Anshita Bihari, M. Dash, K. Muduli, Anil Kumar K, Eyob Mulat-weldemeskel, S. Luthra
{"title":"认知偏差知识是否影响投资者决策?利用机器学习和人工神经网络进行实证研究","authors":"Anshita Bihari, M. Dash, K. Muduli, Anil Kumar K, Eyob Mulat-weldemeskel, S. Luthra","doi":"10.1108/vjikms-08-2022-0253","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Purpose\nCurrent research in the field of behavioural finance has attempted to discover behavioural biases and their characteristics in individual investors’ irrational decision-making. This study aims to find out how biases in information based on knowledge affect decisions about investments.\n\n\nDesign/methodology/approach\nIn step one, through existing research and consultation with specialists, 13 relevant items covering major aspects of bias were determined. In the second step, multiple linear regression and artificial neural network were used to analyse the data of 337 retail investors.\n\n\nFindings\nThe investment choice was heavily impacted by regret aversion, followed by loss aversion, overconfidence and the Barnum effect. It was observed that the Barnum effect has a statistically significant negative link with investing choices. The research also found that investors’ fear of making mistakes and their tendency to be too sure of themselves were the most significant factors in their decisions about where to put their money.\n\n\nPractical implications\nThis research contributes to the expansion of the knowledge base in behavioural finance theory by highlighting the significance of cognitive psychological traits in how leading investors end up making irrational decisions. Portfolio managers, financial institutions and investors in developing markets may all significantly benefit from the information offered.\n\n\nOriginality/value\nThis research is a one-of-a-kind study, as it analyses the emotional biases along with the cognitive biases of investor decision-making. Investor decisions generally consider the shadowy side of knowledge management.","PeriodicalId":45590,"journal":{"name":"VINE Journal of Information and Knowledge Management Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Does cognitive biased knowledge influence investor decisions? An empirical investigation using machine learning and artificial neural network\",\"authors\":\"Anshita Bihari, M. Dash, K. Muduli, Anil Kumar K, Eyob Mulat-weldemeskel, S. Luthra\",\"doi\":\"10.1108/vjikms-08-2022-0253\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Purpose\\nCurrent research in the field of behavioural finance has attempted to discover behavioural biases and their characteristics in individual investors’ irrational decision-making. This study aims to find out how biases in information based on knowledge affect decisions about investments.\\n\\n\\nDesign/methodology/approach\\nIn step one, through existing research and consultation with specialists, 13 relevant items covering major aspects of bias were determined. In the second step, multiple linear regression and artificial neural network were used to analyse the data of 337 retail investors.\\n\\n\\nFindings\\nThe investment choice was heavily impacted by regret aversion, followed by loss aversion, overconfidence and the Barnum effect. It was observed that the Barnum effect has a statistically significant negative link with investing choices. The research also found that investors’ fear of making mistakes and their tendency to be too sure of themselves were the most significant factors in their decisions about where to put their money.\\n\\n\\nPractical implications\\nThis research contributes to the expansion of the knowledge base in behavioural finance theory by highlighting the significance of cognitive psychological traits in how leading investors end up making irrational decisions. Portfolio managers, financial institutions and investors in developing markets may all significantly benefit from the information offered.\\n\\n\\nOriginality/value\\nThis research is a one-of-a-kind study, as it analyses the emotional biases along with the cognitive biases of investor decision-making. 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Does cognitive biased knowledge influence investor decisions? An empirical investigation using machine learning and artificial neural network
Purpose
Current research in the field of behavioural finance has attempted to discover behavioural biases and their characteristics in individual investors’ irrational decision-making. This study aims to find out how biases in information based on knowledge affect decisions about investments.
Design/methodology/approach
In step one, through existing research and consultation with specialists, 13 relevant items covering major aspects of bias were determined. In the second step, multiple linear regression and artificial neural network were used to analyse the data of 337 retail investors.
Findings
The investment choice was heavily impacted by regret aversion, followed by loss aversion, overconfidence and the Barnum effect. It was observed that the Barnum effect has a statistically significant negative link with investing choices. The research also found that investors’ fear of making mistakes and their tendency to be too sure of themselves were the most significant factors in their decisions about where to put their money.
Practical implications
This research contributes to the expansion of the knowledge base in behavioural finance theory by highlighting the significance of cognitive psychological traits in how leading investors end up making irrational decisions. Portfolio managers, financial institutions and investors in developing markets may all significantly benefit from the information offered.
Originality/value
This research is a one-of-a-kind study, as it analyses the emotional biases along with the cognitive biases of investor decision-making. Investor decisions generally consider the shadowy side of knowledge management.