国撤资(FD)的作用的证据,其中高度不稳定会鼓励外国撤资决策。因此,本文旨在研究粮食安全水平如何解释政治不稳定与FD之间的联系。本研究采用系统广义矩法(GMM),对60个发展中国家2011年至2020年的数据进行了准确可靠的实证研究。结果表明,政治不稳定与粮食安全之间存在显著负相关关系。这表明,在粮食安全水平较高的国家,政治不稳定对撤资的影响往往较低。其他控制变量,如经济增长、人力资本和贸易开放程度,也对对外贸易有负面影响,抑制对外贸易。因此,决策者可以采取措施确保粮食安全水平达到可接受的水平,因为粮食安全一直与一个国家的政治稳定联系在一起。原创性/价值由于作者的知识有限,没有研究着眼于政治不稳定和粮食安全在决定一个国家FD方面的关系。我们的研究旨在分析这一问题,因为目前由高粮价引起的全球危机将使数百万人陷入严重贫困,并加剧饥饿和营养不良
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Food security and political instability-foreign divestment analysis
Purpose Prior studies have found evidence for the role of political instability on foreign divestment (FD) where a high level of instability encourages FD decisions. Therefore, this paper aims to examine how the food security level explains the linkage between political instability and FD. Design/methodology/approach The current study adopts the system generalised method of moment (GMM) to achieve accurate and reliable empirical evidence for 60 developing countries in the period 2011 to 2020. Findings The results demonstrated a negative and significant relationship between political instability and FD on food security. This suggests that political instability’s impact on divestment tends to be lower in countries with better levels of food security. Other controlled variables, such as economic growth, human capital and trade openness, also have a negative effect on FD, discouraging FD. Practical implications As a result, policymakers could take steps to ensure that food security levels reach acceptable levels, as food security has been linked to a country’s political stability. Originality/value To the authors limited knowledge, no studies have looked at the relationship between political instability and food security in determining a country’s FD. Our study aims to analyse this issue because the current global crisis, which is being caused by high food prices, will push millions of more people into severe poverty and exacerbate hunger and malnutrition
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
4.20%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: The Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies (JCEFTS) negotiates China''s unique position within the international economy, and its interaction across the globe. From a truly international perspective, the journal publishes both qualitative and quantitative research in all areas of Chinese business and foreign trade, technical economics, business environment and business strategy. JCEFTS publishes high quality research papers, viewpoints, conceptual papers, case studies, literature reviews and general views. Emphasis is placed on the publication of articles which seek to link theory with application, or critically analyse real situations in terms of Chinese economics and business in China, with the objective of identifying good practice in these areas and assisting in the development of more appropriate arrangements for addressing crucial issues of Chinese economics and business. Papers accepted for publication will be double–blind peer-reviewed to ensure academic rigour and integrity.
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