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Digital financial inclusion and inclusive development in lower-middle-income countries: the enabling role of institutional quality 中低收入国家的数字金融包容性和包容性发展:机构质量的促进作用
IF 2.4 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-02-2024-0017
Josephine Ofosu-Mensah Ababio, Eric Boachie Yiadom, Daniel Ofori-Sasu, Emmanuel Sarpong–Kumankoma

Purpose

This study aims to explore how institutional quality links digital financial inclusion to inclusive development in lower-middle-income countries, considering heterogeneities.

Design/methodology/approach

The study uses dynamic generalized method of moments to analyze a balanced panel data set of 48 lower-middle- income countries (LMICs) from 2004 to 2022, sourced from various databases. It assesses four variables and conducts checks for study robustness.

Findings

The study reveals a positive link between digital financial inclusion and inclusive development in LMICs, confirming theoretical predictions. Empirically, nations with quality institutions exhibit greater financial and developmental inclusion than those with weak institutions, emphasizing the substantial positive impact of institutional quality on the connection between digital financial inclusion and inclusive development in LMICs. For instance, the interaction effect reveals a substantial increase of 0.123 in inclusive development for every unit increase in digital financial inclusion in the presence of strong institutions. The findings provide robust empirical evidence that the presence of quality institutions is a key catalyst for the benefits of digital finance in inclusive development.

Originality/value

This study offers significant insights into digital financial inclusion and inclusive development in LMICs. It confirms a positive relationship between digital financial inclusion and inclusive development, highlighting the pivotal role of institutional quality in amplifying these benefits. Strong institutions benefit deprived individuals, families, communities and businesses, enabling full access to digital financial inclusion benefits. This facilitates engagement in development processes, aiding LMICs in achieving Sustainable Development Goals.

本研究采用动态广义矩法,对来自不同数据库的 2004 年至 2022 年 48 个中低收入国家的平衡面板数据集进行分析,评估了四个变量,并对研究的稳健性进行了检验。研究结果该研究揭示了数字金融包容性与中低收入国家包容性发展之间的正向联系,证实了理论预测。从经验上看,与机构薄弱的国家相比,机构质量高的国家表现出更大的金融和发展包容性,这强调了机构质量对低收入和中等收入国家数字金融包容性和包容性发展之间联系的实质性积极影响。例如,互动效应显示,在机构强大的情况下,数字金融包容性每增加一个单位,包容性发展就会大幅增加 0.123。研究结果提供了有力的经验证据,表明优质机构的存在是数字金融在包容性发展中获益的关键催化剂。它证实了数字金融普惠性与包容性发展之间的积极关系,强调了机构质量在扩大这些效益方面的关键作用。强有力的机构有利于贫困的个人、家庭、社区和企业,使他们能够充分享受数字金融普惠的益处。这有助于参与发展进程,帮助低收入和中等收入国家实现可持续发展目标。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 pandemic and linkage between stock markets in Middle Eastern countries COVID-19 大流行与中东国家股票市场之间的联系
IF 2.4 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-01-2024-0010
Suhaib Al-Khazaleh, Dr Nemer Badwan, Ibrahim Eriqat, Zahra El Shlmani
<h3>Purpose</h3><p>The purpose of this study is to evaluate the linkage between stock markets in Middle Eastern countries before and during the COVID-19 pandemic by using daily and monthly data sets for the period from 2011 to 2021.</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3><p>The multivariate BEKK-GARCH model was computed to evaluate the existence of non-linear linkage among Middle Eastern stock markets. A correlation approach was used in this study to determine the type of linear connectivity between Middle Eastern stock markets. The study used monthly and daily data sets covering the years 2011 to 2021 to investigate the linkage between stock returns and the volatility spillover between the stock markets in Palestine, Jordan, Syria and Lebanon, both before and during COVID-19. To understand the types of relationships between markets before and during COVID-19, the daily data set was split into two periods.</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Findings</h3><p>Results from the pre-COVID-19 suggest that the Syria stock market is not related to any stock market in the Middle East markets; the Palestine and Lebanon stock markets exhibit a weak relationship, but Jordan and Palestine stock markets are strongly linked. Conversely, results from COVID-19 evince a very strong bidirectional volatility spillover between Middle East stock markets. Overall, the results indicate the existence of increased linkage during the COVID-19.</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Research limitations/implications</h3><p>The data collection on a daily and monthly basis, both before and during COVID-19, presents certain limitations for the paper. Another limitation is that the data cannot be generalized to all other Middle Eastern countries; rather, the conclusions drawn can only be applied to these four countries. This is especially true if the scholars collected most of the necessary data but were unable to obtain certain data for various reasons.</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Practical implications</h3><p>These findings have implications for risk management, market regulation and the growth of local stock markets. Facilitating the growth of smaller, more specialized markets to improve integration with other Middle Eastern markets is one of the goals of the domestic stock market development policy. To ensure financial stability, Middle Eastern stock market linking policies should consider spillover risk and take steps to minimize it. Enhancing the range of investment opportunities accessible to shareholders and functioning as confidential risk-sharing mechanisms to facilitate improved risk management in Middle Eastern stock markets will not only significantly influence the mobilization of private capital to promote investment and local economic growth but also lay groundwork for integrated market platforms.</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Originality/value</h3><p>This paper adds to the body of literature by demonstrating the nature of the conne
本研究旨在通过使用 2011 年至 2021 年期间的每日和每月数据集,评估 COVID-19 大流行之前和期间中东国家股票市场之间的联系。本研究采用相关性方法来确定中东股票市场之间的线性联系类型。本研究使用了 2011 年至 2021 年的月度和日数据集,以调查 COVID-19 之前和期间巴勒斯坦、约旦、叙利亚和黎巴嫩股票市场之间股票回报和波动溢出之间的联系。为了解 COVID-19 前和 COVID-19 期间市场之间的关系类型,每日数据集被分为两个时期。结果COVID-19 前的结果表明,叙利亚股市与中东市场的任何股市都没有关系;巴勒斯坦和黎巴嫩股市的关系较弱,但约旦和巴勒斯坦股市的关系较强。相反,COVID-19 的结果表明中东股市之间存在非常强的双向波动溢出效应。总体而言,结果表明 COVID-19 期间存在着更强的关联性。研究局限性/意义在 COVID-19 之前和期间,按日和按月收集的数据给本文带来了一定的局限性。另一个局限是,这些数据不能推广到所有其他中东国家;相反,得出的结论只能适用于这四个国家。如果学者们收集了大部分必要的数据,但由于种种原因无法获得某些数据,情况就更是如此。促进规模较小、更加专业化的市场的发展,加强与其他中东市场的融合,是国内股票市场发展政策的目标之一。为确保金融稳定,中东股市联系政策应考虑外溢风险,并采取措施将其降到最低。扩大股东可获得的投资机会范围,并作为保密的风险分担机制发挥作用,以促进中东股票市场风险管理的改善,这不仅将极大地影响私人资本的调动,从而促进投资和当地经济增长,而且还将为一体化市场平台奠定基础。来自小型市场的信息提供了制度方面的见解,有助于加强现有研究,指导循证政策的制定,并促进这些市场的金融知识普及。本研究通过比较不同股票市场的数据,更好地了解中东股票市场之间联系和关系的类型和强度,以及可能促成这种关系的任何潜在或强化因素,以及这些市场在 COVID-19 之前和期间共享的具体联系类型。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of factory certifications on firm resources: a quantitative content analysis of the Bangladeshi readymade garments (RMG) industry 工厂认证对企业资源的影响:对孟加拉国成衣业的定量内容分析
IF 2.4 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-01-2024-0005
Sudipta Das, Debanjan Das

Purpose

This study aims to investigate the association between certifications in the Bangladeshi readymade garment (RMG) sector and diverse firm resources, contributing to Bangladesh’s competitive advantage.

Design/methodology/approach

The study conducted a quantitative content analysis of 366 Bangladeshi RMG firm websites, using Barney’s (1991) resource-based theory (RBT) framework. Pearson correlation and linear regression analyses were used to explore the research questions.

Findings

The findings reveal significant positive impacts of certifications on all firm resource categories (physical, human, organizational knowledge and learning, general organizational and financial) under the RBT framework. Certifications correlate positively with resources, from small to medium, and with various factors, though some negative correlations were identified.

Research limitations/implications

The study improves comprehension of apparel manufacturers’ certifications and their association with firm resources, offering valuable insights for stakeholders on long-term competitive advantages. Yet, limitations should be considered, including size-dependent variations and reliance on self-reported website data.

Originality/value

This study represents a pioneering effort, concentrating on Bangladesh’s RMG sector and offering a unique perspective on the implications of certifications for firm resources within emerging economies.

本研究旨在调查孟加拉国成衣行业的认证与各种企业资源之间的关联,以促进孟加拉国的竞争优势。本研究采用 Barney(1991 年)的基于资源的理论(RBT)框架,对 366 个孟加拉国成衣企业网站进行了定量内容分析。研究结果表明,在 RBT 框架下,认证对所有企业资源类别(物质资源、人力资源、组织知识和学习资源、一般组织资源和财务资源)都有显著的积极影响。尽管发现了一些负相关关系,但认证与资源(从小型到中型)以及各种因素之间存在正相关关系。研究局限/启示这项研究提高了对服装制造商认证及其与企业资源之间关系的理解,为利益相关者提供了有关长期竞争优势的宝贵见解。然而,也应考虑到研究的局限性,包括与规模相关的变化和对自我报告网站数据的依赖。原创性/价值本研究是一项开创性的工作,它集中研究了孟加拉国的成衣生产行业,为新兴经济体中认证对企业资源的影响提供了一个独特的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate cash holding and firm’s performance in times of Ukraine war: a literature review and way forward 乌克兰战争时期的公司现金持有量与公司业绩:文献综述与展望
IF 2.4 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-10-2023-0053
Neetu Kumar, Jacqueline Symss

Purpose

The purpose of the study is to examine factors influencing cash holding of firms during periods of crisis. In recent times, the level of cash holdings in firms has seen a steady rise across industries for diverse reasons. However, the need to study cash holding becomes even more compelling during geopolitical instability as it causes firms to hold greater cash reserves for precautionary reasons.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper systematically reviews literature from 1984 to 2024 by organising the findings thematically based on the relationship between corporate cash holdings (CCH) and firm performance in times of war. The paper used 47 research articles from the Scopus database and Google Scholar. Literature connected to CCH, firm performance and war times was explored. The title and abstract analysis were conducted using VOSviewer software. As a result, the predetermined body of literature was visualised, and six theme-based clusters were identified.

Findings

This paper systematically reviews empirical studies, categorising them into six theme-based groups. These clusters encompass CCH and Determinants, Optimal Cash Holding Levels, Cash Holding Adjustment Speed and Theory, Cash Holding and Firm Value, Cash Holding and Firm Performance, Cash Holding in the Context of the Ukraine War and the adaptive financial strategies of firms in response to economic conditions by using cash holding as a hedging instrument. Inflation prompts adjustments in cash-holding strategies at a macro level. During crises, lower interest rates lead to increased cash holdings. Various motives influence firms’ cash-to-assets ratios. According to the pecking order theory, geopolitical risk negatively affects cash holdings. Exposure to pandemics prompts an increase in cash reserves. War shocks have a profound impact on economies, markets and stability; hence, geographic diversification can reduce the need for precautionary cash. In times of uncertainty, the financial stress of firms can get elevated, and therefore, having a well-diversified geographical portfolio of a firm’s investments can aid in meeting any financially distressing situation.

Originality/value

The literature on CCH has been phenomenal. This paper attempts to structure the issues surrounding cash holding and firm performance in wartime, like the Ukraine war, using the VOSviewer software. This study endeavours to highlight the reasons for cash holding during crises and understand how cash holding affects firm performance. Finally, this paper also tries to comprehend whether cash holding helps as a hedging instrument in times of war.

研究目的 研究危机时期影响企业现金持有量的因素。近来,由于各种原因,各行各业的企业现金持有水平稳步上升。然而,在地缘政治不稳定时期,研究现金持有量的必要性变得更加迫切,因为地缘政治不稳定会导致企业出于预防原因而持有更多现金储备。设计/方法/途径本文系统回顾了1984年至2024年的文献,根据战争时期企业现金持有量(CCH)与企业绩效之间的关系对研究结果进行了专题整理。本文使用了 Scopus 数据库和谷歌学术中的 47 篇研究文章。对与 CCH、企业绩效和战争时期相关的文献进行了探讨。使用 VOSviewer 软件进行了标题和摘要分析。结果,对预先确定的文献进行了可视化,并确定了六个基于主题的群组。 研究结果本文系统地回顾了实证研究,并将其分为六个基于主题的群组。这些分组包括现金持有量与决定因素、最佳现金持有量、现金持有量调整速度与理论、现金持有量与企业价值、现金持有量与企业绩效、乌克兰战争背景下的现金持有量以及企业利用现金持有量作为对冲工具应对经济形势的适应性财务战略。通货膨胀促使企业在宏观层面上调整现金持有战略。危机期间,利率降低导致现金持有量增加。影响企业现金与资产比率的动机多种多样。根据啄食顺序理论,地缘政治风险会对现金持有量产生负面影响。大流行病风险促使现金储备增加。战争冲击会对经济、市场和稳定产生深远影响;因此,地域多样化可以减少对预防性现金的需求。在不确定时期,企业的财务压力可能会增大,因此,企业投资的地域多元化组合有助于应对任何财务困境。本文试图利用 VOSviewer 软件来构建战时(如乌克兰战争)现金持有和公司业绩的相关问题。本研究致力于强调危机期间现金持有的原因,并了解现金持有如何影响公司业绩。最后,本文还试图了解现金持有在战争时期是否有助于作为一种对冲工具。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the seams: evaluating competitiveness and comparative advantage in Vietnam’s apparel industry 超越接缝:评估越南服装业的竞争力和比较优势
IF 2.4 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-10-2023-0050
Md Rokibul Hasan, Ishtehar Sharif Swazan, Debanjan Das

Purpose

This study aims to examine the export competitiveness of Vietnam’s apparel sector by identifying the precise product categories that create its comparative advantage.

Design/methodology/approach

Revealed comparative advantage (RCA) and normalized revealed comparative advantage (NRCA) form the research methodology, and the RCA/NRCA values are calculated for the 2011–2020 period.

Findings

In total, 29 out of 34 product categories at four-digit levels and 65 out of 217 subcategories at six-digit levels elicited a consistent export comparative advantage throughout the 10-year study timeframe. The study also identified 13 subcategories at six-digit levels, which indicated 10 consecutive years of relative disadvantages.

Research limitations/implications

The study’s findings have far-reaching implications for economic policy, development strategies and global economic integration. By providing a nuanced understanding of a country’s export strengths in the international apparel trade, this study offers valuable guidance for informed decision-making at various levels. The findings will serve as a significant source of information for policymakers and help them formulate novel policies aiming to diversify Vietnam’s apparel product offerings and export destinations. The results will also inform the government regarding the industry’s potential and attract necessary support, enabling it to grow further. This study reveals patterns in Vietnam’s apparel trade but does not provide insights into the underlying causes of comparative advantage.

Originality/value

The study provides an in-depth overview of Vietnam’s comparative advantages and disadvantages at two-, four- and six-digit harmonized system levels and helps understand Vietnam’s apparel export competitiveness.

设计/方法/途径显现比较优势(RCA)和归一化显现比较优势(NRCA)构成研究方法,并计算 2011-2020 年期间的 RCA/NRCA 值。研究结果在整个 10 年研究期间,34 个四位数产品类别中的 29 个类别和 217 个六位数子类别中的 65 个类别具有一致的出口比较优势。研究还确定了 13 个六位数子类别,这些子类别表明连续 10 年处于相对劣势。研究局限/影响研究结果对经济政策、发展战略和全球经济一体化具有深远影响。通过对一个国家在国际服装贸易中的出口优势进行细致入微的了解,本研究为各个层面的知情决策提供了宝贵的指导。研究结果将成为政策制定者的重要信息来源,并帮助他们制定旨在使越南服装产品和出口目的地多样化的新政策。研究结果还将使政府了解该行业的潜力,并吸引必要的支持,使其进一步发展。本研究揭示了越南服装贸易的模式,但并未深入探讨比较优势的根本原因。原创性/价值本研究深入概述了越南在两位数、四位数和六位数协调制度层面的比较优势和劣势,有助于了解越南的服装出口竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 pandemic and trade flows: empirical evidence from selected Asian Pacific countries COVID-19大流行与贸易流动:来自部分亚太国家的经验证据
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-05-2023-0023
Mudaser Ahad Bhat, Farhana Wani, Aadil Amin, G.M. Bhat, Farhat Bano Beg
Purpose This paper aims to investigate the effects of the COVID-19 crisis on trade flows in Asia Pacific countries and explores the causality between COVID-19-related shocks and trade. Design/methodology/approach The authors used two novel techniques, namely, two-stage instrumental-variables (2SIV) approach and Juodis, Karavias and Sarafids (JKS) causality test, to examine trade dynamics in the Asia Pacific region during the pandemic. Findings Using the monthly trade data of 17 Asia Pacific countries between January 2020 and December 2021, the results were threefold. Firstly, the empirical analysis showed that during the COVID-19 crisis, the flow of exports tended to persist idiosyncratically in comparison to the flow of imports. In particular, a specific finding was that the persistence level in exports was about 20%–25% higher than that in imports. Secondly, the authors found that the past values of COVID-19 cases and COVID-19 deaths contain information that helps to predict exports/imports over and above the information contained in the past values of exports/imports alone. Finally, the study established that the government response and stringency indexes have a Granger-causal relationship with exports and imports. Research limitations/implications For the foreseeable future, these findings have significant policy ramifications. Firstly, if a COVID-19 crisis-like situation emerges in the future, it will be critical for countries to maintain their competitiveness throughout the crisis, like the COVID-19 pandemic, while also rebuilding trade relationships wherever possible. Secondly, because information about government responses and measures can also be used to predict future trade flows, prudent management of government responses and stringent measures will be necessary in a crisis like COVID-19 to achieve the optimum level of exports and imports. At the same time, the trading partners should give up the idea of trade protection and focus on finding a way to balance the conflicting needs of imports and exports. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, the authors, for the first time, used a 2SIV approach and JKS causality test to examine trade dynamics in the Asia Pacific region during the pandemic. In addition, the authors present the first comprehensive analysis of the evolving relationships between export and import flows and governmental policy responses under COVID-19. As a result, it contributes uniquely to both public and international economics.
本文旨在研究新冠肺炎危机对亚太国家贸易流动的影响,并探讨新冠肺炎相关冲击与贸易之间的因果关系。设计/方法/方法作者使用了两种新技术,即两阶段工具变量(2SIV)方法和Juodis, Karavias和Sarafids (JKS)因果关系检验,以研究大流行期间亚太地区的贸易动态。利用2020年1月至2021年12月期间17个亚太国家的月度贸易数据,得出了三个结论。首先,实证分析表明,在新冠肺炎危机期间,与进口流动相比,出口流动具有特殊的持续趋势。特别是,一个具体的发现是,出口的持久性水平比进口的持久性水平高出约20%-25%。其次,作者发现,过去的COVID-19病例和COVID-19死亡人数值包含的信息,比过去的出口/进口值所包含的信息更有助于预测出口/进口。最后,研究确定了政府反应和严格性指标与出口和进口之间存在格兰杰因果关系。在可预见的未来,这些研究结果将对政策产生重大影响。首先,如果未来出现类似COVID-19危机的情况,各国必须在整个危机期间(如COVID-19大流行)保持竞争力,同时尽可能重建贸易关系。其次,由于有关政府应对措施的信息也可用于预测未来的贸易流量,因此在COVID-19这样的危机中,有必要谨慎管理政府应对措施并采取严格措施,以实现最佳的进出口水平。与此同时,贸易伙伴应该放弃贸易保护的想法,集中精力寻找平衡进出口需求冲突的方法。据作者所知,作者首次使用2SIV方法和JKS因果关系检验来研究大流行期间亚太地区的贸易动态。此外,作者首次全面分析了COVID-19下进出口流量与政府政策应对之间不断演变的关系。因此,它对公共经济和国际经济都作出了独特的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The interplay of entrepreneurial motivations, job attractiveness and family-owned SMEs growth: evidence from China Pakistan Economic Corridor region 创业动机、工作吸引力与家族中小企业成长的相互作用:来自中巴经济走廊地区的证据
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-05-2023-0019
Irfan Saleem, Muhammad Ashfaq
Purpose The purpose of this study is to provide a nuanced explanation of the linkage between entrepreneurial motivations, job attractiveness and growth of family-owned small and mid-sized enterprises (SMEs) using expectancy and institutional theories. Design/methodology/approach The data was collected from small family business owners and job seekers in the same companies during interview time using a simple random technique. Findings The study found that three EMs among small business owners play a pivotal role in family SME business growth in underdeveloped trade regions like China–Pakistan Economic Corridor. These firms are interested in investing in seaport-related commerce, restaurants or hotels and real estate business. Practical implications The government, small family business owners, universities and regional youth can use this applied research for their benefits alike. Originality/value The study contributes in multiple ways. First, the authors brought a unique context in the emerging economies context of an informal economy like Pakistan. Second, the authors have uniquely tested the moderating role of job attractiveness in the least developed regions. Finally, the authors have integrated family SMEs’ expectancy theory and institutional perspective.
本研究的目的是运用期望理论和制度理论对创业动机、工作吸引力和家族中小企业成长之间的联系进行细致入微的解释。设计/方法/方法采用简单的随机方法,在面试期间从同一家公司的小家族企业主和求职者中收集数据。研究发现,在中巴经济走廊等贸易欠发达地区,小企业主中的三个新兴市场对家庭中小企业的发展起着关键作用。这些公司有兴趣投资与海港相关的商业、餐馆或酒店以及房地产业务。政府、小型家庭企业主、大学和地区青年都可以利用这一应用研究为自己谋利。独创性/价值这项研究在很多方面都有贡献。首先,作者在新兴经济体的背景下引入了一个独特的背景,即巴基斯坦这样的非正规经济。其次,作者独特地测试了工作吸引力在最不发达地区的调节作用。最后,笔者将家族中小企业的期望理论与制度视角相结合。
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引用次数: 1
Can Chinese banks expand their loan portfolio while maintaining loan quality and profitability post-global financial crisis? 在全球金融危机后,中国的银行能否在扩大贷款组合的同时保持贷款质量和盈利能力?
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-08-2022-0047
Thanh Pham Thien Nguyen, Nga Thu Trinh, Son Nghiem
Purpose This study aims to investigate the relationships between loan growth, loan losses and net income after the 2008 global financial crisis. This study further conducts a comparative analysis by considering the period of COVID-19. Design/methodology/approach This study uses panel data models such as one-step system GMM, random effects, fixed effects and OLS, with a data set of 131 Chinese commercial banks from 2009 to 2020. Findings The study finds no significant relationship between loan growth and future loan losses. However, after adjusting loan loss by net interest income (NII-adjusted loan loss), the study reveals that loan growth in the subsequent year decreases if NII-adjusted loan loss increases. The study also demonstrates the positive effect of loan growth on net income as newly expanded loans are funded at similar costs but offered at a lower rate compared with existing loans. During COVID-19, loan growth and net income were higher than in previous years. Originality/value The findings suggest that Chinese banks can increase lending to support the economy without sacrificing loan quality, emphasizing the importance of maintaining and enhancing credit policies and practices. Chinese banks should also continue to refine their pricing strategies for loans and deposits. The findings also imply that China's policy responses to the impact of COVID-19 could serve as lessons for future policy decisions.
本研究旨在探讨2008年全球金融危机后贷款增长、贷款损失与净收入之间的关系。本研究进一步结合COVID-19的发病时间进行对比分析。本研究采用一步制GMM、随机效应、固定效应、OLS等面板数据模型,选取2009 - 2020年中国131家商业银行的数据集。研究发现,贷款增长与未来贷款损失之间没有显著关系。然而,通过净利息收入调整贷款损失(nii调整后的贷款损失)后,研究发现,如果nii调整后的贷款损失增加,则次年的贷款增长减少。该研究还证明了贷款增长对净收入的积极影响,因为新增贷款的融资成本与现有贷款相似,但利率较低。在2019冠状病毒病期间,贷款增长和净收入高于往年。研究结果表明,中国的银行可以在不牺牲贷款质量的情况下增加贷款以支持经济,强调维持和加强信贷政策和实践的重要性。中国的银行还应继续完善其贷款和存款的定价策略。研究结果还表明,中国应对COVID-19影响的政策可以为未来的政策决策提供借鉴。
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引用次数: 0
Trade war, media tone and market reaction asymmetry 贸易战、媒体语气和市场反应不对称
IF 2.4 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-10-2022-0064
Wenjia Zhang, Julan Du
PurposeThis study investigates the impacts of Chinese media reporting strategy (media tone) on the market performance of US-trade-intensive firms vs non-US-trade-intensive firms and the effect of media tone on the occurrence of good and bad news.Design/methodology/approachNews texts were retrieved from nine major financial/economic media outlets. Lexical analysis and event study have been adopted to examine the impact of different types of news during the US–China trade frictions on Chinese firms.FindingsThe results show that US-trade-intensive firms vs non-US-trade-intensive firms exhibited different reactions to media coverage. US-trade-intensive firms care more about the governmental attitudes toward the trade war and potential policy supports implied in the official media reports than non-US-trade-intensive firms do. The return-chasing behavior hypothesis is supported by US-trade-intensive investors, and this effect is further enhanced when multiple releases occur on the same day. A higher media tone combined with intensified media releases significantly increases the volatilities of both US-trade-intensive and non-US-trade-intensive firms.Practical implicationsInformation provided by this study helps the regulatory authorities to formulate measures to enhance investor confidence and better optimize resource allocation.Originality/valueThis study investigates the asymmetric effect of media tone on US-trade-intensive firms vs non-US-trade-intensive firms, which has not been examined, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, in the existing literature.
目的研究中国媒体报道策略(媒体基调)对美国贸易密集型企业与非美国贸易密集性企业市场表现的影响,以及媒体基调对好消息和坏消息发生的影响。设计/方法/方法从九家主要金融/经济媒体检索到新闻文本。采用词汇分析和事件研究的方法考察了美中贸易摩擦期间不同类型的新闻对中国企业的影响。研究结果表明,美国贸易密集型企业与非美国贸易密集性企业对媒体报道的反应不同。与非美国贸易密集型企业相比,美国贸易密集性企业更关心政府对贸易战的态度和官方媒体报道中隐含的潜在政策支持。追逐回报行为假说得到了美国贸易密集投资者的支持,当同一天发生多个释放时,这种效应会进一步增强。更高的媒体基调加上媒体发布的力度加大,大大增加了美国贸易密集型和非美国贸易密集性企业的波动性。实际含义本研究提供的信息有助于监管部门制定措施,增强投资者信心,更好地优化资源配置。原创性/价值本研究调查了媒体基调对美国贸易密集型企业与非美国贸易密集性企业的不对称影响,据作者所知,在现有文献中尚未对其进行研究。
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引用次数: 0
Guest editorial: FDI divestment inflows and outflows in developing economies 客座社论:发展中经济体的外国直接投资撤资流入和流出
IF 2.4 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-07 DOI: 10.1108/jcefts-02-2023-079
B. Iqbal, M. N. Rahman
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies
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