认知偏差知识是否影响投资者决策?利用机器学习和人工神经网络进行实证研究

IF 2.7 Q2 INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE VINE Journal of Information and Knowledge Management Systems Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI:10.1108/vjikms-08-2022-0253
Anshita Bihari, M. Dash, K. Muduli, Anil Kumar K, Eyob Mulat-weldemeskel, S. Luthra
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的当前行为金融领域的研究试图发现个人投资者非理性决策中的行为偏差及其特征。本研究旨在找出基于知识的信息偏差如何影响投资决策。设计/方法/方法第一步,通过现有研究和咨询专家,确定了13个相关项目,涵盖了偏见的主要方面。第二步,采用多元线性回归和人工神经网络对337名散户投资者的数据进行分析。研究结果:投资选择受后悔厌恶、损失厌恶、过度自信和巴纳姆效应的影响最大。研究发现,巴纳姆效应与投资选择呈显著负相关。研究还发现,投资者对犯错的恐惧,以及对自己过于自信的倾向,是他们决定把钱投到哪里的最重要因素。实践意义本研究通过强调认知心理特征在主要投资者如何最终做出非理性决策中的重要性,有助于扩展行为金融理论的知识库。发展中市场的投资组合经理、金融机构和投资者都可能从所提供的信息中受益匪浅。原创性/价值本研究是一项独一无二的研究,因为它分析了投资者决策的情感偏见和认知偏见。投资者的决策通常考虑知识管理的阴暗面。
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Does cognitive biased knowledge influence investor decisions? An empirical investigation using machine learning and artificial neural network
Purpose Current research in the field of behavioural finance has attempted to discover behavioural biases and their characteristics in individual investors’ irrational decision-making. This study aims to find out how biases in information based on knowledge affect decisions about investments. Design/methodology/approach In step one, through existing research and consultation with specialists, 13 relevant items covering major aspects of bias were determined. In the second step, multiple linear regression and artificial neural network were used to analyse the data of 337 retail investors. Findings The investment choice was heavily impacted by regret aversion, followed by loss aversion, overconfidence and the Barnum effect. It was observed that the Barnum effect has a statistically significant negative link with investing choices. The research also found that investors’ fear of making mistakes and their tendency to be too sure of themselves were the most significant factors in their decisions about where to put their money. Practical implications This research contributes to the expansion of the knowledge base in behavioural finance theory by highlighting the significance of cognitive psychological traits in how leading investors end up making irrational decisions. Portfolio managers, financial institutions and investors in developing markets may all significantly benefit from the information offered. Originality/value This research is a one-of-a-kind study, as it analyses the emotional biases along with the cognitive biases of investor decision-making. Investor decisions generally consider the shadowy side of knowledge management.
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来源期刊
VINE Journal of Information and Knowledge Management Systems
VINE Journal of Information and Knowledge Management Systems INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE-
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
21.40%
发文量
68
期刊介绍: Information not localized
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